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FOMC hikes 25bps, as expected. More rate hikes to come?

Today’s FOMC meeting was uneventful. However, Powell’s press conference which followed provided less hawkish comments for the markets to feast on

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FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY

Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a full 50bps of interest rate cuts by the end of the year!

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Fed meeting preview: The magic show of interest rates, inflation, and growth

The big question on everyone's mind is, will Fed Chairman Powell be able to pull off another successful performance?

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January 31, 2023 01:45 AM

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US indices drift lower as focus turns to Powell

Investors are growing increasingly confident in their view that the Fed’s tightening cycle will end this quarter, before it starts an easing cycle in the third quarter.

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January 11, 2023 12:25 AM
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What to make of December’s FOMC meeting?

If markets don’t care about what Powell has to say about interest rates, the next place to turn its attention to may be growth and the outlook for a possible recession in 2023!

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December 15, 2022 08:30 AM

FOMC meeting recap: Powell presser poses more questions than answers

The Fed Chairman isn’t yet willing to entertain a pause in rate hikes or the prospect of rate cuts in 2023, though he continues to emphasize the central bank’s data dependence...

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December 15, 2022 07:15 AM
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FOMC meeting preview: 50bps hike likely, but will the 2023 dots rise above 5%?

While there seems to be a clear consensus that the central bank should slow its pace of rate hikes, the ultimate question for this week’s meeting will revolve around the so-called “terminal rate,” or how high the Fed will have to push interest rates next year before pausing the rate hike cycle.

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December 13, 2022 07:21 AM
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Non-farm Payrolls stronger than expected. Does that change the Fed’s plan?

Chances are that Powell and gang stick to the plan and only hike 50bps. However, that’s not to say that they can’t increase rates later if they deem it necessary.

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December 3, 2022 03:04 AM
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US Core PCE lower in September; USD continues lower

If Core PCE continues to fall over the coming months, the Fed may end up hiking rates less than it expects, or even cutting rates before the end of next year.

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December 2, 2022 04:11 AM
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S&P digesting market’s (over)reaction to Powell speech

Perhaps the markets were not expecting the Fed Chair to explicitly imply that the FOMC will indeed hike by 50bps in December

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December 1, 2022 10:47 PM
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December 1, 2022 08:01 AM
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USD/CAD holds between key levels ahead of Powell speech

Which direction will the Loonie break?

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December 1, 2022 04:22 AM
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European Open: China PMI’s disappoint, Jerome Powell in focus

China’s PMI’s may contracted at their fastest pace in 6-months, but hopes of China reopening have remained the focus to support sentiment.

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November 30, 2022 03:59 PM
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Inflation Is the Solution: The Wisdom to Accept What We Should Not Change

This report will make the case that policymakers should find the wisdom to accept what they cannot change: inflation is not only secular, but it is also the medicine that the global economy needs to escape its debt trap and solve the generational inequalities which tear apart Western countries.

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November 30, 2022 03:03 AM

FOMC short: Dovish statement, hawkish Powell

With the Fed not even thinking or discussing the possibility of pausing, traders may be realizing that lowering inflation may take a lot longer than they had anticipated!

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November 3, 2022 06:58 AM
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FOMC meeting recap: Smaller rate hikes coming…but a higher terminal rate on tap?

Fed Chairman Powell hinted at a slower pace of rate hikes, but the key question is whether the peak rate will be above or below 5%...

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November 3, 2022 06:02 AM
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FOMC meeting preview: Fed expected to hike 75bps, but is the pivot imminent?

The stakes couldn’t be higher for this month’s FOMC meeting - see why!

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November 2, 2022 01:30 AM

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USD/JPY: Signs of Fed pivot or mere countertrend dip?

There’s only one problem with the Fed pivot narrative: Traders aren’t buying it (yet, at least)!

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October 6, 2022 01:30 AM
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USD/JPY: Signs of Fed pivot or mere countertrend dip?

There’s only one problem with the Fed pivot narrative: Traders aren’t buying it (yet, at least)!

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October 6, 2022 01:30 AM
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FOMC as expected; markets extremely volatile during presser.

As for other central bank meetings: within the next 20 hours markets will hear from the BOJ, SNB, Norges Bank, BOE, and SARB.

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September 22, 2022 06:45 AM
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FOMC meeting instant reaction: Not even a whisper of a pivot yet

Even looking out just until the end of this year, Fed members are projecting another 125bps of rate hikes...

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September 22, 2022 05:25 AM
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European Open: The DAX taps 13k ahead of ECB, Powell speech in focus

ECB day is here and we finally get to find out whether they’ll hike by 50 or 75bp, before handing over the mic to Jerome Powell.

Gold nuggets

Risk of higher rate hikes send Gold lower; XAU/USD

If the Fed does hike rates and is hawkish at its next meeting, will Gold finally break through 1670, which it has tested numerous times?

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August 31, 2022 05:44 AM