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NASDAQ100 Forecast :QQQ inches higher after a record close

The Nasdaq 100 is inching higher after a record close yesterday on AI enthusiasm and optimism that the Federal Reserve will start to cut interest rates in June. Investors continue to digest yesterday's cooling inflation data and look ahead to US ISM manufacturing PMI. Dell jumps 23% after impressive earnings, and oil is set to rise across the week,

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA falls in nervous trade ahead of inflation data

US stocks are heading lower in cautious trade ahead of tomorrow's core PCE data, which could provide further clues over the timing of a Fed rate cut. Fed officials continue to push back on the need for an immediate rate cut. Meanwhile, the US economy shows signs of slowing as US Q4 GDP was downwardly revised to 3.2% annualized from the preliminary reading of 3.3% and down from 4.9% in Q3.

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February 29, 2024 12:58 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :QQQ remains close to its record high with US data in focus

US stocks point to a quiet start as US economic data releases start to ramp up ahead of Thursday's inflation print. Today, US durable goods orders fell -6.1% MoM, more than the -4.5% forecast. The market has barely reacted. US data has broadly been encouraging, highlighting the resilience of the US economy even with interest rates at a 22-year high. Attention now turns to US consumer confidence figures.

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February 28, 2024 12:31 AM

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA hovers around record highs in a quiet start to a busy week

US stocks are trading quietly on Monday, hovering around the record highs reached last week after blowout Nvidia earnings boosted AI optimism & stocks higher. This week, attention is back on the economic calendar with US core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, due on Thursday. The market is pricing in the first Fed rate cut in June.

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February 27, 2024 12:53 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :QQQ hovers around record highs in a quiet start

After soaring in the previous session, US stocks are pointing to a quiet open. Stocks surged to record highs yesterday, inspired by AI chip designer Nvidia's results and outlook. Today the US economic calendar is quiet. Some attention could go to Fed governor Christopher Waller's comments after he pushed back on the need for immediate rate cuts. The USD is set to fall this week - the first weekly decline in 2024.

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February 24, 2024 12:52 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX hits a record high after Nvidia earnings

S&P 500 rises to a fresh all time high after blowout Nvidia results. Nvidia posed a 265% rise in revenue and a 769% rise in net earnings sending the share price 13% higher. Note that profits are rising by more than the share price! The market is overlooking US jobless claims which fell to 201k, supporting the Fed's view that it is too early to cut rates.

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February 23, 2024 01:10 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ slips ahead of FOMC minutes, Nvidia earnings

US stocks are heading for a weaker open as investors look cautiously ahead to the release of the minutes to the January FOMC meeting and to Nvidia earnings after the close. Investors will be looking to see whether the minutes push back on rate be expectations and whether Nvidia, the AI chipmaking giant can live up to the hype surrounding its stock and a future with AI.

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February 22, 2024 01:14 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :QQQ rises after earnings from Meta, AMZN & a strong NFP report

US stocks point to a mixed open, and Nasdaq futures are off session highs after US non-farm payroll data smashed forecasts, with 353k jobs added in January above 180k forecasts. December's numbers were also revised higher to 333k. Meanwhile, upbeat results from Meta and Amazon. Apple is set to fall despite beating profit and revenue forecasts.

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February 3, 2024 01:10 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises after the Fed inspired selloff

US stocks are pointing to a positive open, recovering after a steep selloff yesterday when Fed Chair Powell pushed back on a March rate cut, saying that it was not his base case scenario. US jobless claims and Challenger cuts point to a slight weakening in the labour market ahead if tomorrow's non-farm payroll report. Big tech is in focus with Apple, Amazon and Meta due to report after the close.

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February 2, 2024 12:53 AM
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S&P500 Forecast :SPX flat ahead of a busy week

US stocks are pointing to a flat open as investors sit on the sidelines ahead of a busy week with US tech stock earnings and the Federal Reserve interest rate decision due on Wednesday. The Fed is expected to leave interest rates on hold in January and the market is looking for clues over when the Fed may start to cut rates. Microsoft and Alphabet report earnings tomorrow after the close.

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January 30, 2024 01:13 AM
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S&P500 Forecast :SPX struggles after personal spending jumps

US stocks are pointing to a nixed open after US core PCE eased to 2.9% YoY in December, but personal spending jumped 0.7%, supporting the view that the US is heading for a soft landing, but the Fed may not need to cut interest rates soon. Intel is set to fall on the open after disappointing Q1 guidance.

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January 27, 2024 01:14 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises after Q4 GDP growth, Tesla falls

US stocks are heading for a higher start despite Tesla's disappointing outlook and after stronger-than-expected GDP data. US GDP rose 3.3% in Q4 annualized, ahead of the 2% forecast but down from 4.9% in Q3. Treasury yields declined after the data, lifting stocks and dragging on the USD. Earnings continued to roll in. Tesla points to an 8% fall after missing on both the top and bottom line and warning of slower growth in 2024.

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January 26, 2024 12:48 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX hits fresh record highs as Netflix soars

US futures rise to record highs, boosted by tech stock earnings optimism and hopes that he US economy will achieve a soft landing. Netflix is set to open almost 10% higher after strong subscriber numbers and a Q4 earnings beat. US PMI data is due shortly and could support the soft landing narrative. Watch for Tesla earnings after the close.

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January 25, 2024 12:41 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA eases from a record high, earnings are in focus

US stocks head for a muted start after record highs in the previous session. Amid a lack of economic data, all eyes are on a slew of earnings. Netflix will report after the close. Looking ahead, US Q4 GDP and core PCE are in focus towards the end of the week.

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January 24, 2024 01:13 AM
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S&P500 Forecast : SPX rises ahead of key data and earnings this week

US stocks are pointing to a higher open after reaching record levels last week. Optimism surrounding rate cuts drove stocks higher at the end of last year, and all three US indices are trading higher so far in 2024 despite a wobbly start. Attention this week will be on US Q4 GDP and core PCE, as well as earnings from the likes of Tesla and Netflix.

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January 23, 2024 01:04 AM
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SP500 Forecast: SPX rises with tech stocks leading the way

US stocks point to a higher open after gains in the previous session. Tech and chips stocks are once again in favour, lifting the indices higher, despite Fed officials playing down the need for early rate cuts.

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January 20, 2024 01:33 AM
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NASDAQ 100 Forecast: QQQ rises after solid data and on AI optimism

US stocks point to a broadly upbeat start, boosted by soft landing hopes and AI optimism after an encouraging outlook from TSM. Meanwhile, US jobless claims and housing data pointed to a resilient economy despite interest rates at a 22-year high. Looking ahead Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic is due to speak. Any comments regarding the outlook for interest rates could influence the market.

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January 19, 2024 01:10 AM

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls after retail sales cast doubts over early Fed rate cuts

US stocks are pointed to a weaker start after stronger-than-expected retail sales, and Fed speakers cast doubts over early Fed rate cuts. Retail sales rose by more than forecast, highlighting the resilience of the consumer despite interest rates at a 22-year high. Meanwhile, oil prices are tumbling after weaker-than-expected growth in China raises concerns over the oil demand outlook.

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January 18, 2024 01:11 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX mulls over disappointing bank earnings, PPI data

US stocks are pointing to a mixed start as the market weighs up a weak start to Q4 earnings season and cooler-than-expected PPI inflation data. The likes of Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo point to a lower start after earnings, while JP Morgan bucks the trend and is set to rise after a record full-year profit. US PPI rose by less than expected after yesterday's hotter-than-expected CPI print.

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January 13, 2024 01:26 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast :DJIA rises despite hotter than forecast CPI

US stocks are heading higher despite hotter-than-expected CPI data. CPI rose 3.4% YoY in December, up from 3.1% in November. Core inflation cooled but by less than expected. This means a March rate cut is looking less likely. Despite an initial selloff, stocks are grinding higher once again. Earning seasons will kick off tomorrow with US banks.

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January 12, 2024 01:42 AM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA muted ahead of tomorrow's CPI report

The Dow Jones points to a muted start as investors wait cautiously for tomorrow's inflation data and the start of earnings season on Friday. The CPI report could provide further guidance on the possible path for further Federal Reserve rate cuts. Hotter than forecast CPI could see the market rein in Fed rate cut bets, which could hurt demand for stocks. The CME Fed watch report sees a 65% chance of a March rate cut, down from 85% in mid December.

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January 11, 2024 01:24 AM
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Nasdaq100 Forecast: Stocks slip after a strong rally

US stocks are heading lower after a stellar session on Monday. The Nasdaq soared 2.4% boosted by AI optimism. Today, hawkish comments from Fed official Raphael Bostic are hurting the mood ahead of Thursday's inflation data which could provide further clues over the Fed's future path for interest rates.

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January 10, 2024 01:32 AM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX steady, Boeing tumbles

US stocks point to a mixed, muted start as investors brace themselves for US inflation data later in the week. The figures come after a mixed NFP report on Friday and after the market reined in aggressive Fed rate cut bets last week. Boeing is set to open lower after a mid-air incident which resulted in the FAA grounding 170 planes.

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January 9, 2024 01:11 AM