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Fundamental Analysis
Stay in step with market opportunities and get insights, actionable trade ideas and dedicated support.
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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Digests Data, Core PCE on Tap
EUR/USD is trying to stage a bounce off the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the late-June to mid-July rally
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GBP/USD: Thumping Labour election victory? Meh, wake me up for payrolls
Labour has secured a thumping victory in the UK general election. GBP/USD is unmoved on the news, reflecting the result was priced in months ago. But the lack of volatility is also explained by its on the charts. It sits at an important level, making today’s June US nonfarm payrolls report a potential catalyst for a sizeable market move.
![Jobs](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/jobs-2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=7E5DBC4311F4A65B7AEE449092350729)
NFP Preview: US Dollar Bounce Potential if Jobs Data Doesn’t Disappoint
NFP leading indicators point to a slightly above expectation reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 175-225K range.
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British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Enters a Key Period With Everything to Play For
GBP/USD slipped last week on a moderately dovish BOE – what should traders be watching this week?
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How US government bond auctions work and why they’re important to financial markets
Bond markets make the financial world go round, helping to grease the wheels of commerce, allowing the economy activity to expand. But when too much debt is issued, it can overwhelm demand, causing borrowing costs to spike which can be detrimental to the economy.
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RBA backs uncertain productivity turnaround to achieve inflation target
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept Australia’s cash rate unchanged at 4.35% in May but refrained from increasing its longer-term underlying inflation forecasts, limiting the risk of a near-term interest rate hike.
![Jobs](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/jobs-2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=7E5DBC4311F4A65B7AEE449092350729)
NFP Preview: US Dollar Bounce Potential if Jobs Remain Strong
The US dollar is testing support and the NFP leading indicators point to a slightly above expectation reading this month, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 200-250K range
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FOMC Meeting Recap: US Dollar (DXY) Drops as Powell Feeds the Doves
The US dollar initially fell and indices rose as traders interpreted the Fed meeting and press conference as dovish.
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USD/JPY Forecast: BOJ and Fed Enter the Arena, Yields in Focus
USD/JPY's key technical levels to watch in the coming days include possible resistance at 149.70 and 151.00, with support down at 148.70 and 145.85.
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Hold your horses before buying copper’s bullish break
Those considering buying the break may want to look at copper’s lousy track record when it’s been this overbought on the four hourly chart in the past.
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AUD: Dreary domestic economy heightens risk RBA may abandon tightening bias
The largest and most important part of the Australian economy is struggling under the weight of higher borrowing costs, adding to the risk the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may be forced to start lowering policy rates sooner than other central banks, keeping the Australian dollar under pressure.
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AUD/USD: Growing risk Australia’s economy went backwards in late 2023
Risks are growing that Australia’s economy went backwards in the December quarter, keeping alive the prospect of the Reserve Bank of Australia bringing forward rate cuts following a string of weak domestic economic data last week. AUD/USD therefore remains a sell-on-rallies prospect.
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AUD/USD: Looking to sell rallies on expected inflation acceleration
Australian CPI is expected to accelerate in January, fitting with numerous other inflation readings around the developed world. While that sounds like a scenario that could benefit the AUD/USD on reduced RBA rate cut bets, don’t be surprised if an initial bounce is faded quickly on this occasion.
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EUR/USD Forecast: Can PMIs Break the Bearish Trend?
For this week, Eurozone PMIs and central bank speakers will be the big focus - see the key levels to watch on EUR/USD!
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Gold Forecast: Commodity Deflation and Wall Street’s Short Positions
Read on to see how inflation and Fed policy could impact the price of commodities like gold this year!
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Dollars and Sense: The Short-Term Case for US Dollar Strength
How interest rate differentials, scarcity, and falling liquidity could work together to boost the US dollar
![Bank notes of different currencies](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex4.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=F67382A26566536EE0ADBE2BDDE846B0)
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Downtrend to Extend to New 2024 Lows?
EUR/USD’s path of least resistance remains to the downside, with potential for the selling to accelerate toward 1.0700 depending on economic data...
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NZD/USD breakdown a sign soft landing euphoria may have run its course?
As a high beta play on the global economy, the NZD/USD may be signaling downside risks are growing in other cyclical assets.
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NFP Preview: USD/CAD Bounce Nears 1.3385 Resistance Ahead of Jobs Reports
The leading indicators point to a stronger-than-expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 175K-225K range
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AUD/USD: Australia’s jobs report just the tonic for RBA policy inaction
Booming jobs growth, record labour force participation and a gradual loosening of labour market conditions with the unemployment rate ticking up to 3.9%. For policymakers attempting to deliver a soft economic landing, Australia’s jobs report for November could barely have been better.
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S&P 500, China A50: A break and a bounce ahead of major event risk
In contrast to price action on the S&P 500 which is within touching distance of record highs, China’s A50 languishes at multi-year lows, hit by a sluggish domestic economy, fears about negative spillover effects from distressed property developers, along with geopolitical and regulatory risks.
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Biggest UK companies: your guide to the most-valuable British brands
The United Kingdom – and its benchmark stock index, the FTSE 100 – is home to some world-leading blue-chip businesses. But which are the biggest UK companies of all? Find out with our full list.
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The US Dollar Milkshake Theory: A Sweet Deal for USD Bulls?
The US Dollar Milkshake Theory, in its essence, predicts a significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar against other world currencies - see why and it's potential implications!