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EUR/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CAD forecast – Forex Friday

In this week’s edition, we discuss the EUR/USD, AUD/USD and USD/CAD forecast and look forward to the macro events in the week ahead.


EUR/USD analysis: Cooler inflation fails to shift ECB hike bets

Investors’ focus now turns back to US data as speculation over whether the Fed will hike in June continues. Watch out for fresh EUR/USD analysis from the team as the data could shift Fed bets again.

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EUR/USD, Oil outlook: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD falls ahead of Eurozone inflation data. Oil rises as hawkish Fed bets ease, the House pass the debt ceiling bill & China data beats.

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June 1, 2023 08:39 AM

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EUR/USD, Gold analysis: European open – 31st May 2023

Weak China PMI data has weighed on sentiment ahead of today's European open, helping to support gold ahead of the vote on the debt-ceiling bill in the House of Republicans.

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May 31, 2023 06:07 AM
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Euro analysis: Is EUR/USD breaking out after the debt ceiling deal?

EUR/USD's bullish move off support suggests we may finally be breaking out of May's big falling wedge pattern...


EUR/USD, DAX Analysis: European Open – 30th May 2023

EUR/USD is considering a break of 1.0700, and a potential bearish pattern suggests a target around 1.0600. But the longer 1.0700 holds as support, the greater the odds of a rebound.

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May 30, 2023 06:25 AM

EUR/USD, gold, S&P 500 analysis: Commitment of traders report (COT)

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.

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EUR/USD, Oil outlook: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD falls as Germany enters a recession. Oil steadies around 3-week high.

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May 25, 2023 08:18 AM
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EUR/USD forecast: Sentiment sours ahead of FOMC minutes

Thanks to hawkish rhetoric from ECB, traders are not so keen to slam EUR hard despite stock sell-off. A close above 1.0850 would enhance the EUR/USD forecast.

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May 24, 2023 01:42 PM
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EUR/USD Analysis: Debt ceiling negotiations set to resume, PMIs up next

The debt ceiling negotiations drag on for at least another day (and likely for the rest of the week). For now we can focus on today’s flash PMIs and how EUR/USD reacts.

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May 23, 2023 05:51 AM
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EUR/USD, DAX analysis: Hawkish ECB vs. dovish Fed

EUR/USD and DAX traders are digesting the differing monetary policy assessments from the Fed and ECB this weekend.

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May 22, 2023 03:35 PM
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EUR/USD, USD/JPY outlook: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises above 1.08 after hawkish ECB chatter, EZ consumer confidence up next. USD/JPY falls after a dovish Powell, debt ceiling talks in focus.

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May 22, 2023 08:27 AM

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD: Commitment of traders report (COT) – 05/22/2023

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.

Market chart

EUR/USD, Gold outlook: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD edges higher ahead of ECB Lagarde & Powell speeches. Gold awaits clues from Powell.

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May 19, 2023 09:06 AM

Euro analysis: EUR/USD hits a 6-week low, 1.08 in sight?

EUR/USD is nearing a key level of previous-resistance-turned-support at 1.0800, where bulls may try to stem the bleeding later this week.

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EUR/USD, EUR/CHF forecast: European open inflation and US housing data on tap

With hawkish Fed members alongside weak data from Germany ahead of today's inflation report, we're looking at a potential swing trade short on EUR/USD.

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May 17, 2023 06:27 AM

EUR/USD outlook: Long-term view remains bullish

Signs of disinflation and a weaker economy will likely emerge later in the year, weighing on the longer-term EUR/USD outlook.

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May 16, 2023 02:02 PM

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GBP/USD, EUR/USD forecast :Two trades to watch

GBP/USD falls after labour market data. EUR/USD rises cautiously ahead of GDP, German ZEW economic sentiment data.

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May 16, 2023 08:33 AM

European Open: Turkey could be headed for a runoff election

The Turkish lira sank to a fresh record low against the US dollar as President Erdogan remained in the lead, although has yet to enjoy an outright majority.

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May 15, 2023 05:43 AM

US dollar analysis: How sticky will core CPI be?

The Cleveland Fed’s widely-watched Inflation Nowcast suggests potential upside risk to the release...

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May 9, 2023 05:58 PM

EUR/USD Outlook Brightened by Hawkish Lagarde

The ECB could hike rates two more times in coming months, while the Fed is seen cutting rates later in the year. This should keep the EUR/USD outlook positive.

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May 4, 2023 03:21 PM

EUR/USD outlook, DAX outlook: Two trades to watch

EUR/USD rises post Fed and ahead of the ECB rate decision. DAX falls ahead of ECB, PMIs and a big day for corporate earnings.

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May 4, 2023 08:13 AM
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EUR/USD outlook: ECB could deliver hawkish surprise - preview

The EUR/USD outlook is clearly going to change this week with both the Fed and ECB rate decisions to come ahead of US non-farm payrolls report on Friday. The stickiness of Eurozone inflation means there is a greater risk for a hawkish surprise.