USD

You don’t need a degree in economics to see Trump’s demands for lower rates flies in the face of a strong US economy. And with Trump likely to try and strong arm the Fed into lower rates, we’re back onto the topic of Fed independence.

US Dollar is trading into key support at the monthly lows on the heels of President Trump’s inauguration. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.

U.S. stocks are set for a positive opening as investors assess comments from President Trump on his plans for AI infrastructure and possible trade tariffs and digested more corporate earnings. The Nasdaq is soaring, outperforming its peers after Trump announced a $500 billion investment in AI infrastructure. The project will see OpenAI team up with Oracle and Softbank in the Stargate project. Separately Netflix beat earnings forecasts and added 19 million new subscribers.

US stock futures are rising amid relief in the market from a slightly more measured inauguration speech. President Trump did not lay out concrete plans for universal tariffs, bringing initial relief. Since then Trump has mentioned plans to implement trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Oil extends losses on Trump's plans to increase output.

U.S. stocks are heading higher on Friday, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones set to book the strongest weekly advances since November. Investors are waiting for further clues regarding Tump’s policies next week. Treasury yields have dipped this week and the USD has fallen, helping lift sentiment.

The EUR/USD has dropped over 8% from the peak levels seen in September 2024.

U.S. stocks are heading for a mixed start after weaker-than-expected data keeps rate cut hopes alive and as banks’ quarterly results continue to roll in. Retail sales rose 0.4% MoM and jobless claims rose 217k. However, this is a fine balance, the market won't want to see data weaken too much. Elsewhere Morgan Stanley and Bank of America continued the strong start to earnings season.

Over the past three sessions, USD/MXN declined by more than 2%, benefiting the Mexican peso.

Leading indicators point to a roughly as-expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 150-200K range

US stocks are struggling amid lingering inflation fears following yesterday's ISM services PMI, a sharp drop in jobless claims, and ahead of the Fed minutes scheduled to be released later today. The Fed is expected to be more cautious regarding rate cuts this year amid signs of a solid economy and concerns over inflationary measures from Trump.

The latest batch of ISM reports have been released for December, and they’re not looking good for rate cuts. And that's keeping the USD supported and AUD/USD under pressure.

A rebound off uptrend support keeps the focus on a breakout of the weekly range heading into NFPs on Friday. Battle lines drawn on the DXY short-term technical charts.

U.S. stocks are heading for a positive open as investors await economic data and further insight into the incoming Trump administration's policies. US jolts job openings and ISM services PMI data are due later in the session. Signs of ongoing resilience within the economy could further dampen Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Separately, Nvidia is set to open higher after new products were unveiled, including an AI superchip.

U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start, adding to Friday's rally as investors buy into technology stocks based on continued optimism surrounding AI . Attention is also on the economic calendar, which ramps up this week as volumes pick up and trades return from the festive break. The highlight will be Friday's NFP report, which will be the first significant test for the markets.

The USD has remained supported on expectations of a considerably-less dovish Fed. But with 'Fed day' generally being bearish for the dollar alongside its tendency to selloff into the year end, I have an inkling we're heading towards a "buy the rumour, sell the fact" for the USD.

US Dollar rebounded off trend support early in the month with the bulls in a holding pattern ahead of the Fed. Battle lines drawn on the DXY weekly technical chart.

U.S. stocks are heading to a higher open. US inflation data brought no surprises and bolstered expectations that the Fed would cut rates again next week. CPI rose 2.7% YoY, up from 2.6% in October, and core CPI rose 3.3%. The data cemented expectations that the Fed would cut rates in December, boosting stocks while the USD was unchanged.