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EUR/USD, GBP/USD flip to net-short, JPY shorts near record high: COT report

There seems to be no fear in shorting then yen, given large speculators pushed net-short exposure to the second highest level on record last week. EUR/USD and GBP/USD also flipped to net-short exposure.

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Today 02:03 PM
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USD/JPY: Japan was just given every excuse to trigger BOJ intervention

If Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) was looking for a trigger to instruct the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to intervene in currency markets, they were just provided a big one. Expect heightened near-term volatility in USD/JPY on Monday.

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Today 12:31 PM
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US dollar, yields look set to close the gap with commodities

Momentum turned higher for the US dollar on Friday and the US 2-year is reconsidering a break above 2%, which could see them close the gap with the CRM commodities index - which have led both markets higher this year.

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AUD/USD weekly outlook: AUD squares up to US dollar strength

AUD/USD notched up a 5-day rally against the US dollar despite the hotter PCE inflation report for the US on Friday. Yet resistance levels nearby suggest it may be due a pullback.

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Today 06:00 AM

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    Energy

    Crude oil analysis: WTI on course to finish higher for fourth month

    Crude oil investors eye clues about demand outlook ahead of busy week, as OPEC+ cuts and reduced fears about Eurozone economy keep oil prices supported. WTI technical analysis suggests trend is still bullish.

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    S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Forecast for the Week Ahead: Into the FOMC

    It was a come back type of week for stocks, even with another hot inflation report. But next week brings the Fed and markets are still holding on to hopes for 2024 rate cuts.

    Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

    EUR/USD Forecast: ECB Still Favors a Summer Rate Cut – Does that Cap Euro?

    EUR/USD may have seen its bounce off 1.0600 support stall at 1.0740 – see the levels to watch moving forward!

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    Weekly equities forecast: Amazon, Apple & HSBC earnings previews

    Earnings drove volatility last week and continue to roll in this week. Attention will be on Amazon, Apple and HSBC. Here we look at what to expect.

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    April 27, 2024 04:37 PM
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    S&P 500 Analysis: SPX rises after more tech earnings & despite sticky inflation

    US stocks are set to open higher after impressive numbers from Alphabet and Microsoft. Meanwhile, US core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, was hotter than expected at 2.8% YoY, which is in line with February. Personal spending was stronger than expected. The data supports the view that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates. The central bank meets next week.

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    April 26, 2024 11:25 PM
    Forex trading

    USD/JPY analysis: BoJ disappoints as focus turns to intervention and US data - Forex Friday

    Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report, we will discuss the Japanese yen, US dollar and look ahead to the next week.

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    April 26, 2024 09:40 PM
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    DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Vulnerable Through Earnings Season

    The DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all look vulnerable to more downside as long as this week’s highs hold.

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    DAX analysis: Stocks hit by stagflation concerns amid earnings bonanza

    DAX drops to test key technical support area as Wall Street is spooked by latest inflation data, further raising doubts over Fed's ability to cut rates. Earnings from Microsoft and Alphabet to come after the bell.

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    April 26, 2024 01:00 AM
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    Dow Jones Analysis: DJIA falls after Meta disappoints, inflation rises

    Meta beat earnings and revenue forecasts with EPS of $4.71 on revenue of $36.46 billion. However, the share price has slumped after weaker revenue guidance and higher spending plans. The selloff has hit sentiment and dragged other tech stocks lower. Meanwhile, the US Q1 GDP was weaker than expected, at 1.6%, annualised. However, core PCE inflation rose more than expected across the quarter. The Dow Jone analysis sees the price testing support at 38000,

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    April 25, 2024 11:12 PM
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