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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of Friday's inflation data

U.S. stocks point to a mixed open, with the S&P 500 and the Dow edging higher, while the NASDAQ points to a weaker start ahead of key inflation data on Friday. The market is pricing in two rare cuts this year while the Fed projects one. Nvidia is set to open lower, extending its selloff from Friday. The stock briefly overtook Microsoft as the world's most valuable company. The US economic calendar is quiet today.

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Today 02:15 PM
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S&P500 Forecast :SPX unchanged after weaker retail sales ,Fed speakers are in focus

US stocks are set for a quiet start after US retail sales were weaker than expected and with Federal Reserve speakers in focus. Retail sales show that consumption is moderating as inflation and interest rates remain high and unemployment rises. Looking ahead, Fed speakers are in focus after recent officials have supported the view that one rate cut this year is appropriate.

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June 18, 2024 02:45 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX muted ahead of Fed speakers & retail sales later in the week

U.S. stocks are heading for a muted start as the dust settles on last week's inflation data and Federal Reserve interest rate decision. There is no high-impacting data today, so attention will be on tomorrow's retail sales data and Fed speakers for more clues about when the Fed could start cutting rates. Last week, the Fed pointed to one rate cut this year. However, the market is still pricing in two rate cuts.

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June 17, 2024 02:20 PM

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S&P 500 forecast: Tech stocks continue to defy gravity

Supporting stocks today was news of another weaker-than-expected inflation report. Treasury yields fell as a slowdown in producer prices measure of inflation bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to cut rates this year.

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June 13, 2024 03:00 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX hits an ATH as CPI cools & the Fed comes into focus

S&P 500 rises to a new ATH after inflation cooled by more than expected in May. The data comes ahead to the FOMC rate decision, where the Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged but could downwardly revise the doy plot from 3 rate cuts this year to 2 or even 1 cut. Attention will also be on the updated projections and Fed Chair Powell's press- conference. A cautious tone could see stocks give back some of their gains.

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June 12, 2024 02:19 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls as the Fed's 2-day FOMC meeting begins

US stocks are pointing to a lower start in jittery trade as the Federal Reserve's two-day monetary policy meeting begins. With no high-impacting data today, attention is firmly on tomorrow's CPI print and the FOMC decision a few hours later. The Fed is expected to leave policy unchanged so attention will be on the dot plot and projections. Separately, Apple's unveiling of its AI strategy received a lukewarm reaction from Wall Street.

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June 11, 2024 02:16 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX inches higher as jobless claims increase

US stocks are heading for a muted open as investors digest more signs of weakness in the labour market ahead of tomorrow's non-farm payroll report. Jobless claims rose by 229k, and came after weaker-than-expected ADP payrolls and job openings earlier in the week. A cooling labour market could give the Fed more reason to cut rates sooner.

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June 6, 2024 01:46 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX rises after weak ADP payrolls boost rate cut expectations

US stocks are set to rise after weak ADP payroll data fuels expectations that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates sooner. Recent US data has surprised to the downside, pointing to a slowing economy as high rates bite. US ISM services PMI data is due shortly, and further weakness to help stocks closer to another ATH. Oil prices are hovering around a 4-month low on supply worries and a shaky demand outlook.

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June 5, 2024 02:20 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX starts the new month on the front foot

US stocks are set for a higher open, starting the month on the front foot. Despite losses in the previous week, the 3 main indices still booked solid gains across May. Attention turns towards a busy week, with ISM services and manufacturing PMIs as well as non-farm payrolls on Friday. Nvidia is under the spotlight after unveiling new releases over the weekend as competition in the sector heats up.

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June 3, 2024 02:09 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX falls as rate jitters remain

US stocks point to a weaker open after US Q1 GDP was downwardly revised but rate jitters remain. Q1 GDP was lowered to 1.3%. However, this still represents solid growth, giving the Fed few reasons to start cutting rates anytime soon. Attention will be on Fed speakers later ahead of US core PCE tomorrow, which could provide more clues over the timing of the first Fed rate cut.

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May 30, 2024 02:51 PM
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S&P 500 outlook: Stocks could resume drop after Thursday’s reversal

The short-term S&P 500 outlook could turn bearish if we see some downside follow-through below Thursday’s range when it formed a rather large outside candle after the fresh breakout to a new all-time high was met with strong selling, despite Nvidia’s strong showing.

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S&P500 Forecast: SPX hits a record high, boosted by Nvidia earnings

US stocks point to a stronger open, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq100 set to reach record highs after Nvidia earnings smash forecasts, fueling an AI chip stock rally. The impressive earnings have overshadowed hawkish FOMC minutes, which showed policymakers were concerned about sticky inflation, and some even supported raising rates. Jobless claims were stronger than expected, consistent with a solid labour market. PMI data is up next.

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May 23, 2024 02:13 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX slips ahead of FOMC minutes, Nvidia earnings

US stocks are pointing to a weaker open as concerns over high interest rates for longer offset optimism surrounding Nvidia ahead of its Q1 earnings after the closing bell. Nvidia is expected to post a 242% rise in revenue and EPS of $5.17 vs $0.82 in the same period last year. The stock trades up 200% over 12 months, and strong earnings could power the next leg higher for the S&P 500. The minutes of the latest Fed meeting will also be in focus and could support the view rates must stay high for longer.

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May 22, 2024 02:07 PM
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S&P500 Forecast: SPX set for a quiet start ahead of Fed minutes, NVDA earnings

US stocks point to a muted open after record highs last week, as investors look ahead to FOMC minutes and Nvidia earnings later in the week. Today's economic calendar is quiet; instead, the focus will be on several Fed speakers. Recent Fed officials have supported the view that rates need to stay high for longer to combat inflation.

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May 20, 2024 02:17 PM
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Equities weekly forecast: Nvidia, Zoom, Target

After record highs on Wall Street last week, attention now turns to earnings from Nvidia, the darling of Wall Street, to see whether the AI stock can push for further record highs.

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May 18, 2024 03:00 AM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX edges higher ahead of Fed speakers

US stocks are pointing to a modestly higher start as more earnings roll in and as expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts remain in focus and after Disney earnings fail to impress. The US economic calendar is light today, so attention will be on Fed speakers and corporate updates. Disney is set to open 4% lower despite posting EPS of $1.21 vs the $1.10 expected.

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May 7, 2024 02:31 PM
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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX jumps after a weaker NFP report & Apple results

US stocks are pointing to a stronger open after weaker than expected non-farm payroll report which has seen the market bring forward Fed rate cuts and after Apple's results. Apple announced a $110 million share buyback, the largest in US history. Attention turns to US services PMI data which is due to report shortly.

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May 3, 2024 02:03 PM

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S&P 500 analysis: Apple earnings and NFP in focus after Fed’s mixed signals

S&P 500 analysis: Investors interpret Fed as slightly less hawkish than expected, but macro concerns remain. Attention turns to Apple, expected yo report a 10% decline in iPhone sales, before Friday's release of NFP and ISM services PMI.

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX falls & is on track to decline across April

Stocks are set to open lower and are set to fall across April, marking the first monthly decline since October. The selloff in stocks comes as the market frets over sticky inflation and the prospect of higher rates for longer. Today, the Fed kicks off its 2-day FOMC meeting and no change in rates is expected at the announcement tomorrow. Amazon will report after the close.

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April 30, 2024 02:24 PM
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S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Forecast for the Week Ahead: Into the FOMC

It was a come back type of week for stocks, even with another hot inflation report. But next week brings the Fed and markets are still holding on to hopes for 2024 rate cuts.

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S&P 500 Analysis: SPX rises after more tech earnings & despite sticky inflation

US stocks are set to open higher after impressive numbers from Alphabet and Microsoft. Meanwhile, US core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, was hotter than expected at 2.8% YoY, which is in line with February. Personal spending was stronger than expected. The data supports the view that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates. The central bank meets next week.

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April 26, 2024 02:25 PM
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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Vulnerable Through Earnings Season

The DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all look vulnerable to more downside as long as this week’s highs hold.

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S&P 500 Forecast: SPX rises with earnings in focus, Tesla jumps

Stocks are pointing to a modestly higher start as earnings continue to roll in. However, gains could be limited after stronger-than-expected US durable goods orders revived concerns over the Fed keeping rates high for longer. Tesla is set to open 12% higher despite missing both earnings and revenue estimates. The market was more impressed by the news of an acceleration in the production of affordable EV models. Meta will report after the close.

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April 24, 2024 02:23 PM