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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Carves Out a Tight Range Ahead of US PPI and Retail Sales

US data will continue to play a major role for EUR/USD, with PPI and Retail Sales on tap tomorrow. See the key levels to watch!

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March 13, 2024 07:21 PM
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EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD looks to ECB rate decision. USD/JPY falls after Powell and as hawkish BoJ bets build.

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EUR/USD in the hands of ECB, Powell Testimony, ISM services: The Week Ahead

EUR/USD is on track for its smallest weekly range since September 2021, although 1-week implied volatility levels that we could see more action next week.

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March 1, 2024 04:38 AM

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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Testing Key Support at 1.08 Ahead of Fed, NFP

EUR/USD is testing key support near 1.0800 with major crosswinds from month-end flows, the Fed, and NFP this week.

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January 29, 2024 07:57 PM

EUR/USD analysis: ECB day arrives with US GDP also in focus

The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to acknowledge that the current state of the Eurozone economy, with growth hovering around zero, is not great. However, it will probably highlight more forcefully signs suggesting that inflation is not making swift progress towards their 2% target, particularly in light of the persistent pressure on wages.

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January 25, 2024 10:28 AM
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EUR/USD looks dazed and confused ahead of Ifo, ECB: European open

The 1-hour chart for EUR/USD is a sight for sore eyes. It lacks a defined trend and has seen bursts of volatility in both directions before reverting to the centre of its sideways chopfest. But with key events within sight, we may be able to get a breakout or at least a clearer picture.

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January 25, 2024 04:49 AM
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EUR/JPY: US data in control without BOJ or ECB rate shock

EUR/JPY sits near two-month highs heading into the BOJ and ECB interest rate decisions, consolidating after a strong rally that saw the pair add nearly eight big figures from the lows of December.

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January 22, 2024 11:23 PM
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EUR/USD 2024 Fundamental Outlook Preview

Stronger US growth and similar inflation on both sides of the Atlantic could lead to more aggressive interest rate cuts from the ECB, boosting EUR/USD.

Euro Analysis: EUR/USD Bounces Off 1.09 – 1.10 Retest Next?

Time will tell if the ECB is forced to cut interest rates sooner and more aggressively than it hopes to, but clearly markets are content betting against central banks’ “higher for longer” mantra.

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December 18, 2023 03:01 PM

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP in focus for BOE and ECB meetings: European open

We have arguably seen the biggest central bank surprise of the week, with the Fed’s dovish pivot. But that may also influence the tone of the SNB, BOE and ECB at their meetings today – even if only to a degree.

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December 14, 2023 04:47 AM

US CPI, FOMC, BOE, ECB and SNB on tap: The Week Ahead

Four major central banks meeting next week including the FOMC, ECB, BOE and SNB. While no changes are expected, traders want to know who may be the first to cut rates.

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December 7, 2023 02:56 AM
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Euro Analysis: EUR/USD Bounces Back to Near Flat on the Week

EUR/USD is ticking higher as the US dollar edges lower on progress toward peace in the Middle East...

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October 27, 2023 06:42 PM
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Euro Analysis: EUR/USD’s Early Week Rally Stalls, Bears Still in Control

EUR/USD’s early week rally is reversing, keeping the downward bias intact within a bearish channel...

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October 18, 2023 05:26 PM

EUR/USD: Dollar bolstered by safe haven status, energy riches and economic momentum

EUR/USD must be one of the most well-behaved FX pairs in the world right now, sitting comfortably in a long-running downtrend, refusing to stray too far from the current trajectory no matter what the world is throwing at it.

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October 17, 2023 06:10 AM

EUR/USD: Corrective rebound put to the test by packed events calendar

The durability of the EUR/USD rebound will be put to the test over the next 48 hours as traders face a raft of events that could make-or-break the medium-term outlook for US bond yields and the USD.

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October 11, 2023 02:48 AM
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EUR/USD: Inflation data creates make-or-break moment for common currency

EUR/USD faces a stern test in the days ahead, battling divergent fundamentals, increasing risk aversion and a technical backdrop that’s as bearish as any in the G10 FX universe right now.

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September 28, 2023 12:47 AM
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EUR/USD headed for 105? WTI crude oil hits YTD high: Asian Open

The ECB delivered a relatively dovish hike whilst US data once again outperformed. And that was the perfect catalyst to send EUR/USD to a 4-low (and speculative positioning suggests there may be further downside to come). WTI crude oil rose above $90, and it appears to have more fuel in the tank to perhaps head for the October high.

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September 14, 2023 11:41 PM

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EUR/USD implied volatility blows out ahead of ECB, US data: European open

With an ECB interest rate decision and three US data points sandwiched in between, we could be in for an interest hour's trade on EUR/USD. And that likely explains why the 1-day implied volatility band is more than twice its 20-day average.

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US CPI, ECB and a slew of China data: The Week Ahead – 08/09/2023

The combination of a key US inflation report and finely-balanced ECB interest decision should keep EUR/USD on trader’s radars. Although we also have plenty of data out from China which could sway sentiment for risk assets, including CPI/PPI, loan growth, investment, retail sales and employment.

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September 9, 2023 11:56 PM
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EUR/USD: when the US dollar and yields rise in tandem, trouble often follows

The breakdown of EUR/USD does not bode well for investor risk appetite moving forward.

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September 6, 2023 04:34 AM
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Euro to US dollar analysis: EUR/USD in focus with FOMC, ECB rate decisions looming

First up, the Fed will take centre stage later today, when it will most likely – almost certainly – deliver what everyone expects, a 25-basis point rate hike. The dollar’s reaction will depend entirely on the FOMC’s hints about the next meeting in September. Meanwhile, the ECB is also facing a dilemma of whether to pre-commit to another hike in September.

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July 26, 2023 01:37 PM

DAX, EUR/USD outlook: Lagarde likely to opt for "higher for longer" narrative

The EUR/USD outlook hinges on the two major central bank decisions in as many days. First up, the Fed must decide whether to signal a pause for September after a likely 25 basis point rate hike on Wednesday, a signal that could have a major impact on the direction of the dollar. Once we know that, then all eyes will be on the ECB on Thursday. The latter could revert back to data-dependency, something which the markets have been pricing in with the EUR/USD falling over the past week and a half.

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July 25, 2023 12:30 PM

The Week Ahead: US Inflation, FOMC, ECB and BOJ meetings in focus

Three mighty central banks release their monetary policy decisions next week, starting with the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. But Tuesday’s inflation report could also carry some clout as it has the potential to move the needle between an anticipated pause to an undesired hike if it surprises too much to the upside.

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June 9, 2023 04:12 AM