Fiona Cincotta

Fiona Cincotta

Fiona Cincotta

Senior Market Analyst

Expertise: Macroeconomics, Fundamental & Technical Analysis, Media

Trading Style: Trend/Swing


Experience:

• Over 15 years’ experience trading and analysing UK, European & US markets

• Covers forex, equity, commodity, and crypto assets

• Webinars seminars and regular appearances on BBC, Reuters and Bloomberg TV as well as a weekly slot on BBC’s World Business report (World Services).

• Regularly quoted in Bloomberg, Reuters and MarketWatch among other outlets

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls post-Fed & as PPI falls, jobless claims rise

US stocks are heading for a mixed open as the market continues digesting yesterday's Fed meeting. Policymakers lowered rate cut expectations to just one cut this year and did so after a slight weakening in monthly CPI. Today, data showed PPI fell in May, and jobless claims jumped. Meanwhile, the tech sector, lifted by chip stocks, is benefiting the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 but not the Dow Jones.

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Yesterday 11:06 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX hits an ATH as CPI cools & the Fed comes into focus

S&P 500 rises to a new ATH after inflation cooled by more than expected in May. The data comes ahead to the FOMC rate decision, where the Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged but could downwardly revise the doy plot from 3 rate cuts this year to 2 or even 1 cut. Attention will also be on the updated projections and Fed Chair Powell's press- conference. A cautious tone could see stocks give back some of their gains.

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June 12, 2024 11:19 PM
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GBP/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

GBP/USD unchanged as the UK economic recovery stalls. USD/JPY rises ahead of CPI data & FOMC.

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls as the Fed's 2-day FOMC meeting begins

US stocks are pointing to a lower start in jittery trade as the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary policy meeting begins. With no high-impacting data today, attention is firmly on tomorrow's CPI print and the FOMC decision a few hours later. The Fed is expected to leave policy unchanged so attention will be on the dot plot and projections. Separately, Apple's unveiling of its AI strategy received a lukewarm reaction from Wall Street.

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June 11, 2024 11:16 PM
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GBP/USD, EUR/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch

GBP/USD falls as wage growth eases and the labour market loosens. EUR/USD steadies as the dust settles after the weekend elections.

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA slips amid a cautious mood ahead of this week's FOMC meeting

US stocks are set to open modestly lower, extending losses from Friday, after the non-farm payroll smashed forecasts and raised doubts about a September Federal Reserve rate cut. The mood is cautious ahead of this week's US inflation data and FOMC meeting. Elsewhere the EUR is falling sharply after a surprise snap election in France. Apple is in focus ahead of the Developer's conference.

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June 10, 2024 11:28 PM
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DAX, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

DAX falls on political uncertainty after the EU parliamentary elections & a snap election in France. USD/JPY rises to 157 as Fed rate cut expectations ease.

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Weekly equities forecast: Apple, Broadcom & Oracle

Stocks to watch this week include Apple with the Worldwide Developers Conference, Broadcom as it releases fiscal Q4 and full-year earnings, and Oracle amid the release of Q2 earnings.

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June 8, 2024 12:00 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls after a stronger NFP report

US stocks are falling lower after the stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll data raised questions over whether the Federal Reserve will be able to cut rates in September. The data comes after mixed data across this week and ahead of the US CPI and the FOMC rate decision next week. Oil prices are set to fall across the week after Sunday's OPEC+ meeting, which raised concerns over increased supply later in the week.

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June 7, 2024 11:06 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX inches higher as jobless claims increase

US stocks are heading for a muted open as investors digest more signs of weakness in the labour market ahead of tomorrow's non-farm payroll report. Jobless claims rose by 229k, and came after weaker-than-expected ADP payrolls and job openings earlier in the week. A cooling labour market could give the Fed more reason to cut rates sooner.

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June 6, 2024 10:46 PM

EUR/USD, DAX Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises on ECB day. DAX rises, boosted by tech stocks & ahead of the ECB decision,