News and analysis

  • All
  • Forex
  • Commodities
  • Shares
  • Indices

Sort by:

  • Newest
  • Popular
Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

EUR/USD, USD/JPY implied vols rise ahead CPI and GDP data: European Open

With a host of inflation data from Europe and GDP data for the US, implied volatility has picked up to wake markets up from their post-Thanksgiving lull. Today we take a look at USD/JPY and EUR/USD for a potential setup.

default avatar
Today 04:52 AM
Multiple Euro bank notes in 20€, 50€ and 100€

NZ dollar takes flight as RBNZ strike a hawkish tone (NZD/USD, AUD/NZD)

Whilst the RBNZ were expected to hold, their statement struck a hawkish tone by stating that “inflation remains too high”. And with traders front-loading a weak CPI print for the US later this week it has catapulted the New Zealand dollar higher.

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

AUD/USD hits resistance pre-CPI as USD/JPY, USD/CNH probe support: Asian Open

With USD/CNH and USD/JPY probing key support levels, we may require a break of them for AUD/USD to stand a chance of continuing its strong rally (which met strong resistance on Tuesday). Unless of course Australia is treated to an uncomfortably hot inflation report today, which could fan fears of another RBA hike.

Oil rig in the sea

Crude Oil Analysis: WTI, Brent Bounce, OPEC+ Uncertainty Remains

The tail risks of a failure for OPEC+ to reach an agreement is on the rise, presenting an underappreciated potential for even more volatility in the crude oil market...

Open an account today

Tight spreads from 0.5 pts on FX and 1 pt on indices.

Award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution.

Research

Oil and Gold rally, stocks largely unmoved

Gold continued to impress, up 1.4% to $2,040 (versus a one-year high of $2,085). Oil spiked 2.2% to $76.5 per barrel. Today’s consumer sentiment and holiday spending data were very strong. Two Fed governors indicated different opinions on official interest rates: Michelle Bowman thinks the Fed will have to raise rates further to bring inflation down, but Christopher Waller said he believes current rates are about right. Stocks again made little progress, with the economically sensitive Russell 2000 off 0.6%.

Energy

Everything you need to know about the Exxon and Chevron acquisitions

The two largest US oil and gas companies both announced major acquisitions that will increase production while lowering taxable revenue in the near future. Learn more in our rundown of Chevron and Exxon here.

Gold nuggets

Gold analysis: Precious metals, stocks climb as yields and dollar drop

Gold was up nearly 1.3% by late afternoon trading in London, near $2040 while silver was closing in on the $25.00 level. The precious metals have been supported by two factors: Bond yields and US dollar, both falling.

USA flag

Dow Jones forecast: Stocks set for a muted start ahead of consumer confidence data

Stocks are pointing to a subdued start as investors look ahead cautiously to Thursday's inflation data. Today consumer confidence figures are expected to show a slight deterioration in morale, Several Fed officials will speak across the day and could provide clues about the Fed's future path for interest rates. Retailers are in focus after Americans spent around $12 billion online on Cyber Monday.

default avatar
Yesterday 02:03 PM
Finger pointing on market chart data

EUR/USD analysis: Technical Tuesday – Nov 28, 2023

Welcome to another edition of Technical Tuesday, a weekly report where we highlight some of the most interesting markets that will hopefully appease technical analysts and traders alike. In this week’s report, we will analyse the EUR/USD pair.

Brazil Flag

USDBRL should reflect US data, IPCA-15, and the economic agenda in Congress.

Bullish factors November IPCA-15 may slightly accelerate versus October, bringing some points of concern regarding inflation dynamics for the upcoming months and potentially weakening the real. Bearish factors The possibility of advancing important economic agendas for the government in the National Congress could reduce the perception of fiscal risks for Brazilian assets and strengthen the real. Data for the American economy can reinforce the perception that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates further and contribute to the global weakening of the USD.

germany_03

DAX, GBP/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch

DAX slips, German consumer confidence ticks higher. GBP/USD consolidates at a 3-month high ahead of US consumer confidence data.

japan_08

Yen bulls return, EUR/USD benefits from soft dollar bets: COT report

When yen bulls increase their long exposure by 40% in a week, it is probably worth noting. Especially when large speculators had pushed net-short exposure to a 6-year high the week prior. Every turning point must start somewhere, and I continue to suspect this turning point already has.

AUD/USD, ASX 200 continue to go their separate ways: Asian Open

Two milestones were set on Monday for two key Australian markets, which saw AUD/USD close above its 200-day average for the first time in four months and the ASX 200 close below 7,000.

default avatar
November 27, 2023 10:26 PM
Get the information that drives markets
Anaylsts composition
Get expert reaction to latest market news and seize potential opportunities.
Economic calendar

30 days risk-free trading with £10,000 in virtual funds

StoneX Financial Ltd (trading as “City Index”) is an execution-only service provider. This material, whether or not it states any opinions, is for general information purposes only and it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. This material has been prepared using the thoughts and opinions of the author and these may change. However, City Index does not plan to provide further updates to any material once published and it is not under any obligation to keep this material up to date. This material is short term in nature and may only relate to facts and circumstances existing at a specific time or day. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment, legal, tax or other advice and no reliance should be placed on it.

No opinion given in this material constitutes a recommendation by City Index or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although City Index is not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, City Index does not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination. This material is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

For further details see our full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.