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$200bn in collateral damage in one week. What comes next for the ASX200?
Heading into the release of last Friday's U.S inflation data, the market was hopeful that it would confirm that inflation had or was close to peaking. Thereby allowing central banks to ease their foot off the monetary tightening pedal.
US open: Stocks drop as recession fears grow
US stocks are pointing to a sharply weaker start after gains yesterday and as the fust settles on the Fed rate decision.
FOMC meeting recap: Was that “Peak Hawkishness” for the Fed?
Traders may look at today’s press conference as marking “peak hawkishness” for the Fed, at least in the short term...
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Treasury yields explained: what does the yield curve tell us?
Treasury yields are closely watched as an indicator of economic health, interest rates and inflation. Read our one-page guide to treasury yields, including what they are, what the yield curve is and what it means when the yield curve inverts.
SP500 - a dead cat bounce or a stronger recovery Part II?
This morning, the Federal Reserve followed the lead of the ECB last week to deliver a hawkish surprise. The Feds dot plots showed the median dot in 2022 rose to 1.875%, consistent with another six rate hikes in 2022, in line with market expectations.
FOMC meeting preview: Is there still a “Fed put”?
Traders expect this week’s Fed meeting to be the proverbial “calm before the storm” of aggressive Fed tightening throughout the rest of the year - see what the possibilities are!
Will the Fed put the nail in the coffin of the stock market rally?
The Federal Reserve will conclude its meeting this evening and announce its latest decision at 1900 BST. The market expects no change in rates, and there is no press conference from Janet Yellen, so the focus will be on the statement.
Is the Fed the straw that will break the camel’s back?
Stock markets are lower in Europe as the market digests the FOMC minutes, which, as we predicted, were worth staying late in the office for. […]
How to solve a problem like the Fed’s balance sheet…
The minutes from the Fed’s March meeting, which are released this evening, could be more than just a formality, in fact they could give the […]
No Trump-style surprise in Holland, as euro rallies
The big winner of the Dutch election was current Prime Minister Mark Rutte, who easily beat off rival Geert Wilders of the far-right PVV party. […]
FOMC: replay of the December meeting stings the dollar
The FOMC meeting was basically a non-event since the vast majority of the market expected the Fed to hike interest rates. Even the dot plot, […]
Mixed bag of UK labour market data knocks GBP
Today’s focus is obviously the Federal Reserve and the Dutch elections, however, this morning the UK labour market data is in focus. It was a […]
Not too hot, not too cold… jobs data just right for March
The market has reacted to the February jobs report, the 235k increase in Non-Farm payrolls, the drop in the unemployment rate to 4.7% and the […]
A hasty Fed and the impact on equities
For the first time in my career Bloomberg’s World Interest Rate Probability screen is telling me that there is a 98% chance of a Fed […]
US stocks: Why things don’t always have to give
There are so many reasons why the stock market, the US market in particular, looks overbought right now. The RSI – the relative strength index […]
Return of the buck
This is my second note of the day, a testament to how I early I woke to listen to a politically interesting, but economically dull, […]
Trump trumped by Fed, as speech fails to set markets alight
Donald Trump has delivered his first address to Congress, but the market reaction has been fairly small so far. Although Trump received rapturous applause from […]
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Trump is still the tail wagging the Fed’s dog
Aside from the torrent of earnings releases (see more below) the European markets on Thursday are likely to digest the Fed minutes from its meeting […]
Fed minutes unlikely to derail risk rally, as markets wait for Trump
The US roared back into life after the long Presidents’ Day weekend, and US equity indices hit further record highs on Tuesday. This is becoming […]
Can the bond market predict when the equity rally will come to an end?
2017 has been a mixed year for the dollar. After peaking in December, it is 300 pips off of its highs, and it is worst […]
Kraft Heinz drops Unilever offer, as Trump stokes equities
The main market stories over the weekend included positive news for Athens, the IMF will now provide cash, to the tune of EUR 5 bn, […]
Dollar turnaround as Yellen talks tough on Trump, rate hikes
Janet Yellen gave a fairly upbeat testimony to the Senate Banking Committee today, saying that waiting too long to remove accommodation would be “unwise”, and […]
Can Janet Yellen turn the Trump rally sour?
It was a strong start to the week for risky assets, as European stocks played catch up, the FTSE 250 in the UK reached a […]