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Fundamental Analysis

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USD/JPY Forecast: BOJ and Fed Enter the Arena, Yields in Focus

USD/JPY's key technical levels to watch in the coming days include possible resistance at 149.70 and 151.00, with support down at 148.70 and 145.85.

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Hold your horses before buying copper’s bullish break

Those considering buying the break may want to look at copper’s lousy track record when it’s been this overbought on the four hourly chart in the past.


AUD: Dreary domestic economy heightens risk RBA may abandon tightening bias

The largest and most important part of the Australian economy is struggling under the weight of higher borrowing costs, adding to the risk the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may be forced to start lowering policy rates sooner than other central banks, keeping the Australian dollar under pressure.

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March 6, 2024 01:01 PM

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AUD/USD: Growing risk Australia’s economy went backwards in late 2023

Risks are growing that Australia’s economy went backwards in the December quarter, keeping alive the prospect of the Reserve Bank of Australia bringing forward rate cuts following a string of weak domestic economic data last week. AUD/USD therefore remains a sell-on-rallies prospect.

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March 4, 2024 05:05 PM

AUD/USD: Looking to sell rallies on expected inflation acceleration

Australian CPI is expected to accelerate in January, fitting with numerous other inflation readings around the developed world. While that sounds like a scenario that could benefit the AUD/USD on reduced RBA rate cut bets, don’t be surprised if an initial bounce is faded quickly on this occasion.

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February 28, 2024 10:58 AM
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EUR/USD Forecast: Can PMIs Break the Bearish Trend?

For this week, Eurozone PMIs and central bank speakers will be the big focus - see the key levels to watch on EUR/USD!

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Gold Forecast: Commodity Deflation and Wall Street’s Short Positions

Read on to see how inflation and Fed policy could impact the price of commodities like gold this year!

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February 7, 2024 03:00 AM
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Dollars and Sense: The Short-Term Case for US Dollar Strength

How interest rate differentials, scarcity, and falling liquidity could work together to boost the US dollar

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February 7, 2024 01:32 AM
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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Downtrend to Extend to New 2024 Lows?

EUR/USD’s path of least resistance remains to the downside, with potential for the selling to accelerate toward 1.0700 depending on economic data...

NZD/USD breakdown a sign soft landing euphoria may have run its course?

As a high beta play on the global economy, the NZD/USD may be signaling downside risks are growing in other cyclical assets.

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January 16, 2024 09:42 AM
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NFP Preview: USD/CAD Bounce Nears 1.3385 Resistance Ahead of Jobs Reports

The leading indicators point to a stronger-than-expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 175K-225K range


AUD/USD: Australia’s jobs report just the tonic for RBA policy inaction

Booming jobs growth, record labour force participation and a gradual loosening of labour market conditions with the unemployment rate ticking up to 3.9%. For policymakers attempting to deliver a soft economic landing, Australia’s jobs report for November could barely have been better.

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December 14, 2023 12:19 PM

S&P 500, China A50: A break and a bounce ahead of major event risk

In contrast to price action on the S&P 500 which is within touching distance of record highs, China’s A50 languishes at multi-year lows, hit by a sluggish domestic economy, fears about negative spillover effects from distressed property developers, along with geopolitical and regulatory risks.

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December 12, 2023 10:28 AM
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Biggest UK companies: your guide to the most-valuable British brands

The United Kingdom – and its benchmark stock index, the FTSE 100 – is home to some world-leading blue-chip businesses. But which are the biggest UK companies of all? Find out with our full list.


The US Dollar Milkshake Theory: A Sweet Deal for USD Bulls?

The US Dollar Milkshake Theory, in its essence, predicts a significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar against other world currencies - see why and it's potential implications!


Credit rating agencies: your complete guide

Credit rating agencies (CRAs) are a key part of fundamental analysis – and their actions can reverberate across financial markets. Learn all about what a credit rating agency does here.

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Euro analysis: EUR/USD Bulls Defend Support in the Mid-1.06s

If we see a daily close below 1.0635 support, it would open the door for another leg lower in EUR/USD...

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Mid-cap stocks: should you be trading mid-cap companies?

Mid-cap stocks are often overlooked by traders, but they can be powerful additions to your portfolio. Let’s examine what mid-cap stocks are and how to trade them.


US retail sales recap: Recession, Reschmession

The previously omnipresent calls for a 2023 recession in the US are looking more and more wrong by the day.

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Big Mac Index explained: using the Big Mac Index in trading

The Big Mac Index is a common measure of exchange rates, but can it be used to make trading decisions? Find out what the Big Mac Index is and how it works.

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February 2, 2023 08:00 PM

Understanding the price-to-earnings ratio: What is P/E and how can you use it?

The P/E ratio is one of the most popular metrics that’s used to determine the value of a stock. Find out how to use the price-to-earnings ratio in your trading and investment strategy, and what makes a good P/E ratio.

Forex trading

How GDP affects forex trading

GDP releases are crucial events on the forex trading calendar, measuring the percentage change in the economic output of a country. New GDP rates are highly anticipated by forex traders because of what they mean for the country’s economy and what policies central banks and government may enact in response.

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January 7, 2023 02:42 AM
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A comprehensive guide to trading with fundamental analysis

Fundamental analysis can be used to gauge the intrinsic, or fair, value of an asset like a stock or currency pair. Learn how fundamental analysis works here – at the end of this article, you’ll be able to practice using fundamental analysis yourself.