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Close-up of market chart showing downtrend

S&P 500 outlook starting to turn a little bearish

Concerns over prolonged high interest rates have started to undermine stocks a little, with risk appetite waning amid a lack of major fresh bullish catalysts ahead of Friday’s publication of core PCE price index. A potential close below 5250 today could turn the S&P 500 outlook bearish in the short-term perspective.

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May 31, 2024 02:00 AM
Bank notes of different currencies

Forex Seasonality – June 2024: Potential for EUR/USD and AUD/USD Rallies, USD/CAD Drop

June has historically been the 3rd-best month of the year for EUR/USD and AUD/USD - will we see strength this year?

USA flag

S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as rate jitters remain

US stocks point to a weaker open after US Q1 GDP was downwardly revised but rate jitters remain. Q1 GDP was lowered to 1.3%. However, this still represents solid growth, giving the Fed few reasons to start cutting rates anytime soon. Attention will be on Fed speakers later ahead of US core PCE tomorrow, which could provide more clues over the timing of the first Fed rate cut.

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Today 11:51 PM
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EUR/USD forecast remains murky ahead of key events

The EUR/USD forecast remains murky in the short-term outlook, but brighter in the longer-term horizon.

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DAX, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch

DAX falls as risk sentiment sours ahead of key data tomorrow. Oil falls on demand outlook concerns ahead of US data & OPEC+ meeting.

Forex trading

The 2-year beckons USD higher ahead of PCE inflation, risk-off tone in Asia

If the 2-year yield is right, it suggests the USD could be set to rise over the near term. And I suspect that PCE inflation could be the trigger. For now, risk off tones are in the air.

Quarry and various stones

Iron ore keeps finding buyers despite ballooning Chinese port inventories

Despite bourgeoning Chinese port inventories, widespread loss making at steel mills and no guarantee that measures to stablise China’s property market will drive increased construction activity, there’s seemingly no shortage of willing buyers of iron ore out there right now.

UK Union Jack Flag alongside some European Union flags

EUR/USD, GBP/USD: Sucked down the gurgler as US bond auctions flop

When the US government is forced to pay up to fund its ballooning deficit, it means it needs to attract capital from somewhere, be it other asset classes or regions. EUR and GBP are not immune to the global drain towards the US dollar.

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Today 09:55 AM
Graphic of trading data chart

USD, Wall Street, gold: Risk seems to be falling apart at the seams

I suspect we're seeing the early moves of a pullback of appetite for risk in general, which saw traders push Wall Street indices and gold lower on Wednesday thanks to weak treasury demand. And it seems to be paving the way for the next leg higher for the USD.

Oil rig on an grey day

Crude Oil Forecast: WTI, Brent Battle Strong USD Ahead of OPEC+

The OPEC+ supply outlook for WTI and Brent crude oil is a more potent driver of price action in the current environment than the US dollar.

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Today 04:45 AM
    Close-up of market chart showing downtrend

    S&P 500 outlook is starting to turn slightly negative

    With a lack of any fresh bullish stimulus and following months of solid gains, we could see a bit of a correction. So, in my opinion, the S&P 500 outlook is not looking too great at current levels and without a sizeable correction.

    united_states_03

    Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls as treasury yields rise

    US stocks point to a weaker start as treasury yields rise. Concerns over sticky inflation and high rates for longer hurt mega caps. The US economic calendar is relatively quiet today, with the Fed Beige Book and several Fed speakers in focus ahead of Friday's core-PCE data. Oil prices are rising for a fourth straight day as the OPEC+ meeting comes into view.

    Market chart showing uptrend

    Silver Outlook: Financial Asset Meets Green Agendas

    Silver Outlook: The silver bull run has been in the headlines, but since when?

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