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EUR/USD forecast remains bullish amid recent US data weakness

Fed’s tone has remained hawkish, with officials arguing against premature rate cuts. This has helped to provide the greenback some support, even as the markets have brought forward their expectations over the first rate cut thanks to weakness in US data. All told, our EUR/USD forecast remains bullish in the short-term outlook.

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Yesterday 12:00 PM
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Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Coiling Just Below Key 1.0900 Level

EUR/USD is rangebound for now but a break above 1.0890 could herald another leg up to 1.1000

EURUSD Outlook: FOMC Minutes and Flash PMI on the Horizon

EURUSD Outlook: Following the slight cooling of U.S inflation, markets embraced a euphoric sentiment. Will the upcoming FOMC minutes calm it down or amplify it further?

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May 20, 2024 04:36 PM

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EUR/USD, AUD/USD outlook: Forex Friday - May 17, 2024

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report, we will discuss the US dollar, euro and Aussie, and look ahead to the next week.

EURUSD Forecast: ECB Financial Review Meets April Highs

EURUSD Forecast: the pair is back up to April highs; are March highs next in sight?

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EUR/USD outlook remains positive, likely heading to 1.10

Despite the slow start to today’s session, the recent price action and improving eurozone sentiment suggests the EUR/USD outlook remains positive, with the exchange rate on course to potentially head towards the 1.10 handle.

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May 16, 2024 12:50 PM

EUR/USD, DAX Forecast: Soft US Data Drives EUR/USD Higher and DAX to Record

The 1-2 combination of soft CPI and retail sales has driven EUR/USD higher and sent the DAX to fresh record highs.

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May 15, 2024 04:17 PM
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EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises ahead of US inflation data, Eurozone GDP figures. USD/JPY falls with US data in focus & on intervention warnings.

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USD could rally if CPI doesn’t soften from elevated levels: EUR/USD, AUD/USD

The US dollar continued to weaken ahead of today's US CPI report, helping EUR/USD and AUD/USD move towards key resistance levels. Yet traders will require a soft set of inflation figures for the pairs to stand any chance of breaking resistance.


EUR/USD analysis: Attention turns to key US inflation data

The EUR/USD analysis is currently looking positive, and the bulls would love to see weaker US inflation data this week to inspire a potential breakout above the key 1.08 resistance level.

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May 14, 2024 12:30 PM
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EUR/USD: High bar for US economic data creates asymmetric upside risks

it’s now up to incoming data and news flow to continue fuelling the bullish USD narrative, otherwise it risks sparking a reversal. We may be seeing the inception of such a move in EUR/USD right now.

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May 14, 2024 05:45 AM

Oil, EUR/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch

Oil struggles after mixed China data and on Fed rate cut uncertainty. EUR/USD inches higher with Fed speakers & US CPI data in focus.


Futures traders reduce yen speculation after BOJ intervention: COT report

With asset managers and large speculators trimming long and short exposure to yen futures, their appetite to speculate on the currency appears to be waning after BOJ interventions.


EUR/USD, AUD/USD, gold look set to take advantage of US dollar weakness

The US dollar snapped its 3-day winning streak and formed a bearish outside day, helping gold reach our upside target. EUR/USD and AUD/USD are now eyeing a move towards key resistance levels.

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EUR/USD, DAX Forecast: DAX Surges to record highs as EUR/USD Consolidates

EUR/USD is consolidating, but optimism about falling interest rates and solid corporate performance has boosted the DAX to record highs above 18,600.


EUR/USD, FTSE Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD falls on concerns over the German recovery and hawkish Fed comments. The FTSE rises to fresh all-time highs ahead of tomorrow's BoE rate decision.

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EUR/USD, Oil forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD falls after weak German data & with retail sales in focus. Oil rises ahead of inventory data.

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US dollar, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, VIX analysis: COT report

The BOJ's intervention prevented large speculators from reaching a record level of net-short exposure, asset managers continued to trim net-long exposure to the US dollar and US indices and also flipped to net-long the VIX.

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EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD is rising post-Fed on USD weakness. USD/JPY steadies after another suspected intervention.

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EUR/USD, USD/JPY key levels heading into ISM, employment, FOMC

The US dollar has rallied on anticipation of a more hawkish Fed ahead of today's meeting. So we take a look at key levels for EUR/USD and USD/JPY.


EUR/USD outlook improves on stronger Eurozone economy as focus turns to US data

EUR/USD boosted by German and Eurozone GDP expansion, although the ECB is still likely to cut in June even if the pace of subsequent cuts may be slower. US data highlights include FOMC, NFP and ISM surveys this week. Meanwhile EUR/USD technical analysis point to potential rise to $1.08.

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April 30, 2024 01:21 PM
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EUR/USD price action warns of downside risk ahead of key inflation and growth data

EUR/USD looks tired ahead of key inflation and GDP data from the continent later Tuesday, struggling to hold the gains which took it to two-week highs on Friday.

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April 30, 2024 07:10 AM
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Forex Seasonality – May 2024: Pullback Potential in EUR/USD and GBP/USD?

May has historically been the second-worst month for EUR/USD (-0.62%) and GBP/USD (-0.37%) - see what to watch for from the other major currency pairs!