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japan_03

The Nikkei 225 has been added to my watch (out below) list

The Nikkei has been grinding higher in recent weeks, but with momentum turning lower at resistance and asset managers are increasing longs, perhaps it's ready for a leg or two lower.

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Today 04:30 PM
china_07

Hang Seng, China A50: IMF gets bullish as just as Chinese stocks roll over

It’s said the stock market isn’t the economy and based on the performance of Hang Seng futures on Wednesday, it’s hard to argue against. Because on the same day the International Monetary Fund upgraded its China economic growth forecast, stocks in Hong Kong are getting hammered.

Gold nuggets

The mild rebound for gold and copper wreaks of a dead-cat bounce

Gold and copper have made mild attempt to recoup last week's losses, which puts us on alert for a potential 'dead cat bounce'. Whilst silver’s rebound has been much more impressive, resistance looms.

aus_07

AUD/USD, ASX 200: Stalling disinflation weakens case for RBA rate cuts

Disinflationary forces in Australia have stalled with annual rates for headline and underlying inflation trending flat to higher, and well above the 2.5% midpoint of the RBA’s target. Not only does that weaken the case for rate cuts but means the next move from the RBA may be a hike.

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Today 01:02 PM

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Research

USD/JPY breaks its latest glass ceiling, crude oil surges ahead of OPEC+

USD/JPY closed above 157 for the first time since the MOF last intervened, which brings 158 into focus for bulls. Crude oil also rose over 3% on Tuesday from arguably oversold levels.

gold_03

Gold outlook: inflation data takes centre stage as metal consolidates

This week’s key data is the core PCE price index, due on Friday. Ahead of it, gold may remain in a consolidation phase. Whether we see further short-term weakness following last week’s 3% drop doesn't significantly alter the long-term bullish gold outlook.

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Today 02:43 AM
Oil refinery

Crude Oil Outlook: Demand Potential vs OPEC Supply Policies

Crude Oil Outlook: Oil charts are set to gear up this week with a confluence of factors including economic growth metrics, geo-political tensions, inventories, and OPEC policies.

united_states_01

NASDAQ 100 Forecast QQQ steadies below the ATH ahead of inflation data

US stocks edge lower as traders return from the long weekend break and look ahead to inflation data later in the week. The data comes as the market remains fixed on when the Fed could start to cut interest rates. Expectations have been pushed back after a strong of Fed officials warned that they need to see more evidence of inflation cooling before cutting rates.

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Today 12:00 AM
Close-up of market chart

EUR/USD outlook: Currency Pair of the Week – May 28, 2024

EUR/USD outlook could be impacted by key inflation data from Eurozone and US this week, as euro makes positive start to new week and dollar falls. EUR/USD technical analysis points higher after breaking from its bullish flag pattern. However, with key data on tap, the upside could be limited.

united_kingdom_03

GBP/USD, DAX Forecast: Two trades to watch

GBP/USD steadies ahead of US consumer confidence & Fed speakers. DAX inches higher after wholesale prices fall & ahead of a big week for inflation.

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Yesterday 06:15 PM
Forex trading

USD on track to snap 4-month winning streak, EUR/USD bulls eye 1.09

Barring a miraculous rebound before the end of month, the USD index is on track to snap its first 4-month winning streak since the December 2022 high.

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Yesterday 04:01 PM
Uptrend

GBP/USD, NZD/USD: Bullish breaks bring tougher tests on the horizon

GBP/USD and NZD/USD look bullish on the charts, breaking to fresh multi-month highs. With a light calendar in the UK and New Zealand, positioning tweaks ahead of Friday’s key US PCE inflation report looks set to drive the price action in the coming days.

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Yesterday 01:08 PM
stocks_02

These S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones ‘rallies’ look made to fade

We have four full trading days left in the month, and odds favour another bullish month for US indices. However, price action on the daily timeframe has alerted me to a potential pullback, while VIX futures and market positioning are also sending smoke signals to be aware of.

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