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USD/JPY bears eye break of 151 as GDP bolsters hawkish-BOJ bets
Japan's Q4 GDP is the latest to data to outperform estimates and, through the lens of CESI (Cit Economic Surprise Index), Japan's data is also outperforming its peers. While USD/JPY is considering a break of 151, I'm on guard for a false break before the real move to 150 materialises.

Gold outlook: XAU/USD’s haven appeal recedes
The key question is whether the metal will extend its retreat from overstretched levels or push towards the psychological $3,000 mark first. We will need to see some downside follow through before turning tactically bearish on the short-term gold outlook.

DAX analysis: Has the German index risen too far, too fast?
With the US out for a holiday, the focus remains firmly on European markets today, where stocks have been surging lately thanks to Trump pushing for a swift resolution to the Ukraine war. But have the markets got ahead of themselves with all this optimism? This DAX analysis shows the German index is now at extremely overbought levels, which calls for caution.

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Heavy as Tariff Shock Fades, US Data Softens
USD/CAD is under pressure as soft US data and fading tariff fears shift sentiment. With Canada’s economy surprising to the upside, is the pair setting up for a deeper unwind?

Gold Price Forecast: Hang Seng and Bullion Rally Together—Coincidence or Trend?
Gold and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng aren’t usually mentioned in the same breath, but a strong correlation has emerged. Is there more to this than coincidence?

Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Downtrend Intact as Yen Sensitivity to BoJ Grows
Yen traders take note—USD/JPY has been moving more in step with Japanese rates than US yields. With key Japanese data and BoJ speakers on deck, could this spark the next leg lower?

DAX forecast: Ukraine optimism lifts index to extreme overbought levels
With much of the positivity surrounding a potential resolution to the Russia and Ukraine war, Trump’s softer tariffs tone and ECB rate cuts all priced in, you do wonder how much further the index will be able to rise without first staging a correction of some sort. So, our DAX forecast is neutral at these levels, and we would not be surprised if markets now headed lower for a while, even if, ultimately, the bullish trend then continues.

British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Breakout Accelerates, Bears Retreat
British Pound broke out of a multi-month downtrend with the rally extended nearly 4.4% off the yearly low. Battle lines drawn on the GBP/USD weekly technical chart.

Gold Price Forecast: RSI Falls Below 70 to Indicate Sell Signal
The price of gold seems to be reversing ahead of the record high ($2943) as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls back from overbought territory.

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Driven by Trump Tariff Timing
USD/CAD broke support as the U.S. Dollar broke down this week even after strong inflation prints out of the U.S., suggesting that Trump tariffs are losing their drive for USD-strength.

GBP/USD Clears January High After Closing Above 50-Day SMA
GBP/USD extends the recent series of higher highs and lows to clear the January high (1.2576).

US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Bears Charge Support
US Dollar broke to fresh 2025 lows after President Trump’s tariff announcement with the bears now charging support. Battle lines drawn on the short-term technical charts.

EUR/USD forecast: Forex Friday - February 14, 2025
The EUR/USD forecast has improved a little this week. Not because we have seen any major improvements in European data or a sharp deterioration in US data, but more so because Trump’s reciprocal tariffs won’t be applied immediately after all. Instead, they are set to take effect in April. What’s more, Trump’s tone was far from combative.

Iron Ore Surges as Cyclone Zelia Threatens Pilbara Supply
A category five cyclone is set to hit Australia’s Pilbara coast, putting a third of global seaborne iron ore supply at risk. With SGX futures at five-month highs, traders are bracing for potential disruptions.

British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD, FTSE 100 Face Uncertainty as US Tariff Shift Looms
GBP/USD and FTSE 100 futures are at critical levels as US tariff risks cloud the outlook. With Washington targeting VAT in its trade assessments, UK markets may have underestimated the fallout. Could this be a turning point for sterling and stocks?

CAD, AUD look set to benefit as the USD bull case becomes unhinged
If the mighty US dollar fails to rally on what is usually a sure-bullish bet, then it may not take much to send it lower. Market positioning has already sent such clues, and price action this week continues to suggest a correction could be underway.

USD/JPY Pulls Back Ahead of Monthly High to Halt Three-Day Rally
USD/JPY pulls back ahead of the monthly high (155.89) to snaps the recent series of higher highs and lows.

Dow Jones forecast: US stocks hold steady ahead of tariffs announcement
US indices were trading higher across the board, shaking off a weaker start for the index futures, as traders speculated, thanks to a CNBC post, that Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs set to be announced shortly will not go into effect until possibly April 1, meaning plenty of time for affected nations to strike a trade deal.

Gold Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD Poised for Breakout on Trump Tariffs
Gold is trading near the record high with XAU/USD poised for a breakout as President Trump announces reciprocal tariffs. Battle lines drawn on the short-term charts.

EUR/USD forecast: Ukraine war optimism countered by reciprocal tariffs fears
Despite struggling today, the EUR/USD forecast has improved a little, owing to optimism about the end of Ukraine war. PPI and jobless claims are up next.

Hang Seng Tech, USD/CNH: Tide Turning on Bearish China Sentiment?
Hang Seng Tech is surging, USD/CNH is breaking lower, and sentiment toward Chinese assets is shifting fast. With tech valuations still below historical averages and momentum running hot, is this the start of a sustained rally or just another false dawn? Key levels and setups to watch

Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/JPY on the Brink of a Bullish Breakout
A sharp rebound has AUD/JPY eyeing a breakout after months of suppression. With price action increasingly tied to US-Japan rate differentials and bond market moves, could surging yields be the final push bulls need?

Best day of the year for USD/JPY, EUR/JPY on hot CPI, peace talks
Peace talks between Russia and Ukraine alongside a hot set of US inflation figures were the winning combo for USD/JPY and EUR/JPY bulls, both of which posted their most bullish days of the year.