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Central banks current monetary policy - Where to next?
Major central banks around the world, except for the BOJ, are in tightening mode on the back of increasing inflation.
Currency Pair of the Week: EUR/GBP
With ECB members on the wires this week trying to talk down fragmentation in the Eurozone, along with CPI from the UK, EUR/GBP could be volatile this week.
Should traders be worried about the ECB and fragmentation risk?
Rising interest rates and the end of bond buying from the European Central Bank (ECB) have led to concerns over fragmentation risk across the single currency bloc. Read on for an explanation of what fragmentation risk is – and what trading opportunities it may bring.
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EUR/USD in focus as ECB holds ad-hoc meeting ahead of FOMC
Euro rebounds as ECB tries to address fragmentation risks, ahead of a likely 75 basis point hike from the Fed
Italy leads EU stocks lower amid fragmentation risks
Lack of anti-fragmentation support packages from the ECB is unnerving investors
ECB pre-commits to 25bps hike in July; fragmentation talk worries Euro traders
If yields rise and spreads widen between the peripheral countries and the core countries, the ECB could re-enter the market and buy debt of the peripheral countries to bring down yields.
US open Stocks set for muted start, initial jobless claims rise
US stocks are set to open mildly lower as jobless claims rise and ahead of tomorrow’s CPI data.
Two trades to watch: EUR/GBP, S&P500
EUR/GBP rises on ECB day! S&P500 awaits jobless claims and tomorrow's inflation data.
EUR/CHF set for breakout as focus turns to ECB
It is all about whether the ECB will follow other central banks in signalling a 50-basis point hike, or a more standard 25 for July.
European Open: ECB and the euro in focus, WTI bulls eye $124
The conclusion of today’s ECB meeting is the only game in town today, which has seen the yen and euro rise against the dollar just hours ahead of it.
Get ready for the ECB to hike rates (just not tomorrow)
The ECB are set to announce their monetary policy decision tomorrow, where the focus will be on forward guidance for rates from July onwards.
Stocks: Weakness persists amid central bank tightening
Against a backdrop of fast interest rate hikes, this is far from being an ideal environment for stock markets.
EUR/USD’s near-term bullish channel intact amidst ECB hawkishness
Recent comments from ECB policymakers suggest that “gap” between interest rates on the two sides of the Atlantic will be smaller than expected...
ECB members turning more hawkish. But do markets believe them?
The ECB is providing more hawkish comments while the BOE is less sanguine due to slow expected growth.
Markets pricing in central bank rate increases over the next year
Traders should watch the change in expectations of interest rates vs current rates.
Sentiment turning positive in Europe
Investors have welcomed Macron’s performance in the French election debate, while Ukraine conflict is no longer having the same impact on asset prices
Disappointing ECB kicks the can to June
Despite higher inflation, the ECB maintained its path for asset purchases and offered little new guidance.
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European Open: Singapore’s CB tightens policy, ECB unlikely to follow suit
The Singapore dollar made the baulk of currency moves overnight as the MAS tightened policy. We don’t expect the same level of excitement from the ECB.
ECB preview: No policy adjustments expected
The ECB is due to announce its interest rate decision on Thursday at 12:45 GMT to a deteriorating economic backdrop. No change to policy is expected.
Hawkish ECB and dovish BOE send EUR/GBP higher
ECB’s Holzmann wants to raise key interest rates to 0% by yearend.
ECB flips to a more hawkish tone
Although the ECB pledged to speed up the pace of bond tapering, it also increased its forecast for inflation and lowered its forecast for growth.
Two trades to watch: EUR/GBP, DXY
EURGBP edges lower ahead of ECB rate decision. US Dollar index, DXY, rises with US inflation in focus.
European Open: Volatility takes a breather, ECB and US CPI up next
After a turbulent couple of weeks, it has been refreshing to see volatility subside and allow traders to regroup and prepare for upcoming events.