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DAX analysis: Has the German index risen too far, too fast?

With the US out for a holiday, the focus remains firmly on European markets today, where stocks have been surging lately thanks to Trump pushing for a swift resolution to the Ukraine war. But have the markets got ahead of themselves with all this optimism? This DAX analysis shows the German index is now at extremely overbought levels, which calls for caution.

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Yesterday 01:03 PM
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Gold Price Forecast: Hang Seng and Bullion Rally Together—Coincidence or Trend?

Gold and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng aren’t usually mentioned in the same breath, but a strong correlation has emerged. Is there more to this than coincidence?

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DAX forecast: Ukraine optimism lifts index to extreme overbought levels

With much of the positivity surrounding a potential resolution to the Russia and Ukraine war, Trump’s softer tariffs tone and ECB rate cuts all priced in, you do wonder how much further the index will be able to rise without first staging a correction of some sort. So, our DAX forecast is neutral at these levels, and we would not be surprised if markets now headed lower for a while, even if, ultimately, the bullish trend then continues.

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British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD, FTSE 100 Face Uncertainty as US Tariff Shift Looms

GBP/USD and FTSE 100 futures are at critical levels as US tariff risks cloud the outlook. With Washington targeting VAT in its trade assessments, UK markets may have underestimated the fallout. Could this be a turning point for sterling and stocks?

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Dow Jones forecast: US stocks hold steady ahead of tariffs announcement

US indices were trading higher across the board, shaking off a weaker start for the index futures, as traders speculated, thanks to a CNBC post, that Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs set to be announced shortly will not go into effect until possibly April 1, meaning plenty of time for affected nations to strike a trade deal.

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February 13, 2025 05:00 PM
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Hang Seng Tech, USD/CNH: Tide Turning on Bearish China Sentiment?

Hang Seng Tech is surging, USD/CNH is breaking lower, and sentiment toward Chinese assets is shifting fast. With tech valuations still below historical averages and momentum running hot, is this the start of a sustained rally or just another false dawn? Key levels and setups to watch

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GBP/USD, GBP/JPY look set to extend their bounce (to various degrees)

A weaker US dollar and Japanese yen has allowed GBP/USD and GBP/JPY to regain some lost ground. And both pairs can likely build upon these early gains, GBP/USD could be the outperformer.

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February 12, 2025 03:29 AM
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Dow Jones Technical Analysis: Technical Tuesday - February 11, 2025

Dow Jones technical analysis: The major US indices such as the Dow and S&P 500 continue to trade inside ranges and unable so far to break out to new all-time highs, unlike European indices where the DAX has surged to yet another record today.

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February 11, 2025 05:00 PM
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How Will the 2025 German Federal Election Impact the DAX and Major German Stocks?

Different German Election coalition scenarios could have dramatically different impacts on the DAX and key German stocks like Volkswagen, Siemens, SAP, and Deutsche Bank.

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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Amazon results take centre stage after mixed Alphabet and AMD earnings

UK stocks outperformed as the pound weakened following a disappointing construction PMI reading, and after the Bank of England cut rates and halved its growth forecasts. However, US indices and futures have yet to hit new all-time highs, potentially signalling fading bullish momentum for US stocks ahead of more tech earnings today. That said, the Nasdaq 100 forecast still bullish given an overall positive technical backdrop.

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USD/CNH: China Fires Back with Tariffs as Markets Brace for Fallout

China wasted no time retaliating against fresh US tariffs, slapping duties on crude oil, LNG, and farm equipment while launching a probe into Google. USD/CNH is holding up for now, but will key resistance levels crack when the PBOC steps in post-Lunar New Year?

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Wall Street gaps lower, ASX under pressure following Trump’s tariffs

It has been another turbulent start to the week for Wal Street and ASX 200 futures, as traders react to Trump's tariffs.

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AUD/USD, ASX 200: Inflation Miss Sets Stage for First RBA Rate Cut Since 2020

Cooling inflation pressures have reignited speculation of an RBA rate cut, marking a potential shift in Australia’s monetary policy landscape. AUD/USD tests key support as ASX 200 SPI futures eye record highs.

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January 29, 2025 01:51 AM
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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Tech stocks continue to thrive amid AI optimism

The Nasdaq 100 forecast remains bullish for now. Sentiment is positive mainly because the technology sector is continuing to remain the gift that keeps on giving. The latest wave of optimism has been fuelled by advancements in artificial intelligence and solid corporate earnings.

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January 23, 2025 01:00 PM
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S&P 500 Analysis: Conflicting signals arise just off its all-time high

The S&P 500 cash market settled just 4 points from its all-time high. Yet a reversal candle and unfavourable market positioning send a warning to bulls, yet recent history suggest this setup could be bullish.

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January 23, 2025 01:49 AM
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DAX outlook: Could Trump disrupt European markets?

With the US out, it has understandably been a quiet day so far in Europe where major indices were trading mixed but holding onto their recent impressive gains. Some of the major European indices hit new record highs last week, including the high-flying German DAX index.

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January 20, 2025 12:00 PM
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Nasdaq, Russell 2000: Rates-Driven Rally or Bull Trap in Disguise?

Was last week’s Nasdaq and Russell 2000 rally driven by politics or something deeper in the rates market? Unpack the signals behind the big US stock market surge.

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January 20, 2025 02:31 AM

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FTSE analysis: Could Trump disrupt record-hitting European stock markets?

The upcoming week could kick off with a bang, even though Wall Street will sit Monday out due to Martin Luther King Day. Donald Trump is set to begin his second term as US President on the same day, ensuring a headline-filled start to the trading week.

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S&P 500 analysis: Can US stocks continue positive momentum?

Investors are closely monitoring key macroeconomic indicators, including jobless claims and retail sales data today, for clues about the health of the US economy and the Fed’s policy trajectory. For as long as we don’t see big surprises, mildly positive surprises in these areas could reinforce the market’s optimism and provide further fuel for the S&P 500.

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January 16, 2025 01:00 PM
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USD/CNH stalls below 2023 high, China A50 rebounds from the 200 SMA

Where the US dollar index goes, USD/CNH follows. And if we're treated to a softer set of US CPI figures, it could prompt a pullback on both. This also coincides with a series of bullish clues on the China A50 index.

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Nasdaq 100 outlook: Technical Tuesday - January 14, 2025

Investors are still cautious despite reports that Trump will be considering a more gradual ramp-up in trade tariffs in order to avert inflation spikes. So, more price action is needed to confirm a low has been hit, as this could just turn out to be an oversold recovery – especially given the recent bearish price action across several US indices. Thus, it is too early to turn positive again on the Nasdaq 100 outlook.

EUR/AUD taps out, Wall Street could throw the ASX a lifeline (for now)

They may have come close to testing the limits of my bearish bias, but we finally saw momentum turn south for EUR/AUD and the ASX 200. However, with Wall Street indices looking steady above key support levels, a cheeky bounce could be due before the anticipated losses resume.

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S&P 500 outlook: Will strong NFP, rising yields trigger stocks sell-off?

The market was already repricing US interest rates higher in recent days and week, amid expectations of inflationary policies under Donald Trump, when he takes office later this month. But the surprising strength of US labour market means traders have now shifted the full pricing of the next Fed rate cut to October.

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January 10, 2025 03:30 PM