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EUR/USD
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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Digests Data, Core PCE on Tap
EUR/USD is trying to stage a bounce off the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the late-June to mid-July rally
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EUR/USD, EUR/JPY forecast: Weak PMIs dampens euro as yen roars back
While the euro has struggled, the Japanese yen continues to roar back higher. The strengthening yen is a reflection of tightening of bond yield spread between Japan and the rest of the world, after ballooning following the years of excessive expansionary monetary policy in Japan while the rest of the world pursued a sharp contractionary policy to combat surging inflation.
![Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex7.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=6D6ED62D523F05A882A454AD98D49661)
USD/JPY, EURUSD Forecast: Two trades to watch
USD/JPY falls to a monthly low. EUR/USD falls after PMI data missed forecasts.
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EURUSD, DXY Analysis: Political Shifts vs PMI and PCE Week
EURUSD, DXY Analysis: the DXY and EURUSD are respecting potential consolidation boundaries, with the DXY back in the 104 zone, and the EURUSD back below 1.09.
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EUR/USD outlook: PMIs, US GDP and Core PCE to set FX tone
In this week's EUR/USD outlook, we see important macro events in the days ahead which could set the short-term tone for this and other major FX pairs. But first, we will begin by looking at the chart to remind ourselves of the trend.
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EUR/USD Forecast: Forex Friday - July 19, 2024
Our EUR/USD forecast remains bullish but in light of the dollar recovery and the mild risk-off sentiment, we wouldn’t rule out some further short-term weakness after rates fell back below the 1.09 handle following the ECB’s rate decision. The week ahead promises to be an important one for the FX markets, with the release of global PMIs, US GDP and the Fed’s favourite inflation measure.
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EUR/USD, GBP/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD looks to the ECB rate decision. GBP/USD eases after wage growth keeps August rate cut hopes alive.
![GettyImages-485112085](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2023/08/gettyimages-485112085/gettyimages-485112085.jpg?h=1690&w=2535&hash=93A2A814826803E5CA3C6D69EFCA108E)
How Could the US Presidential Election Impact Markets? A 40-Year Study Looking at 5 Key Markets
At a high level, the US dollar has not shown a consistent trend of strengthening or weakening in one month before, one week after, one month after, or one quarter after US Presidential Election days over the last 10 elections.
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EUR/USD Outlook: Attention turns to ECB's policy meeting
The European Central Bank's upcoming policy decision could turn out to be an important event for the EUR/USD pair. While no rate cuts are expected this time, the ECB's stance and any forward guidance will be closely scrutinised. The previous rate cut in June was driven by concerns over economic growth and as inflation showed weakening signs.
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EUR/USD, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD weighs up Trump & Powell ahead of US retail sales. FTSE falls on Trump trade and China worries.
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EUR/USD forecast: Currency Pair of the Week - July 15, 2024
Already cutting rates in June, the European Central Bank will be in focus again this week. This time, no rate cuts are expected from the ECB, which, together with reduced political uncertainty in Europe and weakness in US data, should all help to keep the euro supported against the US dollar, maintaining the short-term EUR/USD forecast in bulls’ favour.
![Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/2021/03/forex7.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=6D6ED62D523F05A882A454AD98D49661)
EUR/USD, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD recovers from earlier losses with Trump & Powell in focus. FTSE falls following weaker China data.
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EUR/USD, AUD/USD traders flipped to net-long exposure: COT report
Large speculators flipped to net-long exposure to EUR/USD futures after a 2-week hiatus, whilst AUD/USD breached the bullish threshold for the first time in three years according to the commitment of traders report (COT).
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EURUSD, DXY Analysis: Rate Cut Bets vs Stretched Momentum Indicators
EURUSD, DXY Analysis: latest CPI figures boosted the sustainability rate of the dis-inflationary track, leading to a drop in US bond yields and boosting the likelihood of a September rate cut
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EURUSD, USDMXN Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
The sustainability of the US disinflationary trajectory towards the Fed’s 2% inflation target will be tested today with the release of the June CPI indicator
![USD_GBP_EUR](/en-uk/-/media/research/global/news-analysis/featured-image/banners/nanda-banner-usd_gbp_eur.jpg?h=300&w=1170&hash=2C2927072266A3AEEE44F5CE75547687)
EUR/USD firms up ahead of US CPI, gold appears hesitant to reclaim 2400
It seems there is already excitement in the air for a soft CPI report, with EUR/USD rising in today’s Asian session. But if CPI delivers an upside surprise, gold may be the better bet for bears over the near term.
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EUR/USD forecast remains mildly bullish as traders await Powell, CPI
The week’s big event is the US CPI data release on Thursday, which might reignite volatility in the FX space. For now, the EUR/USD forecast remains only modestly bullish, as it is lacking any significant follow-through.
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EUR/USD, GBP/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD holds above 1.08 amid French political uncertainty & ahead of Powell’s testimony. GBP/USD holds steady after last week's election & after a cautious BoE Haskel.
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Yen, AUD/USD, Gold, Dow Jones Analysis: COT report
Large speculators were on the cusp of reaching a record level of net-short exposure to yen futures last week, whilst they're also getting close to reaching net-long exposure to AUD/USD futures.
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EURUSD Outlook: French Political Uncertainties vs Fed Rate Cut Bets
EURUSD Outlook: Despite the bearish impact of political and economic uncertainty in the EU, EURUSD is holding at a bullish end amid Fed rate cut bets
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Crude Oil, EURUSD Forecast: Key Levels Ahead of Non-Farm Payrolls and CPI Week
Crude Oil, EURUSD Forecast: Oil hovers at the upper edge of its consolidation, while EURUSD surges towards it.
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GBP/USD, EUR/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch
GBP/USD rises on General Election Day. EUR/USD rises to a 3-week high, ECB minutes are due.
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NFP Preview: Signs of a Slow Job Market Could Take EUR/USD Above 1.08
EUR/USD is rallying toward the key 1.0800 level that could set the tone for the rest of the month ahead of the NFP report.