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Powell said it- Not considering 75bps rate hike! Do markets believe him?

Based on today’s price action so far, it doesn’t seem like the markets are taking Powell seriously.

May 6, 2022 01:47 AM
    • Trade Ideas
    • Forex
    • FOMC
    • Powell

    Ahead of the Fed: S&P 500 Index

    The result of today’s FOMC meeting has potential for volatility in the S&P 500 index.

    May 5, 2022 12:45 AM
      • SPX 500
      • Stock indices
      • Trade Ideas
      • FOMC

      European Open: USD/JPY hugs 130 like an old friend it's about to leave

      USD/JPY has been trading in a 20-pip range around 130 over the past 12 or so hours - a level we don’t expect to see it anywhere near this time tomorrow.

      May 4, 2022 03:07 PM
        • Forex
        • Commodities
        • Indices
        • Equities
        • FTSE
        • Trade Ideas
        • USD/JPY
        • FOMC

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        FOMC meeting preview: 50bps a “done deal” but balance sheet update will be key

        Of course, with a 50bps move already fully discounted, the Fed’s interest rate decision is unlikely to be a market mover by itself...see what traders will be focused on instead!

        May 3, 2022 03:07 AM
          • Fed
          • FOMC
          • Interest rates
          • Inflation
          • Forex

          Forex Friday: Dollar Bulls, Pound Bears Exhausted

          In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar and its impressive rally, and ponder over the pounded pound

          April 29, 2022 11:30 PM
            • Forex
            • Trade Ideas
            • BOE
            • FOMC
            • Fed

            SP500 - a dead cat bounce or a stronger recovery Part II?

            This morning, the Federal Reserve followed the lead of the ECB last week to deliver a hawkish surprise. The Feds dot plots showed the median dot in 2022 rose to 1.875%, consistent with another six rate hikes in 2022, in line with market expectations.

            March 17, 2022 02:36 PM
              • Stocks
              • US stocks
              • Wall Street
              • FOMC
              • FOMC meeting
              • FOMC Statement
              • The Federal Reserve
              • Federal Reserve

              FOMC hikes rates 25bps as expected, but statement says more hikes to come!

              The FOMC has a plan to raise rates steadily over the course of the year and run off the balance sheet.

              March 17, 2022 07:18 AM
                • Trade Ideas
                • Forex
                • EUR USD
                • FOMC
                • Powell

                US open: Stocks rise as Russia's stance softens, Fed in focus

                US stocks are pointing to a strong open as hope of a truce in Ukraine grow, as Beijing pledges more support to the economy and ahead of the Fed rate decision.

                March 16, 2022 11:53 PM
                  • USD
                  • Indices
                  • Nasdaq
                  • Commodities
                  • Oil
                  • FOMC
                  • Trade Ideas

                  Two trades to watch: EUR/USD, Oil

                  EUR/USD rises towards 1.10 ahead of the Fed rate decision. WTI crude oil rises after 11% declines in 2 days.

                  March 16, 2022 07:18 PM
                    • EUR USD
                    • Fed
                    • FOMC
                    • Forex
                    • Trade Ideas
                    • Commodity
                    • Oil

                    European Open: Sentiment gets another spring in its step ahead of FOMC

                    Equity markets were higher overnight as ongoing peace talks provided glimmers of hope the war could wind down.

                    March 16, 2022 04:32 PM
                      • FTSE
                      • Trade Ideas
                      • Russia Ukraine conflict
                      • FOMC
                      • Fed

                      The dollar rallies ahead of the FOMC meeting (but will it after?)

                      The US dollar index sits just below a 22-month high ahead of FOMC meeting, the outcome of which could be the fine line between an extended rally or reversal tomorrow.

                      March 15, 2022 02:22 PM
                        • Trade Ideas
                        • Forex
                        • Indices
                        • FOMC
                        • Fed
                        • DXY
                        • Dollar
                        • US Dollar

                        FOMC meeting preview: 25bps pencilled in, but balance sheet and dot plot updates key

                        It seems unlikely that Jerome Powell and Company will rock the boat dramatically this week, but the US dollar could still gain ground - see why!

                        March 15, 2022 05:39 AM
                          • Fed
                          • FOMC
                          • Trade Ideas
                          • US Dollar

                          FOMC meeting recap: Flexible statement but hawkish Powell has risk appetite reeling

                          Fed Chairman Powell used the press conference to refine the central bank’s message, striking a much more hawkish note than the more tepid monetary policy statement... and sending risk assets reeling.

                          January 27, 2022 07:31 AM
                            • Forex
                            • Fed
                            • Powell
                            • FOMC

                            FOMC meeting preview: Is there still a “Fed put”?

                            Traders expect this week’s Fed meeting to be the proverbial “calm before the storm” of aggressive Fed tightening throughout the rest of the year - see what the possibilities are!

                            January 25, 2022 06:28 AM
                              • Fed
                              • FOMC
                              • Federal Reserve
                              • QE

                              Asian Open: Inflation now deemed to be ‘entrenched’, not transitory

                              The Fed are now on track to complete tapering by March and potentially hike three times in 2022, irrespective of whether maximum employment has been achieved.

                              December 16, 2021 09:07 AM
                                • Trade Ideas
                                • Forex
                                • Indices
                                • Fed
                                • FOMC meeting
                                • FOMC
                                • AUD USD

                                FOMC increases tapering, sees 3 rate hikes in 2022 AND 2023

                                FOMC members expect inflation for 2021 to be 5.3%, 2.6% for 2022, and 2.3% for 2023

                                December 16, 2021 07:09 AM
                                  • Forex
                                  • Trade Ideas
                                  • FOMC
                                  • Powell

                                  Diamonds at NASDAQ 100 highs

                                  Nervousness ahead of the Fed and profit taking heading into year-end appear to be taking a toll on stock indices.

                                  December 15, 2021 05:02 AM
                                    • Stock indices
                                    • Trade Ideas
                                    • Nasdaq
                                    • FOMC

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                                    Fed Recap: Taper time

                                    It is time begin tapering the extraordinary money stimulus bond buying of $120 billion bonds per month.

                                    November 4, 2021 07:40 AM
                                      • Forex
                                      • Trade Ideas
                                      • EUR USD
                                      • DXY
                                      • FOMC

                                      European Open: Volatility Subsides Ahead of Today’s FOMC Meeting

                                      The Fed’s policy decision will be announced at 18:00 GMT, where anything less than an announcement to taper will be seen as a disappointment.

                                      November 3, 2021 04:38 PM
                                        • Forex
                                        • Commodities
                                        • FTSE
                                        • Trade Ideas
                                        • AUD
                                        • FOMC
                                        • FOMC meeting
                                        • Indices

                                        USD/NOK getting knocked around

                                        There are many variables in play this week which already have USD/NOK up 1.5% this week.

                                        November 3, 2021 08:08 AM
                                          • Trade Ideas
                                          • Forex
                                          • USD/NOK
                                          • OPEC
                                          • Norges Bank
                                          • FOMC

                                          Index in Focus: SPX 500

                                          The FOMC is expected to announce that they will begin tapering their quantitative easing program. What does that means for the S&P 500?

                                          November 3, 2021 03:11 AM
                                            • SPX 500
                                            • Trade Ideas
                                            • Indices
                                            • FOMC
                                            • Powell

                                            FOMC Preview: It’s time to taper

                                            Assuming the FOMC decides to taper, the focus will be on the pace of the taper.

                                            November 2, 2021 07:56 AM
                                              • Trade Ideas
                                              • Forex
                                              • FOMC
                                              • Powell
                                              • USD/JPY

                                              Reinterpreting NFP: Does slowing job growth argue for an immediate taper?

                                              This alternative interpretation of the state of the US labor market augurs for almost polar opposite policies from the Federal Reserve and Congress...

                                              October 12, 2021 02:46 AM
                                                • NFP
                                                • Fed
                                                • FOMC
                                                • Inflation
                                                • USD
                                                • Forex