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FOMC hikes 25bps, as expected. More rate hikes to come?
Today’s FOMC meeting was uneventful. However, Powell’s press conference which followed provided less hawkish comments for the markets to feast on
FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY
Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a full 50bps of interest rate cuts by the end of the year!
Fed meeting preview: The magic show of interest rates, inflation, and growth
The big question on everyone's mind is, will Fed Chairman Powell be able to pull off another successful performance?
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US indices drift lower as focus turns to Powell
Investors are growing increasingly confident in their view that the Fed’s tightening cycle will end this quarter, before it starts an easing cycle in the third quarter.
What to make of December’s FOMC meeting?
If markets don’t care about what Powell has to say about interest rates, the next place to turn its attention to may be growth and the outlook for a possible recession in 2023!
FOMC meeting recap: Powell presser poses more questions than answers
The Fed Chairman isn’t yet willing to entertain a pause in rate hikes or the prospect of rate cuts in 2023, though he continues to emphasize the central bank’s data dependence...
FOMC meeting preview: 50bps hike likely, but will the 2023 dots rise above 5%?
While there seems to be a clear consensus that the central bank should slow its pace of rate hikes, the ultimate question for this week’s meeting will revolve around the so-called “terminal rate,” or how high the Fed will have to push interest rates next year before pausing the rate hike cycle.
Non-farm Payrolls stronger than expected. Does that change the Fed’s plan?
Chances are that Powell and gang stick to the plan and only hike 50bps. However, that’s not to say that they can’t increase rates later if they deem it necessary.
US Core PCE lower in September; USD continues lower
If Core PCE continues to fall over the coming months, the Fed may end up hiking rates less than it expects, or even cutting rates before the end of next year.
S&P digesting market’s (over)reaction to Powell speech
Perhaps the markets were not expecting the Fed Chair to explicitly imply that the FOMC will indeed hike by 50bps in December
Powell's Brooking Institute speech is a dovish version of his November 2nd FOMC press conference
This was the unofficial pivot the markets have been waiting for.
USD/CAD holds between key levels ahead of Powell speech
Which direction will the Loonie break?
European Open: China PMI’s disappoint, Jerome Powell in focus
China’s PMI’s may contracted at their fastest pace in 6-months, but hopes of China reopening have remained the focus to support sentiment.
Inflation Is the Solution: The Wisdom to Accept What We Should Not Change
This report will make the case that policymakers should find the wisdom to accept what they cannot change: inflation is not only secular, but it is also the medicine that the global economy needs to escape its debt trap and solve the generational inequalities which tear apart Western countries.
FOMC short: Dovish statement, hawkish Powell
With the Fed not even thinking or discussing the possibility of pausing, traders may be realizing that lowering inflation may take a lot longer than they had anticipated!
FOMC meeting recap: Smaller rate hikes coming…but a higher terminal rate on tap?
Fed Chairman Powell hinted at a slower pace of rate hikes, but the key question is whether the peak rate will be above or below 5%...
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2:26 AM − 02 Feb 2023
FOMC meeting preview: Fed expected to hike 75bps, but is the pivot imminent?
The stakes couldn’t be higher for this month’s FOMC meeting - see why!
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USD/JPY: Signs of Fed pivot or mere countertrend dip?
There’s only one problem with the Fed pivot narrative: Traders aren’t buying it (yet, at least)!
USD/JPY: Signs of Fed pivot or mere countertrend dip?
There’s only one problem with the Fed pivot narrative: Traders aren’t buying it (yet, at least)!
FOMC as expected; markets extremely volatile during presser.
As for other central bank meetings: within the next 20 hours markets will hear from the BOJ, SNB, Norges Bank, BOE, and SARB.
FOMC meeting instant reaction: Not even a whisper of a pivot yet
Even looking out just until the end of this year, Fed members are projecting another 125bps of rate hikes...
European Open: The DAX taps 13k ahead of ECB, Powell speech in focus
ECB day is here and we finally get to find out whether they’ll hike by 50 or 75bp, before handing over the mic to Jerome Powell.
Risk of higher rate hikes send Gold lower; XAU/USD
If the Fed does hike rates and is hawkish at its next meeting, will Gold finally break through 1670, which it has tested numerous times?