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USD/JPY forecast: Fed rates outlook resumes control, eyes on payrolls, ISM services

Directional risks for USD/JPY look set to be driven by economic data this week, helping to shape opinions on the US interest rate outlook given an absence of Fed speakers. With nonfarm payrolls and ISM services data to navigate, the environment looked primed for increased volatility.

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June 1, 2024 03:00 PM
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Gold weekly forecast: Hawkish Fed rates repricing generates asymmetric dovish risks

The price action in gold last week warns of growing downside risks. But with markets significantly scaling back Fed rate cut bets, it's now up to incoming data to justify why rates should be left on hold. If it can't, it points to US dollar weakness and lower US bond yields, and likely tailwinds for commodity markets.

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May 25, 2024 09:00 AM
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European Open: EUR/USD and EUR/GBP in focus for eurozone CPI

Both EUR/GBP and EUR/GBP are hugging various pivot points ahead of the open, but whichever way they break initially our bias is for a break to new lows.

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February 23, 2023 05:03 AM

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Gold nuggets

Two trades to watch: EUR/USD, Gold

EUR/USD falls ahead of German inflation data, central bank speak. Gold looks to Fed Powell & Co at the ECB forum.

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June 29, 2022 08:26 AM
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Hang Seng enters bull market but resistance looms

Whilst the promise of fiscal stimulus propelled Asian markets higher, news of Shanghai’s lockdown risks denting sentiment for the region.

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The Hang Seng leads the way (lower), 13k key for Nasdaq 100

Volatility for European and parts of Asia remain high for equity traders, yet US markets have shown minor signs of stability above key support levels.

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The Hang Seng remains in freefall, Alibaba below 100

There seems to be little reprieve for investors in China with the Hang Seng falling to a post-pandemic low and Alibaba trading below 100.

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Alibaba falls towards key support ahead of earnings

Alibaba is expected to report earnings for Q4 tomorrow, and it is likely to directly impact which way momentum turns from a key support level it currently hovers above.

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China’s inflation softens, Metaverse looks to grow

Inflationary forces in China continued to defy global trends as both CPI and PPI data were down from last month.

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The Hang Seng and Nikkei go their separate ways

The Hang Seng and Nikkei are like oil and water at the moment, with the former rising 10% from its lows and the latter falling 7% from its January high.

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Brexit a year later: What's the UK economic outlook and how can you capitalize in 2022?

Supply chain bottlenecks, labour shortages, surging inflation and slowing growth -the UK economy has a lot to contend with as it heads into 2022. Here we look these factors in more depth and what they mean for the pound and the FTSE.

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December 15, 2021 10:30 PM
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Asian indices hold key support, but for how long?

Several key markets have reached key support levels across Asia, so traders need to decide whether to buy at these lows or try and break them down further.

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Hang Seng Enters Correction as Sentiment Sours

Asian equities were mostly lower yesterday as multiple drivers weighed on sentiment across the region. Futures markets are also pointing to a softer open today.

Forex trading

Housing data may start to worry investors; 30-year yields, USD/JPY

However, the Jackson Hole Symposium may be the catalyst bond traders are waiting for to determine their next move

August 18, 2021 01:22 PM
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EU to UK: No more sausages for you!

If negotiations between the EU and UK over the NI protocol don’t end soon, the Pound may fall further

June 9, 2021 01:09 PM
5 corn on the cobs

China shucks US corn; commodity currencies lower

China said they would limit some corn imports and cancel several US cargos

May 26, 2021 01:10 PM
5 corn on the cobs

Corn at 7-year highs. Will it continue?

Don’t be surprised if it pulls back first given the overbought conditions on the weekly timeframe.

May 6, 2021 05:38 PM

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Currency pair of the week: EUR/USD

Just as with Europe, a crisis (Brexit) has been averted in the US (stimulus package)

December 28, 2020 08:37 AM
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Two trades to watch: FTSE, GBP/USD ahead of expected Brexit trade deal

After 4.5 years a Brexit trade deal is expected to be announced today. FTSE is pointing to a stronger start whilst GBP/USD eyes 2020 high

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December 24, 2020 01:59 AM
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Brexit deal could be reached by Christmas: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP

“Sources” say a Brexit trade deal is “imminent”.

December 23, 2020 01:29 PM

What lies ahead for the US dollar in 2021

We would like to take this opportunity to wish all our readers and their families a safe and happy holiday period. As markets are expected to remain volatile into the Georgia Senate run-off on the 5th of January, regular updates will resume next week, the 28th of December.

December 23, 2020 01:15 AM
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Markets numb to Brexit talk: EUR/USD, GBP/USD

Traders are tired of Brexit officials’ comments. They want to see action.

December 22, 2020 03:03 PM