News hero gradient

Trade War

Stay in step with market opportunities and get insights, actionable trade ideas and dedicated support.

Sort by:

  • Newest
  • Popular

Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Rally on Tariff Delay

EUR/USD rallied back to 1.0500 last week as Trump’s reciprocal tariff announcement didn’t evoke much fear. But he also warned that tariffs on autos are coming.

canada_02-LONC02G510KMD6R

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Driven by Trump Tariff Timing

USD/CAD broke support as the U.S. Dollar broke down this week even after strong inflation prints out of the U.S., suggesting that Trump tariffs are losing their drive for USD-strength.

Close-up of market chart

EUR/USD forecast: Forex Friday - February 14, 2025

The EUR/USD forecast has improved a little this week. Not because we have seen any major improvements in European data or a sharp deterioration in US data, but more so because Trump’s reciprocal tariffs won’t be applied immediately after all. Instead, they are set to take effect in April. What’s more, Trump’s tone was far from combative.

Why trade with City Index?

Tight spreads from 0.5 pts on FX and 1 pt on indices.

Award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution.

N_A_Promo_Block_BG_Comp
united_states_01

CAD, AUD look set to benefit as the USD bull case becomes unhinged

If the mighty US dollar fails to rally on what is usually a sure-bullish bet, then it may not take much to send it lower. Market positioning has already sent such clues, and price action this week continues to suggest a correction could be underway.

US_flag_G_Washington

Trump Announces Reciprocal Tariffs, USD Tests Support

Trump announced sweeping reciprocal tariffs, but they appear to be delayed in implementation, allowing for time to negotiate; and that’s released some pressure from markets fearing even more near-term change.

Research

Dow Jones forecast: US stocks hold steady ahead of tariffs announcement

US indices were trading higher across the board, shaking off a weaker start for the index futures, as traders speculated, thanks to a CNBC post, that Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs set to be announced shortly will not go into effect until possibly April 1, meaning plenty of time for affected nations to strike a trade deal.

default avatar
February 14, 2025 04:00 AM
20231218 - 001 - 01

Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises despite Trump's tariff warning & hotter PPI data

After a mixed close yesterday, US stocks are heading for a mildly positive start as investors continue to weigh inflation data, hopes of Russia-Ukraine peace talks, and worries over more trade tariffs from Trump. US PPI was hotter than expected rising 3.5% YoY. This comes after yesterday's hotter CPI print.

default avatar
February 14, 2025 12:56 AM
Uptrend

EUR/USD forecast: Ukraine war optimism countered by reciprocal tariffs fears

Despite struggling today, the EUR/USD forecast has improved a little, owing to optimism about the end of Ukraine war. PPI and jobless claims are up next.

default avatar
February 13, 2025 11:30 PM
Gold nuggets

Gold Update: XAU/USD Pulls Back Ahead of CPI Release

After reaching a new all-time high around $2,950 per troy ounce, gold is now experiencing a significant downward correction, dropping more than 1.5% in the last few trading hours.

default avatar
February 12, 2025 04:19 AM
Research

Dow Jones Technical Analysis: Technical Tuesday - February 11, 2025

Dow Jones technical analysis: The major US indices such as the Dow and S&P 500 continue to trade inside ranges and unable so far to break out to new all-time highs, unlike European indices where the DAX has surged to yet another record today.

default avatar
February 12, 2025 04:00 AM
Close-up of market chart showing downtrend

EUR/USD forecast: Euro rebounds but pressure remains amid tariff threats

The US dollar weakened slightly against most major currencies except the yen, though the overarching trend for the greenback retains a modestly bullish bias. The EUR/USD forecast is thus still modestly bearish, even if the pair has shown a slight rebound from around the 1.0300 handle.

default avatar
February 11, 2025 11:00 PM
Market chart

Oil and Gold Rise on Trump's Negotiation Tactics

Trump’s negotiation strategies, including tariff escalations, ceasefire threats, and sanctions, have fueled volatility during U.S. CPI week, pushing gold near the $3,000 mark and oil back above the $72 zone.

default avatar
February 11, 2025 06:32 PM
Research

Gold is just $65 away from its $3k milestone, Crude oil bulls return

Trump's latest round of tariffs sent key commodities higher on Monday, with gold notching up yet another record high and honing in on its $3k milestone. Inflationary concerns ahead of Powell's testimony and US CPI also saw crude oil rebound 1.6% from key support levels.

Oil extraction

Crude Oil Update: WTI Recovers After Three Weeks of Losses

WTI prices have posted a rebound of more than 1% in recent trading hours after facing consistent bearish pressure for the past three weeks.

default avatar
February 11, 2025 03:45 AM
gold_03

Gold forecast: XAU/USD at fresh records amid trade war tensions

Key events this week, including US CPI data, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, and corporate earnings, could inject further volatility into the markets and impact the gold forecast.

100USD_buildings

Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA rises despite more trade tariffs

US stocks point to a higher open on Monday, recovering from last week's modest declines. Steelmakers were at the top of the leaderboard following President Trump's tariff announcements. The new President announced 25% trade tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports on top of existing tariffs. The market reaction has been relatively muted with stocks gaining and the USD lower. Although Gold trades at a record level.

default avatar
February 11, 2025 12:49 AM
Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

GBP/USD Forecast: Currency Pair of the Week – February 10, 2025

With Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, US CPI data, and key corporate earnings due this week, the GBP/USD forecast remains cautiously bearish following last week’s dovish rate cut by the Bank of England.

Open an account in minutes

Experience award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution, and enjoy tight spreads from 0.5 pts on FX and 1 pt on indices.

N_A_Promo_Block_BG_Comp
gold_02

USDJPY, Gold Outlook: New Tariffs Keep the DXY and Gold on a Bullish Edge

USDJPY, Gold Outlook: New Trump tariffs this week, including a 25% levy on steel and aluminum imports, are escalating trade war risks, pushing gold to record highs above $2,890 and keeping the U.S. dollar supported above the 108-mark.

Oil refinery

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Tariff Risks, OPEC Report, and US CPI

Crude Oil Week Ahead: As price spikes on oil remain short lived, the broader bearish impact of tariffs is supporting oil prices through their bearish trajectory, with possible alterations to OPEC forecasts and monthly reports in 2025.

default avatar
February 10, 2025 12:00 AM
Multiple Euro bank notes in 20€, 50€ and 100€

EUR/USD Forecast: Focus Turns to US Inflation Data in Week Ahead

With Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, US CPI data, and key corporate earnings due this week, the EUR/USD forecast remains cautiously bearish.

gold_06

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Vertical as Trump Tariffs Risk Trade War

Gold prices surged for a sixth-week with XAU/USD hitting fresh record highs. Battle lines drawn on the weekly technical chart as the Trump tariffs stoke trade war fears.

USA flag

U.S. Dollar Price Action Setups into CPI Week

The tariff topic continues to dominate and after last week’s open following Trump comments on tariffs, traders should be on guard for more volatility into next week.

US_flag_map_eye

Dollar forecast: NFP and hot inflation expectations trigger DXY rebound - Forex Friday

Friday's data showing strong wages growth and hot inflation expectations, and ongoing expectations of inflationary policies under Donald Trump, means the Fed is likely to remain on pause for a long time. Against this backdrop, the US dollar forecast remains bullish.