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20231218 - 001 - 01

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA set for strong weekly gains ahead of Trump's inauguration

U.S. stocks are heading higher on Friday, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones set to book the strongest weekly advances since November. Investors are waiting for further clues regarding Tump’s policies next week. Treasury yields have dipped this week and the USD has fallen, helping lift sentiment.

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January 18, 2025 01:38 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls as retail sales slowed & banks earnings impress

U.S. stocks are heading for a mixed start after weaker-than-expected data keeps rate cut hopes alive and as banks’ quarterly results continue to roll in. Retail sales rose 0.4% MoM and jobless claims rose 217k. However, this is a fine balance, the market won't want to see data weaken too much. Elsewhere Morgan Stanley and Bank of America continued the strong start to earnings season.

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January 17, 2025 01:07 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA jumps as core CPI cools & banks earnings roll in

U.S. stocks are surging higher following cooling US inflation data and after banks kick off earnings season on the front foot. US CPI rose 2.9% YoY up from 2.7% in November. Core CPI eased to 3.2% easing some inflationary worries. pulling treasury yields and the USD lower while lifting stocks. US banks kicked off earnings on a positive note with JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo posting solid profits.

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January 16, 2025 01:30 AM

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises after PPI data & gradual trade tariff reports

U.S. stocks are heading for a positive open on Tuesday, boosted by softer US PPI data ahead of tomorrow's CPI figures and by hopes of gradual trade tariffs from Trump. PPI rose 3.3% YoY in December, below the 3.4% forecast. Reports that Trump's team could adopt a gradual approach to trade tariffs are also helping the mood and bringing treasury yields modestly lower. Fed speakers are in focus later today.

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January 15, 2025 01:17 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls after NFP smashed forecasts

U.S. stocks are set to open lower after the US non-farm payroll report smashed forecasts, dampening expectations for Fed rate cuts. 256k jobs were added in December, well ahead of the 164k forecast. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1%. The market has lowered rate cut expectations and pushed back the first cut to October.

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January 11, 2025 01:44 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA struggles ahead of FOMC minutes

US stocks are struggling amid lingering inflation fears following yesterday's ISM services PMI, a sharp drop in jobless claims, and ahead of the Fed minutes scheduled to be released later today. The Fed is expected to be more cautious regarding rate cuts this year amid signs of a solid economy and concerns over inflationary measures from Trump.

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January 9, 2025 01:15 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of data & on Nvidia superchip news

U.S. stocks are heading for a positive open as investors await economic data and further insight into the incoming Trump administration's policies. US jolts job openings and ISM services PMI data are due later in the session. Signs of ongoing resilience within the economy could further dampen Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Separately, Nvidia is set to open higher after new products were unveiled, including an AI superchip.

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January 8, 2025 01:19 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises with chip stocks leading the way

U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start, adding to Friday's rally as investors buy into technology stocks based on continued optimism surrounding AI . Attention is also on the economic calendar, which ramps up this week as volumes pick up and trades return from the festive break. The highlight will be Friday's NFP report, which will be the first significant test for the markets.

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January 7, 2025 01:13 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises after inflation data

U.S. stocks are heading to a higher open. US inflation data brought no surprises and bolstered expectations that the Fed would cut rates again next week. CPI rose 2.7% YoY, up from 2.6% in October, and core CPI rose 3.3%. The data cemented expectations that the Fed would cut rates in December, boosting stocks while the USD was unchanged.

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December 12, 2024 01:20 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ is unchanged as investors wait for inflation data

U.S. stocks are heading for a quiet open on Tuesday after losses in the previous session, and as the focus remains on upcoming inflation data. US CPI will be released tomorrow on Wednesday and is forecast to rise to 2.7% up from 2.6%. The market still expects a rate cut in December, but fewer cuts are expected next year.

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December 11, 2024 01:07 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX is muted at record high ahead of CPI this week

U.S. stocks are all set for a muted open after reaching record highs last week and as investors look ahead to inflation data later in the week. Stocks in the US have rallied across the past three weeks as the Trump trade continued to play out. US CPI is due on Wednesday and is expected to rise 2.7% YoY in November.

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December 10, 2024 01:25 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises after solid NFP report

U.S. stocks are set for a stronger open after the US non-farm payroll report supported the case for a December rate cut while showing that the labour market remains resilient. 227K jobs were added, up from 36k last month. Meanwhile, unemployment rose to 4.2% from 4.1% and average wage growth was 0.4% stronger than the 0.3% forecast. The market still sees the Fed cutting rates in December by 25 bps.

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December 7, 2024 01:36 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ muted after jobs data

U.S. stocks are set for a muted opening as investors digest the latest jobs data and prepare for tomorrow's nonfarm payroll report. Yesterday, the S&P 500, the NASDAQ 100, and the Dow Jones booked record closing highs thanks to a surging technology sector and after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell highlighted the strength of the US economy.

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December 6, 2024 01:53 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech

U.S. stocks are pushing higher, with the NASDAQ 100 and the S&P 500 adding to yesterday’s record-high close ahead of comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Investors are brushing off geopolitical risks, and attention is on a slew of US economic data; ADP payrolls were weaker than forecast, and ISM services PMI, as well as factory orders, are due to be released shortly. The data, along with Fed Chair Powell could give further insight into the future path for rates.

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December 5, 2024 01:31 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as China - US trade tensions rise

U.S. stocks are edging lower on Tuesday after the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ closed at record levels in the previous session. Sentiment is souring after news that China will begin banning the export of some rare minerals to the US in a tit-for-tat escalation of the tech war

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December 4, 2024 01:36 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of a data-heavy week

U.S. stocks are heading for a modestly strong start to December after posting solid gains in the previous month. The mood is cautiously upbeat as traders return from the extended Thanksgiving weekend break, despite more trade tariifs threats from Trump over the weekend. This week is a busy week for economic data, with Friday's NFP a kay focus ahead of the December Fed meeting.

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December 3, 2024 01:05 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of core-PCE data

U.S. stocks are mixed after stronger than forecast data and ahead of the key core PCE inflation report. US GDP was revised higher to 1.9% in Q3, up from 1.8%, boosted by solid consumer spending as inflation continued to cool. Meanwhile, jobless fell to 213k. The data points to the US economy being in a good place raising questions over the Fed's ability to cut rates. US core PCE is expected to rise to 2.8% YoY in October.

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November 28, 2024 01:36 AM

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises despite Trump tariff threats

U.S. stocks are heading higher, building on recent gains, as investors weigh up the implications of Trump's tariffs on its top trade partners. President-elect Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports and an additional 10% tariff on imports from China. Looking ahead, the minutes of the November Fed meeting will be released later and could provide more insight into the Fed's outlook for rates.

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November 27, 2024 01:00 AM
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Wall Street Forecast: DJIA rises after Trump's Treasury Secretary nomination

U.S. stocks are pointing to a stronger open on Monday amid a sign of relief on Wall Street following President-elect Trump's nomination for Treasury Secretary - Scott Bessent, who favours less stringent trade tariffs.. The move higher comes after gains last week, which saw investors shift into cyclical stocks while rotating out of technology.

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November 26, 2024 01:49 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls with PMI data up next

U.S. stocks are heading for a soft open, ending a broadly positive week on a more cautious tone ahead of the release of PMI data. The Dow Jones is on track to rise 1% this week, while the S&P 500 is set for 1.3% gains. The Nasdaq is up 1.6%. Attention is on US PMI data which is expected to show services and manufacturing PMIs rising in November.

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November 23, 2024 01:34 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises after Nvidia earnings & jobless claims

U.S. stocks are set to open modestly higher after another record quarter for Nvidia as jobless claims fall and geopolitical tensions mount. Nvidia beat estimates for the top and bottom lines in another impressive showing. However, gains are limited owing to disappointment surrounding the revenue growth forecast, which is set to be the slowest in seven quarters. Meanwhile, jobless claims fell to 213k from 217k, and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict ramps up.

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November 22, 2024 01:01 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises cautiously ahead of Nvidia earnings

US stock indices are edging cautiously higher amid a quiet economic calendar and with attention on corporate earnings. Nvidia is set to report earnings after the close as the share price trades 200% higher YTD and will act as guidance over the health of the AI trade. Geopolitical tensions have calmed and Fed speakers could offer more clues on the Fed's path for rates.

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November 21, 2024 01:20 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls as tensions with Russia rise

U.S. stocks are heading for a weaker at open after a thinly veiled nuclear threat from Russian President Vladimir Putin and as investors digest more corporate earnings. Putin has lowered the bar for a nuclear attack after US President Biden reportedly allowed US missiles to be fired deep into Russia. Risk off is dominating. Walmart is set to open 4% higher after upbeat results and guidance.

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November 20, 2024 01:19 AM