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EUR/USD in the hands of ECB, Powell Testimony, ISM services: The Week Ahead
EUR/USD is on track for its smallest weekly range since September 2021, although 1-week implied volatility levels that we could see more action next week.
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Testing Key Support at 1.08 Ahead of Fed, NFP
EUR/USD is testing key support near 1.0800 with major crosswinds from month-end flows, the Fed, and NFP this week.
EUR/USD analysis: ECB day arrives with US GDP also in focus
The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to acknowledge that the current state of the Eurozone economy, with growth hovering around zero, is not great. However, it will probably highlight more forcefully signs suggesting that inflation is not making swift progress towards their 2% target, particularly in light of the persistent pressure on wages.
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EUR/USD looks dazed and confused ahead of Ifo, ECB: European open
The 1-hour chart for EUR/USD is a sight for sore eyes. It lacks a defined trend and has seen bursts of volatility in both directions before reverting to the centre of its sideways chopfest. But with key events within sight, we may be able to get a breakout or at least a clearer picture.
EUR/JPY: US data in control without BOJ or ECB rate shock
EUR/JPY sits near two-month highs heading into the BOJ and ECB interest rate decisions, consolidating after a strong rally that saw the pair add nearly eight big figures from the lows of December.
EUR/USD 2024 Fundamental Outlook Preview
Stronger US growth and similar inflation on both sides of the Atlantic could lead to more aggressive interest rate cuts from the ECB, boosting EUR/USD.
Euro Analysis: EUR/USD Bounces Off 1.09 – 1.10 Retest Next?
Time will tell if the ECB is forced to cut interest rates sooner and more aggressively than it hopes to, but clearly markets are content betting against central banks’ “higher for longer” mantra.
EUR/USD, EUR/GBP in focus for BOE and ECB meetings: European open
We have arguably seen the biggest central bank surprise of the week, with the Fed’s dovish pivot. But that may also influence the tone of the SNB, BOE and ECB at their meetings today – even if only to a degree.
US CPI, FOMC, BOE, ECB and SNB on tap: The Week Ahead
Four major central banks meeting next week including the FOMC, ECB, BOE and SNB. While no changes are expected, traders want to know who may be the first to cut rates.
Euro Analysis: EUR/USD Bounces Back to Near Flat on the Week
EUR/USD is ticking higher as the US dollar edges lower on progress toward peace in the Middle East...
Euro Analysis: EUR/USD’s Early Week Rally Stalls, Bears Still in Control
EUR/USD’s early week rally is reversing, keeping the downward bias intact within a bearish channel...
EUR/USD: Dollar bolstered by safe haven status, energy riches and economic momentum
EUR/USD must be one of the most well-behaved FX pairs in the world right now, sitting comfortably in a long-running downtrend, refusing to stray too far from the current trajectory no matter what the world is throwing at it.
EUR/USD: Corrective rebound put to the test by packed events calendar
The durability of the EUR/USD rebound will be put to the test over the next 48 hours as traders face a raft of events that could make-or-break the medium-term outlook for US bond yields and the USD.
EUR/USD: Inflation data creates make-or-break moment for common currency
EUR/USD faces a stern test in the days ahead, battling divergent fundamentals, increasing risk aversion and a technical backdrop that’s as bearish as any in the G10 FX universe right now.
EUR/USD headed for 105? WTI crude oil hits YTD high: Asian Open
The ECB delivered a relatively dovish hike whilst US data once again outperformed. And that was the perfect catalyst to send EUR/USD to a 4-low (and speculative positioning suggests there may be further downside to come). WTI crude oil rose above $90, and it appears to have more fuel in the tank to perhaps head for the October high.
EUR/USD implied volatility blows out ahead of ECB, US data: European open
With an ECB interest rate decision and three US data points sandwiched in between, we could be in for an interest hour's trade on EUR/USD. And that likely explains why the 1-day implied volatility band is more than twice its 20-day average.
US CPI, ECB and a slew of China data: The Week Ahead – 08/09/2023
The combination of a key US inflation report and finely-balanced ECB interest decision should keep EUR/USD on trader’s radars. Although we also have plenty of data out from China which could sway sentiment for risk assets, including CPI/PPI, loan growth, investment, retail sales and employment.
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EUR/USD: when the US dollar and yields rise in tandem, trouble often follows
The breakdown of EUR/USD does not bode well for investor risk appetite moving forward.
Euro to US dollar analysis: EUR/USD in focus with FOMC, ECB rate decisions looming
First up, the Fed will take centre stage later today, when it will most likely – almost certainly – deliver what everyone expects, a 25-basis point rate hike. The dollar’s reaction will depend entirely on the FOMC’s hints about the next meeting in September. Meanwhile, the ECB is also facing a dilemma of whether to pre-commit to another hike in September.
DAX, EUR/USD outlook: Lagarde likely to opt for "higher for longer" narrative
The EUR/USD outlook hinges on the two major central bank decisions in as many days. First up, the Fed must decide whether to signal a pause for September after a likely 25 basis point rate hike on Wednesday, a signal that could have a major impact on the direction of the dollar. Once we know that, then all eyes will be on the ECB on Thursday. The latter could revert back to data-dependency, something which the markets have been pricing in with the EUR/USD falling over the past week and a half.
The Week Ahead: US Inflation, FOMC, ECB and BOJ meetings in focus
Three mighty central banks release their monetary policy decisions next week, starting with the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. But Tuesday’s inflation report could also carry some clout as it has the potential to move the needle between an anticipated pause to an undesired hike if it surprises too much to the upside.
EUR/USD, DAX analysis: Hawkish ECB vs. dovish Fed
EUR/USD and DAX traders are digesting the differing monetary policy assessments from the Fed and ECB this weekend.
EUR/USD Outlook Brightened by Hawkish Lagarde
The ECB could hike rates two more times in coming months, while the Fed is seen cutting rates later in the year. This should keep the EUR/USD outlook positive.