News and analysis

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GBP/USD, EUR/USD forecast: Here’s why the US dollar rally has stalled

The US dollar rally has stalled, and the longer is fails to extends its gains the greater the odds of a pullback. For today, flash PMIs have placed GBP/USD and EUR/USD into focus.

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Today 02:19 PM
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Gold, silver: Buying the dip needs a health warning given heavy price action

The bigger the rally the harder the fall? Traders dabbling in the precious metals space may be asking that exact question with gold and silver extending their losses on Tuesday after a brutal start to the week.

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Today 01:18 PM
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Gold’s worst day in two years, Crude oil eyes bounce above $80: Asian Open

There has been a shakeup at the top for gold, which opened the week at the high and closed the day at the low during its worst day in two years. We also look at a potential swing trade long on WTI crude oil.

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AUD/USD forecast: Bullish reversal may have legs before key inflation update

Whether you want to call it a bullish hammer, dragonfly doji, false break or morning star, the price action on the AUD/USD daily suggests the path of least resistance is higher in the near-term.

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Today 08:40 AM

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British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Hits 2024 Lows, Traders Continue to Sell Rallies

GBP/USD remains in “sell rallies” mode, so bullish readers will want to be nimble against a broader backdrop that favors more downside from here.

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Crude oil outlook remains positive despite reduced war risk

Crude oil demand outlook will come into a sharp focus this week with the release of the global manufacturing PMI data, US GDP and the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation this week. Still, Middle East tensions remain the key driver of short-term price action. Meanwhile, WTI technical analysis suggests the longer-term trend is still bullish.

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises ahead of key tech earnings this week

US stocks are set to open higher after steep losses across the previous week. The S&P500 fell over 3% last week and the Nasdaq 6% amid expectations that the Fed will keep rates high for longer. Attention this week is turning to tech earnings, with Tesla, Meta, Alphabet, and Microsoft reporting earnings. US core PCE and Q1 GDP data later in the week will also be in focus.

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Yesterday 11:21 PM
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USD/JPY analysis: Currency Pair of the Week - April 22, 2024

US GDP, Core PCE and BoJ policy are among the risk events this week for the USD/JPY currency pair, as the focus turns to sticky inflation and elevated interest rates narrative from Middle East concerns for now. USD/JPY technical analysis point to a potential rally above 155.00.

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EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises, but gains could be limited with ECB President Lagarde’s speech in focus. Oil falls as Middle East tensions ease & the demand outlook deteriorates.

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Yesterday 06:53 PM
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GBP/USD: Selling squeezes as bearish fundamentals and technicals combine

Divergent economic and monetary policy outlooks for the US and UK continue to weigh on GBP/USD, making the case for downside a far easier sell than for upside right now.

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Yesterday 02:58 PM
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EUR/USD, Gold, Crude Oil, 2-year note analysis: COT report

EUR/USD futures traders are on the cusp of flipping to net-short exposure, and managed funds are increasing their short exposure to gold and crude oil.

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Gold price forecast: Sustainable bull markets need to breathe occasionally

The inverse relationship between bond yields and US dollar with the gold price has broken down in 2024, meaning technicals and inflation expectations are arguably a more important driver right now.

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Weekly equities forecast: Tesla, Lloyds & Barclays earnings preview

S&P 500 and the FTSE fell last week after the market pushed back Fed rate cut expectations and as geopolitical tensions hurt risk sentiment. Look ahead; US core PCE will be a key focus next week, as well as earning season with Tesla earnings and UK bank's earnings.

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