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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises as Fed's preferred inflation gauge cools

Stocks are set to end November on a strong footing after US core PCE, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge cooled inline with forecasts. Core PCE eased to 3.5% YoY from 3.7%, supporting the view that the Federal Reserve has finished hiking interest rates. Attention now turns to NY Fed President Williams for his comments ahead of Fed Chair Powell speech tomorrow.

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Yesterday 02:16 PM
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S&P 500 forecast: Stocks hover around a 3-month high at the start of a busy week

US stocks are set for a mixed open, with the S&P 500 hovering around a 3-month high after four straight weeks of gains. Optimism that the Fed has finished hiking interest rates has boosted demand for stocks. This week's US inflation data could provide further clues over the Fed's future path for rates. Today e-commerce companies will be in focus amid high expectations for strong Cyber Monday shopping.

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November 27, 2023 02:07 PM
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S&P 500 forecast: S&P 500 drifts on Black Friday

US stocks are set for a subdued open on Black Friday with the market open for half a day. Despite drifting today, stocks have had an impressive November, on track to be the best monthly gain in 3 years as data pointed to the Fed being at the end of its hiking cycle. Attention will be on US PMI data which is expected to tick lower.

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November 24, 2023 01:59 PM

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S&P 500 forecast: S&P 500 edges higher after Nvidia results, mixed data

US stocks are heading higher after a mildly lower close yesterday. Investors digest the latest Nvidia results, along with falling jobless claims and durable goods orders. The Fed meeting minutes saw policymakers reiterate that rates should remain high for longer. Still the market is convinced that the next move by the Fed will be a rate cut. Nvidia beat forecasts on top and bottom line.

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November 22, 2023 01:58 PM
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S&P 500 forecast: Forward testing the S&P 500 around Thanksgiving

I have always had an inkling that US equity markets tend to perform well heading into Thanksgiving. So today, I put that theory to the test.

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November 17, 2023 04:20 AM
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S&P technical analysis: Bears back in town or temporary respite?

The Nasdaq and S&P 500 both seem somewhat overbought following a rapid three-week surge. Wednesday's price action has raised the possibility of a short-term pullback. Despite this, it's essential to differentiate any potential short-term weakness from a bearish reversal, unless price action on the charts or a strong pushback from the Federal Reserve indicate otherwise.

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US Index Analysis: DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 All Test Key Resistance

The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are all testing key resistance levels and could pull back over the next couple days...

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S&P500 Forecast :S&P500 steady as jobless claims support dovish Fed narrative

US stocks are holding after a run higher this week. US jobless claims came in above forecasts, supporting the view that the US labour market is cooling, amid a slightly slowing economy after the Fed's aggressive rate hiking cycle. The market is convinced that the Fed is done hiking rates and the next move will be a cut. Several Fed officials are due to speak later. Earning from Walmart, Macy's and Cisco are in focus.

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November 16, 2023 02:28 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: S&P500 inches lower in a subdued start & after Moody's downgrade

US stocks are inching lower in subdued trade after strong gains in the previous week and after Moody's rating agency downgraded the US credit outlook to Negative from Stable. Additionally trades are looking cautiously ahead to tomorrow's inflation data, which could provide further clues over the likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates again.

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November 13, 2023 02:02 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: S&P500 trades cautiously ahead of Fed Chair Powell's speech

US stocks are set for a subdued open amid a cautious mood ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech shortly. His speech comes as the S&P500 index notches up its longest streak of winning days since 2021. As well as the Fed, earnings are still under the spotlight with Disney due to report. Meanwhile oil prices drop to a 3-month low on demand worries.

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November 8, 2023 02:07 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: Stocks rise building on last week's gains

US stocks are pointing to a modestly higher start, building on strong gains last week. US indices posted the strongest weekly performance in almost a year after weaker than expected US NFP supported the Fed's perceived dovish tilt earlier in the week. Attention now turns to Federal Reserve speaker s later, who could offer further clues on the outlook for the US economy and when the Fed could start cutting rates.

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November 6, 2023 01:50 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: Stocks jump after a weak NFP report

US stocks are pointing to a stronger open after US non-farm payrolls were weaker than expected. 150K jobs were added in October, below the 180k forecast. September's headline job creation was also revised lower and unemployment ticked higher. The data shows a cooling jobs market in a slowing economy, which supports the view that the Federal Reserve is done with hiking.

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November 3, 2023 01:22 PM
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S&P 500 analysis: Stocks extend post-FOMC gains ahead of AAPL, NFP

Global stock indices continued to make strong gains, extending recovery from the previous session. Bets that the Fed is done with rate hike is what’s driving markets higher, while mixed technology earnings have reduced fears about overstretch valuations in the sector.

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November 2, 2023 04:53 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :Stocks rise on bets that the Fed has finished hiking

US stocks head higher, extending gains from yesterday after hints from the Fed that it is at the end of its hiking cycle. US treasury yields have fallen boosting stocks. US jobless claims rose to a 7-week high ahead of tomorrow's non-farm payroll data. Earnings are also in focus with Apple is set to report after the close and is expected to post a 6th straight quarterly decline in revenue. EPS is set to rise to $1.39.

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November 2, 2023 02:13 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: Stocks muted ahead of the Fed rate decision

U.S. stocks are set for a quiet open as investors wait for the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision and digest several macro releases as well as more corporate earnings. The market has fully priced in the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged at a 22-year high of 5.25% to 5.5%. Instead, the focus will be very much on the statement and Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's press conference for clues over how long the central bank could keep interest rates elevated.

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November 1, 2023 01:14 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: Stocks rise after last week's losses

Stocks are pointing to a stronger start on Monday, rebounding from steep losses last week. Still, stocks are set for a third straight month of losses, the longest losing streak since 2020 and the pandemic era. While the economic calendar is quiet today, attention is turning to the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on Wednesday and Apple's earnings on Thursday.

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October 30, 2023 01:06 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: Stocks fall after strong Q3 GDP growth, earnings in focus

U.S. stocks are pointing to a lower open, extending yesterday’s losses as investors digest the latest GDP data and as earnings continue to come in thick and fast. US Q3 GDP rose 4.9% annualized, up from 2.1% and ahead of forecasts of 4.3%. However, core PCE cooled by more than expected across the quarter to 2.4% from 3.7%. Meta is falling after disappointing guidance and Amazon is set to report after the close.

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October 26, 2023 02:35 PM

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S&P500 Forecast : S&P500 slips after earnings from GOOGL & MSFT

US futures are heading broadly lower as the market digests earnings from Alphabet and Microsoft. Google parent Alphabet is set to open around 6% lower after beating on both the top and bottom line but slower growth in its Google Cloud business unnerved investors. Microsoft is pointing to a 3% rise on the open. As well as earnings, attention will be on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell who will speak. His comments come after strong PMI data yesterday.

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October 25, 2023 02:11 PM
Energy

WTI crude oil prices defy the bullish consensus

The 4-month winning streak on oil prices is on track to be snapped, with October having erased all of September’s gains. And this flies in the face of current news flows, of the potential for the Middle East conflict to escalate and send oil prices higher (alongside food, energy and inflation expectations).

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S&P500 Forecast :Stocks falls as treasury yields remain elevated

Stocks fall on the final day of the week as investors continue digesting Fed Chair Powell's comments from yesterday, rising tensions in the Middle East as well as the latest US earnings. US treasury yields are hovering around a multi-year high on bets that the Federal Reserve will need to keep interest rates high for longer. Fed speakers will be in focus later in the session.

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October 20, 2023 01:58 PM
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S&P 500 analysis: Risk off remains dominant theme

It was “risk off” again first thing this morning as Europe’s leading indices fell along with US index futures following Wednesday’s selling. Though the indices bounced off their lows by mid-day London, it remained to be seen whether the markets will be able to regain their poise meaningfully. Recent recovery attempts have all been futile. This could be another one.

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October 19, 2023 12:50 PM
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S&P500 Forecast :Stocks drop in risk-off trade and ahead of TSLA, NFLX earnings

US stocks start the day lower in risk off mood as the conflict in the Middle East intensifies and as more US earnings roll in. Tesla and Netflix are due to report after the close.

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October 18, 2023 03:54 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: Stocks falls after strong retail sales data, yields rise

US stocks are heading for a weaker open after stronger than expected US retail sales and rising treasury yields overshadow developments in the Middle East. US earnings are also ramping up with Bank of America and Goldman Sachs besting estimates. Looking ahead industrial production and Fed speakers are in focus.

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October 17, 2023 02:13 PM