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AUD/JPY, EUR/JPY: Bearish breakout risk grows on BOJ intervention threat

AUD/JPY and EUR/JPY are sandwiched between range highs and uptrend support, meaning traders should be on alert for potential bearish and bullish breakout this week with big event risk in the United States and Europe approaching fast.

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April 8, 2024 04:04 PM
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AUD/JPY, ASX 200 forecast: Asian Open – April 3, 2024

AUD/JPY and the ASX 200 look set to diverge with the former strongly hinting at a swing low and the latter failing to hold above 7900 on Tuesday.

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April 3, 2024 09:16 AM

AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY: Eyeing decade highs as upside momentum builds

Almost by stealth, the unloved and under pressure Aussie and Kiwi are not far off hitting decade highs against the yen. With the near-term price action in AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY pointing to upside, and with momentum indicators sending the same message, the risk of a topside break appears to be growing.

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March 20, 2024 04:33 PM

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AUD/USD weekly outlook: Best week in 12 as bears get burned

A broadly weaker US dollar helped AUD/USD rise at its fastest pace in twelve weeks, and given the record level of net-short exposure among asset managers, AUD/USD could have further upside potential.

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March 11, 2024 12:00 AM
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USD/JPY, AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY: Hot inflation may not be enough for US dollar bulls

Unless we see a big upside surprise in Thursday's PCE inflation report it may be difficult for US bond yields to continue pushing higher, limiting the fuel that helped propel the US dollar higher over the past two months.

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February 29, 2024 03:11 PM

AUD/USD outlook: RBNZ, US and AU CPI to drive the Australian dollar

It could be an interesting week for the Australian dollar if caught between the crossfire of the RBNZ meeting, Fed talk and US inflation data. We also have an Australian inflation report to throw into the mix for good measure.

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February 25, 2024 07:00 PM

AUD/JPY nears 17-month high, ASX 200 looks set to bounce: Asian Open

AUD/JPY has fast approached a pivotal level to hint that an eventual breakout could be on the cards, even if not immediately. The ASX 200 looks sets to bounce after positive earning from Nvidia lifted Wall Street futures after market hours.

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February 22, 2024 09:21 AM

AUD/JPY falters at key highs once more as AU unemployment rises

Australia's unemployment rose to a three year to knock AUD pairs from their perches. But in particular I'm keeping an eye on AUD/JPY which has reversed at a key resistance area.

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February 15, 2024 01:19 PM

AUD/USD weekly outlook: Powell, RBA rate decision in focus

Monday could be off to a volatile start if Jerome Powell’s 60-minutes interview causes a stir for global markets. Whilst the RBA meeting, press conference and updated forecasts could drive sentiment for AUD and the ASX next week

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February 2, 2024 06:00 PM

Growing risk RBA may cut rates before the Federal Reserve

There’s a growing risk the RBA may end up cutting interest rates sooner than US Federal Reserve with a slowdown in underlying inflationary pressures in the December quarter seeing markets shift forward expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut to early May.

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January 31, 2024 01:30 PM
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ASX 200, AUD/JPY bouncing back with improved risk appetite

With risk appetite back in full swing and market indicators on US recession risk providing a green light for the soft landing narrative, cyclicals such as Australia’s ASX 200 and AUD/JPY recovered last week, returning to the uptrend they’ve been in since the risk rival revival took hold in late October.

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January 22, 2024 11:44 AM

ASX 200, AUD/JPY: Looking vulnerable to downside as risk appetite wanes

With markets starting to question how many rate cuts we’ll see from major central banks this year, sentiment towards China’s economic outlook deteriorating rapidly and riskier asset classes coming under pressures, Thursday shapes up as an important session for Australia’s ASX 200 and the AUD/JPY .

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January 18, 2024 10:36 AM

AUD/JPY looking heavy on the charts as risk rolls over

AUD/JPY offers decent risk-reward for traders considering longs or shorts right now, sitting on uptrend support with ample room to move in either direction depending on how the price interacts with this level in the near-term.

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January 16, 2024 02:53 PM

AUD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Weaker Japanese yen adds to near-term upside risk

Whether it’s any major FX pair against the yen or the Nikkei 225, the last of least resistance right now seems to be higher with the BOJ maintaining its ultra-dovish stance.

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November 14, 2023 12:11 PM
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The top 10 most volatile currency pairs in 2023

These are the most volatile FX pairs in 2023. Learn how to trade them and use volatility to your advantage.

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AUD/USD lower as the mood darkens with appetite for risk on the ropes

Whilst the Asian session started off quietly enough, slowly but surely dark clouds have begun to form to provide an ominous feeling that something could crack. US futures are pointing lower, AUD/USD and the ASX 200 tapped fresh YTD lows and AUD/JPY – a classic barometer of risk - extended its losses for a second day to a 7-day low.

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October 26, 2023 01:06 PM

AUD/JPY, WTI crude oil: Israel-Hamas conflict, inflation reports to set the tone

Geopolitics, inflation reports and sentiment towards Chinese markets will likely dominate proceedings for AUD/JPY and crude oil this week, putting their respective uptrends to the test during a time when investor risk appetite is particularly weak.

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October 23, 2023 10:13 AM

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ASX 200, AUD/JPY: Tentative rebound subject to substantial headline risk

For ASX 200 and AUD/JPY, until the geopolitical situation in the Middle East improves, adopting a sell-on-rallies approach remains the most appropriate strategy for those and other cyclical asset classes.

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October 17, 2023 11:03 AM
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ASX 200, AUD/JPY: Fed policy pivot hopes drive rapid rebound

Money markets are betting the Fed rate hike cycle is over with up to 100 basis points of cuts expected in 2024, boosting cyclical assets classes such as the ASX 200 and AUD/JPY.

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October 11, 2023 11:01 AM

Gold and AUD/JPY hint at reversals: Asian Open – 06/10/2023

It has been another volatile week for markets overall. But based on the principle that markets (rarely) move in a straight long for extended periods, perhaps we're due some mean reversion. Gold might tick that box above 1800, and if risk-off returns then AUD/JPY around resistance has caught our eye.

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October 6, 2023 08:47 AM

AUD/USD, AUD/JPY: Softening macro backdrop, BOJ threat amplify downside risks

The combination of a deteriorating macroeconomic backdrop, the first monetary policy decision from a new RBA governor and threat of market intervention from the Bank of Japan has created an interesting mix for the AUD/JPY.

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October 3, 2023 02:00 PM

AUD/JPY: A proxy trade on China’s outlook that does not involve USD

Having been driven by rate differentials for much of the past three years, AUD/JPY is evolving into an effective way to express a view towards China’s outlook that does not involve the US dollar.

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September 25, 2023 01:15 PM

USD/CNH, AUD/JPY: China ‘data dump’ relieves pressure on yuan, Australian dollar

China’s August “data dump” has come in ahead of expectations, solidifying the view activity in the world’s second-largest economy is beginning to stabilise.

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September 15, 2023 12:42 PM