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AUD/USD weekly outlook: RBA, FOMC minutes, wages and PMIs on tap
AUD/USD could be susceptible to movement from minutes of the recent FOMC and RBA meetings. But with Australian unemployment data hitting a three-year high, a softer set of wage figures could bring forward bets of a rate cut.
AUD/JPY falters at key highs once more as AU unemployment rises
Australia's unemployment rose to a three year to knock AUD pairs from their perches. But in particular I'm keeping an eye on AUD/JPY which has reversed at a key resistance area.
Australia’s ASX 200 vulnerable on shakeout of soft-landing bets
Having been a major benefactor from the soft-landing narrative, the combination of higher global interest rates and stretched valuations has Australia’s ASX 200 index under pressure.
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AUD/USD weekly outlook: US inflation, AU jobs figures to drive AUD
AUD/USD traders will keep a close eye on US inflation data to decipher Fed policy, Australia's employment report to see if another month of strong job losses ensues.
AUD/USD upside hamstrung by Australia’s stretched consumer
Bargain hunting by cost conscious consumers saw Australian retail sales volumes accelerate slightly in the final three months of 2023, reducing the risk of a negative growth when the December quarter national accounts are released in early March.
AUD/USD, EUR/AUD: The Australian dollar trading poorly despite macro tailwinds
The Australian dollar was given every excuse to rally on Wednesday and couldn't, finishing the session lower than where it started. Telling.
ASX 200 priced for perfection nearing tricky technical test
Australia’s ASX 200 is rallying for a fourth session on the back of big gains in banks, healthcare and record highs on Wall Street, seeing it approach what some may declare to be a “death zone” for bulls based on price action of recent years.
ASX 200 forecast: Forward testing the ASX 200 around Australia Day
Forward returns look at the historical performance of an asset around key dates or times. In this article, we look at how the ASX 200 has performed in the three days before and after Australia day.
ASX 200 forecast: Do many bulls remain at these highs?
Once again we have seen the ASX 200 turn lower after a failed attempt to break above 7700. And when you consider the ASX has fallen double digits in percentage term from these highs, it is worth paying attention to.
AUD/USD: Sticky domestic price pressures to collide with US disinflation narrative
The AUD/USD's global focus may pause temporarily later this week when Australia’s inflation indicator is released, containing a whole raft of new information on what’s happening with prices at the consumer level, especially for services.
AUD/USD, ASX 200: Australia’s jobs report takes on greater significance for the RBA rate outlook
Australia’s September jobs report is arguably the most important G10 FX data release in the world on Thursday, ensuring there’ll be significant interest among AUD/USD and ASX 200 traders.
AUD/USD, AUD/JPY: Softening macro backdrop, BOJ threat amplify downside risks
The combination of a deteriorating macroeconomic backdrop, the first monetary policy decision from a new RBA governor and threat of market intervention from the Bank of Japan has created an interesting mix for the AUD/JPY.
ASX 200 analysis: Like it or not, it’s holding above 7k post CPI
The ASX 200 has continued to show resilience around the key 7,000 support level, despite the surge on bond yields, negative sentiment and rising inflation. What if sentiment improves?
AUD/USD: focus on underlying inflation, fade moves on headline volatility
In an environment of heightened risk aversion, sluggish global economic growth and continued grind higher in rates, a volatile monthly inflation indicator from Australia doesn’t scream as overly important.
ASX 200: pivotal week looms for Australia’s benchmark stock index
An uneventful year for the ASX 200 could be about to get a lot more exciting with the index perilously close to breaking long-run uptrend support dating back to the start of the coronavirus pandemic.
AUD/USD: Australia’s jobs report has few implications for RBA despite jobs surge
Australia’s August labour force survey had something for both AUD/USD bulls and bears, but in the end the detail does not meaningfully change the outlook for interest rates.
AUD/USD: Price action suggests bearish sentiment nearing exhaustion point
AUD/USD downside has slowed despite a lot of negativity, bolstering the case for a near-term bounce ahead of key risk events later this week.
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ASX 200: Bearish technical signals point to growing downside risks
Bearish technical signals are mounting for Australian equities, pointing to the potential for additional downside beyond that already seen.
AUD/USD: China sentiment in the driving seat as RBA settles in for extended pause
With the RBA on the sidelines, it means external factors will continue to drive movements in the AUD, ASX 200 and Australian bond futures for the foreseeable future.
AUD/USD, ASX 200: growing risk of RBA turning neutral on interest rates
A playbook on how the AUD/USD, ASX 200 and Australian bonds should the RBA signal an end to rate hikes.
AUD/USD bounce fizzles as droopy data lessens RBA rate hike risks
AUD/USD slumps on disappointing data, undermining the case for higher interest rates
AUD/USD: Powell positioning provides fuel for a bounce
Everyone hates the Australian dollar but loves the USD: a risk heading into Jackson Hole?
AUD/USD: reversal risk builds ahead of Jackson Hole
Not a lot has to change to spark a near-term Aussie dollar reversal.