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Hang Seng, China A50 looking to turn the tide

With support in place and momentum trying to turn higher, we’re now looking for additional gains on the China A50 and Hang Seng.

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Yesterday 04:00 AM
Research

USD index, USD/JPY show signs of stability, ASX breaks 8000

The post-CPI selloff of the USD has wound down, and price action suggests a bounce cold be due. The ASX has surpassed 8k for the first time on record, and bulls may be keen to seek dips.

S&P 500 Analysis: Is the Rare Streak of Low SPX Volatility Ending?

The S&P 500 has been historically quiet, and given that volatility has a tendency to be cyclical, we could see an outbreak of larger moves in the near future.

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Dow Forecast: Weaker US CPI Keeps Stock Bulls Happy

The Dow has risen along with the Russell 200 index after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 3.0% instead of the expected 3.1%. Small caps are set for a big rally, with Russell 2000 index breaking out a good 3% at the time of writing.

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July 11, 2024 05:30 PM
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Dow, UK FTSE set to join Australia’s ASX in the bullish breakout club?

Interest rates are starting to be cut across the developed world. The combination of lower borrowing costs and positive economic growth should benefit cyclical assets, including stock indices which have lagged during the aggressive rate tightening cycle of recent years. That presents an opportunity for traders.

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July 11, 2024 12:55 AM
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USD/JPY considers 162 ahead of US CPI, ASX 200 breaks out of compression

The ever-weaker yen allowed USD/JPY to drift higher for a third day, and now trades less than a typical day's range from the 162 handle - a level not tested since 1986. Wall Street indices reached record highs on dovish comments from Jerome Powell's testimony, and that bodes well for the ASX 200 today.

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July 11, 2024 12:01 AM
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US CPI Preview: Another Low-3% Reading Likely, Traders Looking to Buy S&P 500 Dips?

Traders and economists expect the US CPI report to fall to 3.1% y/y on a headline basis, with the “Core” (ex-food and -energy) reading expected to hold steady at 3.4% y/y.

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July 9, 2024 05:52 PM
china_03

Hang Seng, China A50 futures clinging by a thread before third plenum

If the Politburo wants to get Chinese markets excited about what may come out of next week’s third plenum, it better get cracking. Because with economic activity coming off the boil and with no sign of major stimulus measures in sight, not only are stock indices rolling over but breaking or threatening to break key levels on the charts.

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July 9, 2024 01:42 AM
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DAX technical analysis: bullish signal ahead of French elections

The German DAX index is showing a bullish signal, setting the stage for potential gains on Friday and possibly in early next week ahead once the French elections are out of the way.

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July 4, 2024 04:00 PM
Vote being posted in ballot box

FTSE 100 forecast: UK elections and its impact on UK assets

Today, millions of UK citizens are heading to polling stations to vote in the general elections, while the US is out celebrating Independence Day. Then it is all about the French legislative election on Sunday, which can arguably have a bigger influence on the FTSE 100 forecast than the UK vote today.

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July 4, 2024 12:00 PM
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Powell dangles a dovish carrot ahead of jobs, ISM: ASX 200, China A50

US yields were a touch lower with Jerome Powell saying that inflation is on the disinflationary path, ahead of key economic data from the US including ISM services, JOLTS and ADP employment reports. The ASX 200 and China look poised to move higher following a strong lead from Wall Street ahead of Independence Day.

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July 2, 2024 11:45 PM
china_07

The China A50 might hold 12k if these two key stocks can stabilise

China’s major stock market indices have been falling since the middle of May. With little in the way of a decent bounce higher, I continue to suspect one could be due.

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July 2, 2024 03:00 AM
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Dow Jones, S&P 500, Nasdaq forecast: Powell, payrolls in focus as inflation takes a backseat

At the start of a new quarter, seasonality and holiday trade create the type of environment where US stock indices could easily add to recent gains. But with signs of fatigue creeping in after such a strong rally, are we due a pullback?

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June 30, 2024 09:00 AM
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Nasdaq 100 analysis: AMZN, GOOG, NVDA and TSLA in focus

Judging by the bullish price action on stocks such as Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG). Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA), I wouldn’t bet against another tech-fuelled rally. Among these, the key stock that needs to hold up is Nvidia given how much of an influence it has on the Nasdaq 100.

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June 27, 2024 02:30 PM
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China A50 futures: oversold and primed for a bounce?

China A50 stock futures have been hammered on Thursday, as have most other equity futures across Asia. The US dollar is breaking out as US Treasury yields push higher, seeing traders abandon riskier positions ahead of quarter-end. The baby is being thrown out with the bath water.

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June 27, 2024 04:39 AM
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Dow Jones futures eyeing bullish breakout?

Sitting in a bullish pennant pattern with RSI and MACD pointing to building bullish momentum, it looks like we may soon see a test of topside resistance in Dow Jones futures, pointing to the potential for a bullish break or bearish reversal that may see the price coil up even further.

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June 25, 2024 04:22 AM
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Dow Jones forecast: Bulls eye DJIA 40K as tech takes a breather

The US stock markets were trading mixed today. The Dow was up more than 1% at the time of writing, boosted by IBM and JPMorgan shares. On the flipside, this year’s best performing index, the Nasdaq 100, had an off day, down about 0.9% as shares in Nvidia fell by 6%, down for the third consecutive day.

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June 24, 2024 05:00 PM

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Tech Rally Pauses for Breather as Index Hits Resistance

Today, the Nasdaq 100 reached a new milestone, climbing above 20K for the first time ever before retreating.

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USD/CHF traders are nervous of being ‘caught short’ ahead of SNB

Futures traders may be heavily net-short Swiss Francs, but the rapid rise of the currency this week ahead of the SNB meeting suggests some are wary of being caught short a less-dovish central bank.

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Hang Seng leads the way, ASX and China A50 set to follow?

The Hang Seng enjoyed its best day in three months. And with key support levels for the China A50 and ASX 200 holding, perhaps they can try to close the gap this week.

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FTSE 100 Forecast Boosted by CPI and Crude Rally Ahead of Elections

The FTSE moved moderately higher after the UK’s inflation rate fell to the Bank of England’s 2% target ahead of for the central bank’s rate section on Thursday.

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June 19, 2024 01:00 PM
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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Papa Dow Diverges from SPX and NDX

The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 look tired as bad economic news is no longer good news for the stock market as traders worry the Fed is falling behind the curve.

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China A50 could be teeing up for a rebound, Nikkei 225 remains trapped

The China A50 has shown early signs of stabilising around support levels after a 4-week decline. The bear case for the Nikkei is not dead, but it may be sleeping whilst it remains rangebound on the weekly chart.

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June 18, 2024 03:12 AM