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USD/CAD in the crossfire of CA CPI and FOMC: European open – 19/09/2023

The Canadian dollar has continued to strengthen alongside oil prices in recent days, sending USD/CAD to a near 5-week low, GBP/CAD beneath its 200-day EMA and CAD/JPY to within striking distance of its 2022 high. Today’s Canadian inflation data could prove volatile for USD/CAD ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting.

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September 19, 2023 02:41 PM

Oil, Canadian Dollar Analysis: USD/CAD Hits 1-Month Lows as Oil Rally Extends

Technical analysis shows WTI may be getting stretched while USD/CAD could have further to fall...

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September 19, 2023 02:45 AM

US dollar, USD/CAD, WTI crude oil analysis: Commitment of traders report (COT)

The USD is on the cusp of flipping to net-long exposure among G10 currencies according to data compiled by IMM (International Monetary Market). And despite the resurgence of US dollar strength, oil continues to perform well and market positioning is looking increasingly bullish for the weeks or even months ahead.

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September 18, 2023 12:23 PM

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Pre-CPI US Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, Gold, USD/JPY

The US Dollar is holding near resistance ahead of high-impact data, with tomorrow’s CPI release followed by the Thursday ECB rate decision, and then next week’s FOMC meeting.

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Dollar analysis: EUR/USD, USD/CAD and Gold outlook - Technical Tuesday

Welcome to Technical Tuesday, a weekly report where we highlight some of the most interesting markets that will hopefully appease technical analysts and traders alike. In this edition of Technical Tuesday, we will analyse the EUR/USD, USD/CAD and gold. The EUR/USD was clinging onto the 1.07 handle at the time of writing. The lower highs and lower lows on the EUR/USD mean that the technical outlook remains bearish until the charts tell us otherwise.

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September 13, 2023 12:20 AM

Canadian Dollar Technical Analysis: USD/CAD Pulls Back from Key Resistance

The bullish move in USD/CAD has been pronounced after the pair bottomed in July, but now the question of topping starts to come in as a major resistance level has come back into the picture.

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Dollar analysis: DXY, EUR/USD, Gold and USD/CAD in focus – Forex Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report, we will focus the US dollar, gold, USD/CAD and EUR/USD, ahead of next week’s key events: US CPI and ECB policy decision.


USD/CAD hits resistance ahead of BOC, US PMIs: European open – 06/09/2023

The Bank of Canada (BOC) are expected to hold rates at today’s meeting, given GDP unexpectedly contracted in Q2. Still, implied volatility has spiked higher for USD/CAD. Perhaps the BOC pause will not be as dovish as expected, Fed members tout a hold or the rise of bond yields (and therefore the US dollar) lose steam. If so, USD/CAD may be better for short bets beneath the April highs.

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September 6, 2023 03:25 PM

USD/CAD Outlook remains Bullish – Currency Pair of the Week

Our bullish USD/CAD outlook will be tested this week, with key events from Canada to look forward to, as well as a couple of potentially market-moving data from the US. The USD/CAD was understandably trading within small ranges on Monday with both North American nations on holiday, but the bullish trend remained in place.

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US dollar analysis: GBP/USD, USD/CAD and EUR/USD outlook – Forex Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report, we will focus on the US dollar analysis, and provide updates on the GBP/USD, USD/CAD and EUR/USD outlook, before looking ahead to the next week. We maintain a bearish outlook on the US dollar and would favour looking for bullish setups on high-beta currencies.

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EUR/USD analysis, USD/CAD and GOLD outlook - Technical Tuesday

In this week’s report, we will provide technical analysis on the EUR/USD and USD/CAD and discuss the GOLD outlook. The slight risk off tone across financial markets has kept the dollar supported on haven flows. But with US CPI to come, we could see a potential reversal in the dollar’s bullish trend this week, with major currency pairs testing some key levels.

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USD/CAD outlook: Jobs and inflation in focus

The USD/CAD outlook is going to be influenced by jobs reports from both the US and Canada due out later today.

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August 4, 2023 09:34 PM

Canadian Dollar Technical Forecast: USD/CAD Bulls Eye Resistance

Canadian Dollar is on the defensive for a third week with USD/CAD rallying nearly 2% off the yearly low. The levels that matter on the weekly technical chart.

Canadian Dollar Analysis: Did USD/CAD Form a Bottom at 1.31?

A near-term bottom may be in for a USD/CAD rally back toward 1.3300+, depending on Canada’s CPI reading...

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USD/CAD outlook: Currency pair of the week

The USD/CAD outlook is subject to a major revision this week with investors looking forward to the release of US CPI and a rate decision from the Bank of Canada.

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EUR/USD, USD/CAD Analysis: European open – 10th July 2023

Much of the price action among FX majors during the Asian session was dedicated to retracing against Friday’s moves (which saw the US dollar strengthen, but not by much). The majority of daily ranges for FX majors are below 55% and 1-day implied volatility is also below historical volatility levels which warns of a quieter start to the week. Today's charts looks at potential opportunities on EUR/USD and USD/CAD.

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USD/CAD outlook: All eyes on jobs reports – FOREX Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we discuss selected currency themes mainly from a macro viewpoint, but we also throw in a pinch of technical analysis here and there. In this week’s shortened report, we will discuss the USD/CAD pair outlook, and look forward to next week’s key events affecting this pair.

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USD/CAD outlook: Stronger US data could put floor under Loonie

Today's release of stronger US data helped to fuel a rally in US dollar, helping to support the USD/CAD outlook. If today’s bullish price action is confirmed on a closing basis, then the Loonie is one to watch out for on the long side.

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June 28, 2023 02:18 AM

AUD/USD, USD/CAD analysis: CPI reports for AUD and CAD traders in focus

Key inflation reports for Canada and Australia will be released over the next 24 hours which could have a direct impact on interest rate decisions for the BOC and RBA.


Canadian dollar analysis: BOC surprises with a hike, USD/CAD falls to trendline support

USD/CAD is falling to test a key trend line after the BOC surprised markets with a 25bps interest rate increase

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June 8, 2023 12:24 AM

USD/CAD outlook: US dollar drops as June hike bets trimmed

The sell-off has been trigged by broad US dollar weakness ahead of the US nonfarm jobs report on Friday. Consequently, the USD/CAD outlook has turned bearish, at least in the short-term anyway.

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June 2, 2023 02:00 AM
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Canadian dollar analysis: USD/CAD chops at 1.35, BOC pause to end?

With USD/CAD trading near the middle of this week’s range around 1.3500, short-term traders could consider quick trades within the symmetrical triangle pattern...

Canadian dollar analysis: USD/CAD probing key support near 1.33

USD/CAD is probing its lowest level in months in the mid-1.3300s - will it break down?