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Core CPI
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US CPI Preview: Base Effect Could Boost USD/JPY, Core Reading Key Ahead of Fed
Ahead of CPI and the Fed, USD/JPY’s year-to-date uptrends remains intact after a bounce from support in the 155.00 area last week.
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US CPI Preview: GBP/USD Pulls Back to 1.2800 – Has US Inflation Bottomed?
GBP/USD remains in a bullish technical position ahead of the US CPI report - see what we're watching!
![Forex trading](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex10v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=03938A63DEC3C6B6FB7EEA2EED06955A)
U.S. Dollar Post-CPI: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, XAU/USD (Gold)
The U.S. Dollar broke out and set another fresh 2024 high this morning as the currency continues to claw back Q4 losses.
![Forex trading](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex10v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=03938A63DEC3C6B6FB7EEA2EED06955A)
EUR/USD forecast: Traders eye 1.10 on softer US inflation data
The weaker US inflation data supports our bullish EURUSD forecast: We think that the single currency is likely heading above $1.10 soon.
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EU stocks remain lower after hot Eurozone CPI
Core inflation rose to a fresh record high of 5.6%...
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US December CPI drops to 6.5% YoY; lowest level since October 2021
The December MoM CPI print was -0.1% . This is the first decline in the MoM print since May 2020!
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Mexico mid-month Core Inflation shows rate hikes may be starting to work
Mexico’s Core CPI print was lower than the previous month for the first time since early 2021.
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US CPI Preview: Will Tuesday’s CPI affect the FOMC’s decision on Wednesday?
The risk to the CPI data is that it is much lower than expected.
![Bank notes of different currencies](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex2v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=6467A03B9A0E4384BE03CDC61F9AEBC5)
Mexico CPI lower, however Core CPI still on the rise
Will the stronger Core CPI cause the Bank of Mexico to hike rates by another 75bps when it meets next Thursday?
![Graph showing a slow uptrend](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uptrend-4v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=ECF58A5665246B12A24D10D1E060D83E)
US CPI Preview: CPI to remain elevated
The risk is that the prints come out higher than expected and high inflation lingers.
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Q3 GDP shows the US is out of a technical recession, does it matter?
Today’s US data did little to help traders change their minds regarding the possibility of a 75bps hike at next week’s FOMC meeting.
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Q3 GDP shows the US is out of a technical recession, does it matter?
Today’s US data did little to help traders change their minds regarding the possibility of a 75bps hike at next week’s FOMC meeting.
![Close-up of Union Jack flag](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/uk.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=0BDE5B3FF13B59CB946E0D3E9B7E35CA)
What will happen to GBP/USD if the UK surprises with higher CPI?
If the data is stronger than expected, will GBP/USD move higher? It may, but most likely not to the extent that the US Dollar did after the stronger US CPI.
![Forex trading](/en-au/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex10v2.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=03938A63DEC3C6B6FB7EEA2EED06955A)
US CPI comes in hotter than expected! Is a 75bps rate hike locked in?
US August CPI came in hotter than expected, but the bigger surprise was the strength in the Core CPI reading.
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US Dollar retreats further ahead of US CPI
Barring a very low print, today’s CPI report is unlikely to significantly impact expectations around Fed tightening.
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FTSE drops as super-hot inflation sends UK yields higher
Investors fear more aggressive hikes will be on the way after CPI topped 10%
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US CPI preview: Are we past peak inflation?
Headline inflation reading may show price pressures fading while the Fed’s preferred “core” (ex-energy and food) CPI measure shows that underlying inflation is still rising
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AU Q2 inflation surges but fears ease over supersized 75bp RBA rate hike
June quarter Australian inflation data has surged to 6.1%, but below consensus expectations easing fears of a supersized 75bp rate hike when the RBA meets next week.
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Canada CPI weaker than expected – Peak inflation?
Although the June CPI reading for Canada was higher than the May reading, the headline was much lower than expected.
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US CPI preview: Will inflation overshoot again?
Annual CPI is expected to have accelerated to 8.8% in June from 8.6% in May.
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US CPI recap: Food prices surge by their most in over 40 years
Inflation is becoming more widespread across a broad swathe of consumer spending categories, raising the risk that it could become entrenched.
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AU Q1 CPI preview and what next for the ASX200
Tomorrow morning sees the release of March quarter Australian inflation data. It will likely be remembered as the final data point to confirm the end of an era of ultra-low interest rates in Australia and set the scene for an RBA interest rate hike as early as next month.
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“As expected” Canadian CPI data disappoints USD/CAD traders
There was no “beat” of expectations as in the US and UK, and as a result, the Canadian Dollar sold off vs the US Dollar