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US Advanced GDP for Q2 is negative; Is the US in a recession?

The textbook definition of a recession is 2 quarters of negative growth. However, many economists don’t abide by that rule.

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July 29, 2022 03:57 AM

S&P500 "easy money" gone - what happens next?

A quiet start to the new trading week as U.S stock markets closed mixed ahead of this week's FOMC and Q2 GDP data and earnings reports from U.S Mega Tech companies.

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AU Q1 2022 GDP beats forecasts and frames further gains for AUDNZD

As the release of the final partials yesterday warned, Australian Q1 2022 Australian GDP has beaten expectations, rising by a solid 0.8% QoQ and 3.3% YoY, despite the impact of Omicron and the devastating rains and floods that hit the East Coast.

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AU Q1 2022 GDP preview and what comes next for the AUDUSD

Just one week before the highly anticipated June RBA Board meeting, Australian Q1 2022 GDP is set to drop this Wednesday.

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May 30, 2022 05:45 PM
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Two trades to watch: GBP/USD, CAC

GBP/USD falls as stagflation fears rise. CAC rallies after the first round of the French elections.

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April 11, 2022 05:23 PM

NZ Q4 GDP and what comes next for AUDNZD?

As is often the case, Thursdays New Zealand's quarterly GDP release follows hot on the heels of the FOMC meeting and a few hours before Australia's monthly jobs data, likely making for a volatile session in Asia.

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March 15, 2022 12:55 PM
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Australian growth rebounded in Q4

Hopes that growth in Australia would rebound in Q1 were easily met, with GDP rising 3.4% q/q compared to 3.0% expected.

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AUDUSD resilience continues ahead of AU Q4 GDP

An appetite for FX safe havens overnight led to JPY and CHF outperformance. Despite being a risky currency, the AUDUSD wasn’t far behind, finishing 0.5% higher at .7265.

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March 1, 2022 12:53 PM
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US Q4 Advanced GDP beats; Inflation components higher

One important piece of information to look at in the GDP data is the inflation component, which is called the Price Index or the Deflator.

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January 28, 2022 03:58 AM
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European Open: China’s GDP not as soft as expected

China’s growth data may not have been as good as it was, yet neither was it as bad as feared.

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January 17, 2022 04:08 PM
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Asian Open: China’s GDP in focus today

The consensus view is for growth to have slowed in China’s GDP report today, leaving some to speculate that more stimulus could follow.

GBP strengthens as UK economy rises above pre-pandemic levels

The UK economy finally recouped losses from the pandemic in November. An Omicron hit in December shouldn't stop the BoE from hiking rates in February.

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January 14, 2022 09:30 PM
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Antipodean data crushes expectations: What next for AUDUSD and NZDUSD?

Today's Antipodean data doubleheader has smashed expectations in an encore to this morning's FOMC meeting.

NZ Q3 GDP preview and what comes next for NZDUSD

Tomorrow's release of Q3 New Zealand GDP at 8.45 am (Sydney time) provides a steppingstone for traders looking to transition from the highly anticipated FOMC meeting into a busy Asian session.

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December 15, 2021 02:57 PM
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AU Q3 GDP beat boosts the AUDUSD

Australian Q3 GDP fell by -1.9%, significantly beating market expectations for a -2.7% fall. The fall is the first quarter of negative growth since the 6.8% fall recorded in the June Quarter of 2020 and means the Australian economy is once again smaller than where it was pre the onset of the pandemic.

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December 1, 2021 01:16 PM
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AU Q3 GDP preview and what Omicron means for the ASX200

Headlines on Friday that new cases of the Omicron variant had been detected in Hong Kong, enough to see the already teetering ASX200 fall 128 points, locking in a 1.6% loss on the week.

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November 29, 2021 03:45 PM
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Q3 GDP much worse than Q2. But will it continue?

The Advanced look at Q3 GDP for the US was only 2% vs 6.7% in Q2

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October 29, 2021 03:13 AM

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Q2 GDP much worse than expected, but is it really that bad for traders?

Although GDP is a great economic data point for headlines, it isn’t a great “trading” number

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July 29, 2021 09:24 PM
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Asian Open: FOMC Down, US GDP Next - Asian Markets Set to Bounce?

With a slightly hawkish FOMC meeting out of the way, we’re watching Asian equities as we suspect a corrective bounce is now on the cards.

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July 29, 2021 03:57 AM

Bitcoin “Death Cross” - don’t believe the hype

A lot of noise in the media this week about a “death cross” in Bitcoin. A “death cross” is a term used in technical analysis to describe when the 50 day moving average crosses below the 200 day moving average. In theory, its purpose is to signal a change in trend to the downside.

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June 23, 2021 12:29 PM
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    S&P500 to resume uptrend as jobs delays extends goldilocks

    The most notable takeaway during a quiet overnight session was the release of the JOLTs report for April that showed job openings in the US surged to a record high of 9.28 million in April.

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    June 9, 2021 03:06 PM

    Bitcoin 2021 fanfare greeted by silence

    Last weekend Miami played host to the world's largest gathering of Bitcoin investors and crypto enthusiasts for the 2021 Bitcoin Conference.

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    June 8, 2021 04:08 PM
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    NFP miss boosts the case for further upside in gold

    Following the large beat by the ADP employment report last Thursday night, Fridays Non-Farm Payrolls data was rapidly elevated to the status of the most important economic number since the pandemic due to its ability to provide a more concrete timetable for tapering.

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    June 7, 2021 09:33 AM