Oil

U.S. stocks are heading for a mixed start after weaker-than-expected data keeps rate cut hopes alive and as banks’ quarterly results continue to roll in. Retail sales rose 0.4% MoM and jobless claims rose 217k. However, this is a fine balance, the market won't want to see data weaken too much. Elsewhere Morgan Stanley and Bank of America continued the strong start to earnings season.

Concerns over rising inflationary pressures were building as we headed towards the end of 2024. And the rapid acceleration of crude oil prices this year is doing nothing to alleviate those concerns.

U.S. stocks are surging higher following cooling US inflation data and after banks kick off earnings season on the front foot. US CPI rose 2.9% YoY up from 2.7% in November. Core CPI eased to 3.2% easing some inflationary worries. pulling treasury yields and the USD lower while lifting stocks. US banks kicked off earnings on a positive note with JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo posting solid profits.

Since the beginning of the year, WTI has increased its price by more than 8%, surpassing the psychological barrier of $75, previously regarded as the closest resistance.

U.S. stocks are set to open lower after the US non-farm payroll report smashed forecasts, dampening expectations for Fed rate cuts. 256k jobs were added in December, well ahead of the 164k forecast. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%. The market has lowered rate cut expectations and pushed back the first cut to October.

US stocks are struggling amid lingering inflation fears following yesterday's ISM services PMI, a sharp drop in jobless claims, and ahead of the Fed minutes scheduled to be released later today. The Fed is expected to be more cautious regarding rate cuts this year amid signs of a solid economy and concerns over inflationary measures from Trump.

U.S. stocks are heading for a positive open as investors await economic data and further insight into the incoming Trump administration's policies. US jolts job openings and ISM services PMI data are due later in the session. Signs of ongoing resilience within the economy could further dampen Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Separately, Nvidia is set to open higher after new products were unveiled, including an AI superchip.

DAX rises after PMIs improve; inflation data is due. Oil eases after 5% gains last week.

EUR/USD rises with ECB rate decision & US CPI data due this week. Oil rises on geopolitical developments and China’s policy move.

U.S. stocks are set for a stronger open after the US non-farm payroll report supported the case for a December rate cut while showing that the labour market remains resilient. 227K jobs were added, up from 36k last month. Meanwhile, unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1% and average wage growth was 0.4% stronger than the 0.3% forecast. The market still sees the Fed cutting rates in December by 25 bps.

U.S. stocks are set for a muted opening as investors digest the latest jobs data and prepare for tomorrow's nonfarm payroll report. Yesterday, the S&P 500, the NASDAQ 100, and the Dow Jones booked record closing highs thanks to a surging technology sector and after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell highlighted the strength of the US economy.

U.S. stocks are pushing higher, with the NASDAQ 100 and the S&P 500 adding to yesterday’s record-high close ahead of comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Investors are brushing off geopolitical risks, and attention is on a slew of US economic data; ADP payrolls were weaker than forecast, and ISM services PMI, as well as factory orders, are due to be released shortly. The data, along with Fed Chair Powell could give further insight into the future path for rates.

U.S. stocks are edging lower on Tuesday after the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ closed at record levels in the previous session. Sentiment is souring after news that China will begin banning the export of some rare minerals to the US in a tit-for-tat escalation of the tech war

EUR/USD rises, but the outlook remains weak below 1.06. Oil rises ahead of inventory data & OPEC’s meeting later in the week

U.S. stocks are heading for a modestly strong start to December after posting solid gains in the previous month. The mood is cautiously upbeat as traders return from the extended Thanksgiving weekend break, despite more trade tariifs threats from Trump over the weekend. This week is a busy week for economic data, with Friday's NFP a kay focus ahead of the December Fed meeting.

Oil steadies after 3-days of losses. Easing tension in the Middle East saw the geopolitical risk premium fall. However, OPEC+ pushing back its December 1st meeting raises optimism the group will postpone unwinding oil production cuts. Volumes will likely remain low owing to the US Thanksgiving holiday.

U.S. stocks are mixed after stronger than forecast data and ahead of the key core PCE inflation report. US GDP was revised higher to 1.9% in Q3, up from 1.8%, boosted by solid consumer spending as inflation continued to cool. Meanwhile, jobless fell to 213k. The data points to the US economy being in a good place raising questions over the Fed's ability to cut rates. US core PCE is expected to rise to 2.8% YoY in October.