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Yes, inflation may have peak but it “remains far too high”

Sometimes the obvious needs to be said. And that is exactly what the BOC’s deputy governor said in his op-ed by stating inflation “remains far too high”.

Canadian July CPI weaker than previous month. Peak inflation for Canada?

The July Canadian CPI print came in weaker than June’s print and USD/CAD sold off. Traders may have been expecting an even weaker print, similar to that of the US CPI.

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Currency Pair of the Week: GBP/USD

With the UK CPI and employment data this week, along with a China rate cut and US housing data, manufacturing data, and retail sales, GBP/USD could be in for some volatility.

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Week Ahead: Traders mull peak inflation heading into “retail week”

This week expect to see more follow through price action from US inflation data and a focus on the consumer

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Forex Friday: EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY

In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar’s recovery despite weaker inflation data, and talk up the prospects of the euro, pound and yen.

Gold dips despite softening signs of inflation

Perhaps a bit of basing and consolidation is needed for the metal to gear up for a clean breakout above $1800.

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August 12, 2022 02:17 AM

USD/JPY heading to 130?

With the odds of 75 basis point hike having dropped, the Fed is careful not to push too hard against that...

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Weak US CPI means EUR/USD 1.05 no longer unrealistic

The US inflation report lived up to expectations in terms of market impact!

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August 11, 2022 03:30 AM

US CPI recap: A turning point in the inflation debate?

If the “peak inflation” theme gathers steam in the coming weeks, we may look back at today’s inflation reading as a major turning point for the year-to-date market trends.

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August 10, 2022 10:55 PM
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US CPI preview: Are we past peak inflation?

Headline inflation reading may show price pressures fading while the Fed’s preferred “core” (ex-energy and food) CPI measure shows that underlying inflation is still rising

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GBP/USD: What doesn’t kill you makes you stronger

GBP/USD is down only modestly despite so much negative news...

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August 6, 2022 02:41 AM
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Heed the SNB’s warning if inflation reading is high!

The SNB has already given warnings that it could take monetary policy action between meetings if necessary.

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August 3, 2022 05:40 AM
Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

Japan data dump won’t help the Yen; USD/JPY

If the data dump later comes out as expected, will the BOJ turn less dovish? It's unlikely.

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July 29, 2022 04:59 AM
Research

AU Q2 inflation surges but fears ease over supersized 75bp RBA rate hike

June quarter Australian inflation data has surged to 6.1%, but below consensus expectations easing fears of a supersized 75bp rate hike when the RBA meets next week.

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Mexico CPI continues to rise; rate hikes not helping yet

The headline mid-month inflation rate for July is 8.16% YoY , led primarily by rising food costs. This is the highest level of inflation in 21 years!

Canada CPI weaker than expected – Peak inflation?

Although the June CPI reading for Canada was higher than the May reading, the headline was much lower than expected.

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July 21, 2022 12:28 AM

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Traders see continued rate hikes over the next year, despite concerns of a recession

Will central banks be able to raise rates fast enough to keep higher inflation at bay, while simultaneously keeping the world out of a recession?

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July 19, 2022 05:30 AM
Gold nuggets

Gold rises, dollar slumps despite hot CPI

Hot CPI readings may hurt the economy so badly that the Fed may start cutting rates again in as early as Q1

US CPI comes in hot! US Dollar on the move

The US CPI print came out much hotter than expected 9.1% YoY. This print, combined with the strong employment data, should give the Fed confidence to hike at least 75bps

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July 14, 2022 12:05 AM
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Bitcoin rebounds but remains vulnerable ahead of US CPI

If inflation comes in ahead of expectations, this will only raise speculation about aggressive monetary tightening

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US CPI preview: Will inflation overshoot again?

Annual CPI is expected to have accelerated to 8.8% in June from 8.6% in May.

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Two trades to watch: GBP/USD, USD/CAD

GBP/USD rises after UK GDP, US CPI next, USD/CAD awaits the BoC rate decision.

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July 13, 2022 05:17 PM