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Close-up of market chart showing downtrend

S&P 500 outlook is starting to turn slightly negative

With a lack of any fresh bullish stimulus and following months of solid gains, we could see a bit of a correction. So, in my opinion, the S&P 500 outlook is not looking too great at current levels and without a sizeable correction.

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May 30, 2024 02:25 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls as treasury yields rise

US stocks point to a weaker start as treasury yields rise. Concerns over sticky inflation and high rates for longer hurt mega caps. The US economic calendar is relatively quiet today, with the Fed Beige Book and several Fed speakers in focus ahead of Friday's core-PCE data. Oil prices are rising for a fourth straight day as the OPEC+ meeting comes into view.

Market chart showing uptrend

Silver Outlook: Financial Asset Meets Green Agendas

Silver Outlook: The silver bull run has been in the headlines, but since when?

Forex trading

USD/JPY forecast: Yen grinds lower into intervention territory

Our short-term USD/JPY forecast remains bullish amid the BoJ’s current policy stance, the USD/JPY strong bullish trend and the US dollar’s overall robustness.

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EUR/USD, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD struggles amid USD strength; German inflation data up next. FTSE falls, Royal Mail’s takeover is agreed.

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The Nikkei 225 has been added to my watch (out below) list

The Nikkei has been grinding higher in recent weeks, but with momentum turning lower at resistance and asset managers are increasing longs, perhaps it's ready for a leg or two lower.

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Hang Seng, China A50: IMF gets bullish as just as Chinese stocks roll over

It’s said the stock market isn’t the economy and based on the performance of Hang Seng futures on Wednesday, it’s hard to argue against. Because on the same day the International Monetary Fund upgraded its China economic growth forecast, stocks in Hong Kong are getting hammered.

Gold nuggets

The mild rebound for gold and copper wreaks of a dead-cat bounce

Gold and copper have made mild attempt to recoup last week's losses, which puts us on alert for a potential 'dead cat bounce'. Whilst silver’s rebound has been much more impressive, resistance looms.

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AUD/USD, ASX 200: Stalling disinflation weakens case for RBA rate cuts

Disinflationary forces in Australia have stalled with annual rates for headline and underlying inflation trending flat to higher, and well above the 2.5% midpoint of the RBA’s target. Not only does that weaken the case for rate cuts but means the next move from the RBA may be a hike.

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Today 01:02 PM
Research

USD/JPY breaks its latest glass ceiling, crude oil surges ahead of OPEC+

USD/JPY closed above 157 for the first time since the MOF last intervened, which brings 158 into focus for bulls. Crude oil also rose over 3% on Tuesday from arguably oversold levels.

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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Bounces from 1.3600 Support, Key Data Looms

USD/CAD bulls are likely to emerge to defend the 1.3605 level, potentially leading to a bullish breakout from the descending channel and opening the door for a move back toward 1.3800.

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Gold outlook: inflation data takes centre stage as metal consolidates

This week’s key data is the core PCE price index, due on Friday. Ahead of it, gold may remain in a consolidation phase. Whether we see further short-term weakness following last week’s 3% drop doesn't significantly alter the long-term bullish gold outlook.

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Today 02:43 AM
Oil refinery

Crude Oil Outlook: Demand Potential vs OPEC Supply Policies

Crude Oil Outlook: Oil charts are set to gear up this week with a confluence of factors including economic growth metrics, geo-political tensions, inventories, and OPEC policies.

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