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Gold, Wall Street slammed as PMI data stifles hopes of Fed rate cuts

The record highs created for gold and Wall Street this week appear to have been bad omens, with sharp bearish reversals forming and rate-cut bets being slashed.

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Today 09:16 AM
Downwards trend with red arrow

Nasdaq 100 analysis: Markets pull back despite Nvidia rally

It has been a rather mixed day for risk assets. Things started brightly for US markets, but at the time of writing the major indices were sharply either lower or in the case of the Nasdaq well off its earlier highs. Our Nasdaq 100 analysis could turn bearish in the short-term outlook, if the index closes today’s session lower.

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US Dollar Forecast: EUR/USD Stalls Ahead of March High

The recent rally in EUR/USD appears to have stalled ahead of the March high (1.0981) as it extends the decline from the start of the week.

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Dow Jones Forecast: FOMC Minutes Delay New Record Highs

Dow Jones Forecast: Market euphoria was halted by hawkish FOMC minutes. Will charts be able to reflect resiliency?

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Bitcoin, Ethereum Forecast: BTC/USD Probes Record Highs, ETH/USD ETF in Focus

The Biden Administration has turned pro-crypto overnight, boosting the odds of a spot ETH ETF approval later today.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX hits a record high, boosted by Nvidia earnings

US stocks point to a stronger open, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq100 set to reach record highs after Nvidia earnings smash forecasts, fueling an AI chip stock rally. The impressive earnings have overshadowed hawkish FOMC minutes, which showed policymakers were concerned about sticky inflation, and some even supported raising rates. Jobless claims were stronger than expected, consistent with a solid labour market. PMI data is up next.

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Yesterday 11:13 PM
Forex trading

EUR/USD outlook: Stronger EZ data underpins euro as dollar weakens

Eurozone data improves further to boost the EUR/USD outlook. Traders are looking forward to the release of US data including the latest PMIs, jobless claims and new home sales.

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Yesterday 09:30 PM

GBP/USD, DAX Forecast: Two trades to watch

GBP/USD above 1.27 as the country gears up for an election. DAX rises on Nvidia optimism, PMIs in focus.

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Crude Oil, Nat Gas Analysis: Oil Inventories Increase and NGAS Next in Sight

Crude Oil, Nat Gas Analysis: Q1 2024 has seen a positive shift in energy trends, driven by an accelerating Chinese economy and changing inventory levels. Is there an opposite outlook for Q2?

Oil rig in the sea

WTI crude slides to range lows, nears sweet spot for longer-term bulls

The pullback has seen WTI move into what’s a been a very decent buying zone in recent years, providing an opportunity to establish longs at lower levels.

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Yesterday 03:42 PM
Bank notes of different currencies

EUR/USD on the ropes as US dollar bears back peddle

EUR/USD seems primed for a retest of 1.08 after USD dollars bears were forced to retreat, as the 'higher for longer' narrative returns to the scene.


USD/JPY: Waning inflationary pressures, steady BOJ bond buying points to upside risks

With Nvidia’s first quarter earnings report helping to boost investor sentiment and interest rate differentials between the US and Japan remaining at historically elevated levels thanks to continued delays to rate cuts from the Fed, USD/JPY continues to drift higher for the moment.

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Yesterday 11:54 AM

Gold, silver, copper hit by higher rates, stretched positioning, bias remains to buy dips

Metals markets finally succumbed to the higher rates, stronger US dollar environment on Wednesday, with vulnerabilities evident earlier in the week finally materialising. But the underlying factors behind the rally have not gone away, making us inclined to continue buying dips.

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Yesterday 09:53 AM
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