Fiona Cincotta
Fiona Cincotta
Senior Market Analyst
Expertise: Macroeconomics/Fundamental & Technical Analysis/Media
Trading Style: Trend/Swing
Experience:
• Over 15 years’ experience trading and analysing UK, European & US markets
• Covers forex, equity, commodity, and crypto assets
• Webinars seminars and regular appearances on BBC, Reuters and Bloomberg TV as well as a weekly slot on BBC’s World Business report (World Services).
• Regularly quoted in Bloomberg, Reuters and MarketWatch among other outlets
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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Stocks look cautiously to Fed Chair Powell's appearance
US stocks are set for a quiet open as investors look cautiously ahead to an appearance by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later today. His comments will come as the Fed's preferred measure of inflation cooled to 3.5% YoY in October and as the market wraps up a month of impressive gains. Optimism that the Fed could start to cut rates next year lifted the Nasdaq 100 11% this month, its best monthly gain since mid-2022.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD struggles below 1.09 ahead of manufacturing data & Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Oil falls after OPEC+ underwhelmed.
S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises as Fed's preferred inflation gauge cools
Stocks are set to end November on a strong footing after US core PCE, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge cooled inline with forecasts. Core PCE eased to 3.5% YoY from 3.7%, supporting the view that the Federal Reserve has finished hiking interest rates. Attention now turns to NY Fed President Williams for his comments ahead of Fed Chair Powell speech tomorrow.
DAX, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
DAX extends gains ahead of EZ and US inflation data. Oil holds steady with the OPEC+ meeting and China data in focus.
Nasdaq 100 forecast: Nasdaq 100 rises on rate cut optimism
US stocks are rising in risk on trade after comments from Federal Reserve officials raised expectations that the Fed was done hiking interest rates and is looking at when to start cutting rates. The market is now pricing in a 40% probability of a 25 basis point hike in March. Attention is shifting to tomorrow's inflation data for further clues over the path for rates.
DAX, GBP/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch
DAX rises ahead of inflation data. GBP/USD rises to 1.27 on divergent central bank chatter.
Dow Jones forecast: Stocks set for a muted start ahead of consumer confidence data
Stocks are pointing to a subdued start as investors look ahead cautiously to Thursday's inflation data. Today consumer confidence figures are expected to show a slight deterioration in morale, Several Fed officials will speak across the day and could provide clues about the Fed's future path for interest rates. Retailers are in focus after Americans spent around $12 billion online on Cyber Monday.
DAX, GBP/USD Forecast: Two trades to watch
DAX slips, German consumer confidence ticks higher. GBP/USD consolidates at a 3-month high ahead of US consumer confidence data.
S&P 500 forecast: Stocks hover around a 3-month high at the start of a busy week
US stocks are set for a mixed open, with the S&P 500 hovering around a 3-month high after four straight weeks of gains. Optimism that the Fed has finished hiking interest rates has boosted demand for stocks. This week's US inflation data could provide further clues over the Fed's future path for rates. Today e-commerce companies will be in focus amid high expectations for strong Cyber Monday shopping.
EUR/USD, Oil Forecast: Two trades to watch
EUR/USD rises ahead of a key week for data. Oil slides with the focus on Thursday's OPEC+ meeting.
S&P 500 forecast: S&P 500 drifts on Black Friday
US stocks are set for a subdued open on Black Friday with the market open for half a day. Despite drifting today, stocks have had an impressive November, on track to be the best monthly gain in 3 years as data pointed to the Fed being at the end of its hiking cycle. Attention will be on US PMI data which is expected to tick lower.