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S&P 500 is heading to a lower open amid a cautious market mood. After strong gains across November, on bets that the Fed is at peak rates and could cut next year, attention now turns to economic data for clues over the Fed's next move. US factory orders are due today but the main focus will be on Friday's non-farm payroll figures. Meanwhile Uber rallies on S&P 500 inclusion news and Coinbase soars as Bitcoin hits breaks above $40k.

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.

US stocks are set for a quiet open as investors look cautiously ahead to an appearance by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later today. His comments will come as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation cooled to 3.5% YoY in October and as the market wraps up a month of impressive gains. Optimism that the Fed could start to cut rates next year lifted the Nasdaq 100 11% this month, its best monthly gain since mid-2022.

EUR/USD struggles below 1.09 ahead of manufacturing data & Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Oil falls after OPEC+ underwhelmed.

Stocks are set to end November on a strong footing after US core PCE, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge cooled inline with forecasts. Core PCE eased to 3.5% YoY from 3.7%, supporting the view that the Federal Reserve has finished hiking interest rates. Attention now turns to NY Fed President Williams for his comments ahead of Fed Chair Powell speech tomorrow.

DAX extends gains ahead of EZ and US inflation data. Oil holds steady with the OPEC+ meeting and China data in focus.

US stocks are rising in risk on trade after comments from Federal Reserve officials raised expectations that the Fed was done hiking interest rates and is looking at when to start cutting rates. The market is now pricing in a 40% probability of a 25 basis point hike in March. Attention is shifting to tomorrow's inflation data for further clues over the path for rates.

The two largest US oil and gas companies both announced major acquisitions that will increase production while lowering taxable revenue in the near future. Learn more in our rundown of Chevron and Exxon here.

EUR/USD rises ahead of Eurozone PMI data. Oil falls further after OPEC+ delays its November meeting.

Gold has formed a double top around $2000 which leaves the potential for a pullback before its next leg higher. And crude oil shows the potential for a bounce towards $80 or $82 ahead of next week's OPEC meeting.

US stocks are heading higher after a mildly lower close yesterday. Investors digest the latest Nvidia results, along with falling jobless claims and durable goods orders. The Fed meeting minutes saw policymakers reiterate that rates should remain high for longer. Still the market is convinced that the next move by the Fed will be a rate cut. Nvidia beat forecasts on top and bottom line.

Both WTI and Brent crude oil could rally further from here after breaking out of their bearish channels...

US stocks inch higher, consolidating after a strong rally across November. Expectations that the Fed is done hiking rates has boosted demand for equities. Investors are in wait and see mode ahead of the FOMC minutes tomorrow and Nvidia's earnings. Microsoft is in focus after hiring Sam Altman the ex-CEO of open AI who was ousted by the board on Friday.

EUR/USD bears continued to trim shorts while large speculators added to longs. Whilst this might not be a bullish bet on the strength of Europe, it may well be a bet against the US dollar. And with the 2-year note holding above key support and shorts being trimmed, it hints at lower yields and a weaker US dollar.

The Dow Jones is heading for a modestly positive open, but is set to book strong gains across the week. Cooling inflation, lower treasury yields and bets that the Federal Reserve has finished hiking interest rates has helped to boost the DJIA by 1.9% this week, while the USD is on track for a steep weekly decline. Oil is also steadying after steep losses in the previous session on ample supply and demand outlook concerns.

US stocks are holding after a run higher this week. US jobless claims came in above forecasts, supporting the view that the US labour market is cooling, amid a slightly slowing economy after the Fed's aggressive rate hiking cycle. The market is convinced that the Fed is done hiking rates and the next move will be a cut. Several Fed officials are due to speak later. Earning from Walmart, Macy's and Cisco are in focus.

EUR/USD falls ahead of ECB President Lagarde's speech & US jobless claims. Oil falls for a third straight day after inventories rise.