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Markets pricing in central bank rate increases over the next year
Traders should watch the change in expectations of interest rates vs current rates.
US CPI recap: Food prices surge by their most in over 40 years
Inflation is becoming more widespread across a broad swathe of consumer spending categories, raising the risk that it could become entrenched.
NFP preview: Ugly leading indicators have traders on edge
The leading indicators point to slightly below-expectation reading in this month’s NFP report...see what they're saying and possible ways to trade it!
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Asian Open: Fed reality check prompts market reversals, USD lower
Whilst the Fed raised interest rates by their most aggressive pace in 22-years of 50-bps, they may have poured cold water on the prospects of a 75-bps hike further out.
FOMC meeting recap: Was that “Peak Hawkishness” for the Fed?
Traders may look at today’s press conference as marking “peak hawkishness” for the Fed, at least in the short term...
US open: Stocks creep higher ahead of the Fed
US stocks edge cautiously higher ahead of the Fed's rate announcement. Aa 50 basis point hike is priced in, but what comes next?
FOMC meeting preview: 50bps a “done deal” but balance sheet update will be key
Of course, with a 50bps move already fully discounted, the Fed’s interest rate decision is unlikely to be a market mover by itself...see what traders will be focused on instead!
Forex Friday: Dollar Bulls, Pound Bears Exhausted
In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar and its impressive rally, and ponder over the pounded pound
Nasdaq reeling after big reversal ahead of US tech earnings
Sentiment is quite downbeat following Thursday’s reversal in risk appetite ahead of earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Amazon
Asian Open: Wall Street stumbles as Powel confirms 50bps Fed hike in May
The Fed Chair himself, Jerome Powell, has finally confirmed what markets were supposedly expecting anyway with a 50-bps hike.
Asian Open: Dollar hits near 2-year high post Fed, WTI breaks lower
The FOMC minutes reiterated the Fed’s extremely hawkish stance which saw the US dollar dominate the session.
NFP preview: Will the jobs report tip the scales on the Fed’s decision next month?
This will be the final NFP report before the next Fed meeting in early May, where traders are currently split between expecting a 25bps and a 50bps rate hike.
US open: Wall Street pares Fed rally, peace talk progress questioned
US stocks are set to move lower after strong gains yesterday. Concerns over progress in peace talks and rising oil prices hurt sentiment. Jobless claims beat.
Two trades to watch: EUR/GBP, USD/JPY
GBP/EUR falls ahead of BoE rate decision. USD/JPY rises post-Fed, ahead of BoJ.
Two trades to watch: EUR/USD, Oil
EUR/USD rises towards 1.10 ahead of the Fed rate decision. WTI crude oil rises after 11% declines in 2 days.
European Open: Sentiment gets another spring in its step ahead of FOMC
Equity markets were higher overnight as ongoing peace talks provided glimmers of hope the war could wind down.
The dollar rallies ahead of the FOMC meeting (but will it after?)
The US dollar index sits just below a 22-month high ahead of FOMC meeting, the outcome of which could be the fine line between an extended rally or reversal tomorrow.
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FOMC meeting preview: 25bps pencilled in, but balance sheet and dot plot updates key
It seems unlikely that Jerome Powell and Company will rock the boat dramatically this week, but the US dollar could still gain ground - see why!
USD/JPY rockets to 5-year highs with dueling central bank meetings on tap
Traders will be eager to see if the Fed follows in the footsteps of the ECB by emphasizing the inflationary risks of the conflict in Ukraine over the deleterious impact on economic growth
NFP Preview: All eyes on wages with Fed liftoff less than two weeks away
When it comes to the Federal Reserve, the immediate interest rate decision appears to be made already...
Asian Open: Powell on board with a March hike, AUD/JPY taps YTD high
The Fed Chair told the House Financial Services Committee overnight he is on board with a 25 bps hike in two weeks.
US Core PCE preview: The Fed’s interest rate decision hangs in the balance
Friday’s release is likely to lead to market volatility as market participants adjust to arguably the most important data release ahead of the Fed’s expected liftoff...
Gold testing 1870 after as-expected Fed minutes
There were no “bombshells”; the central bank’s intentions as of its January meeting were the same as traders had expected and priced in. Gold is nonetheless well-positioned to rally as it tests 1870 resistance...