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A guide to the banking crisis: What happened and what comes next?
Markets have been rocked by the biggest banking crisis since the 2008 financial crash.
GBP/JPY extends recovery as hot CPI boosts BoE hike odds
The GBP/JPY has been supported by a double dose of bullish factors this week.
European Open: UK inflation up next, then focus shifts to the FOMC meeting
Today’s UK inflation print could be the difference between a final 25bp hike from the BOE tomorrow, or a pause. Then our attention turns to the FOMC meeting.
Fed meeting preview: Dollar Index at 1-month lows ahead of tight decision
We agree with the market’s expectation that Jerome Powell and company are likely to deliver a 25bps interest rate hike this month, though we certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see the central bank hold fire for now.
US CPI recap: GBP/USD holds above 200-day EMA as inflation meets expectations
The report printed in line with expectations at 6.0% y/y, the smallest annualized gain since September 2021
SVB collapse explained: What happened and what comes next?
How did SVB collapse and what does it mean for financial markets?
European Open: USD drifts higher ahead of US CPI, DAX implied volatility spikes
The US dollar was higher overnight as it recouped some of the week’s losses, with the US 2 and 5-year yields mean reverted higher.
US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37
In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...
EU stocks remain lower after hot Eurozone CPI
Core inflation rose to a fresh record high of 5.6%...
Canada Q4 GDP worse than expected, but January starting on the right foot
The Canadian GDP was much worse than expected, however the GDP Price Deflator was also weak.
EUR/USD: Rally potential after hot Spanish and French CPI readings
The ECB had already planned a half-point rate move in March, and these stronger readings are likely to bolster officials who say that more big moves are needed beyond that to get inflation under control.
European Open: Traders to get another inflation fix ahead of the weekend
Markets cannot get enough of US inflation data at present and what it means for the Fed. And that means today’s PCE figures are now likely the more important.
European Open: EUR/USD and EUR/GBP in focus for eurozone CPI
Both EUR/GBP and EUR/GBP are hugging various pivot points ahead of the open, but whichever way they break initially our bias is for a break to new lows.
European Open: Flash PMI’s and Canada inflation report in focus
CAD/JPY has piqued our interest ahead of today's economic data, which includes PMI's for Europe and the US and Canada's inflation and retail reports.
European Open: EUR/GBP falls for seventh day ahead of UK inflation report
A strong UK employment increased the odds of another BOE hike and sent the pound higher against the euro for a seventh day. Can it notch up an eight with today’s inflation report?
European Open: EUR/GBP falls for seventh day ahead of UK inflation report
A strong UK employment increased the odds of another BOE hike and sent the pound higher against the euro for a seventh day. Can it notch up an eight with today’s inflation report?
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10:26 AM − 23 Mar 2023
Alphabet vs Microsoft: AI kicks off a new battle over search
Microsoft has declared war on Google’s monopoly over search as the race for AI supremacy kicks off.
FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY
Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a full 50bps of interest rate cuts by the end of the year!
AU inflation – a report to match Australia’s (hot) weather
There’s no escaping the fact that Australian inflation continues to point the wrong way for the RBA and consumers alike. And today’s report should quickly eradicate hopes of an RBA pause in February.
European Open: GBP implied volatility spikes ahead of UK CPI and FOMC
Implied volatility for FX majors has risen ahead of today’s FOMC meeting - and most notably GBP as it also has UK CPI to contend with within the hour.
US CPI surprises for the second month in a row. What does it mean for the Fed?
Regardless of any new questions that may be raised, the one thing we know is that although inflation is still relatively high, it is moving in the right direction (lower)!
FOMC meeting preview: 50bps hike likely, but will the 2023 dots rise above 5%?
While there seems to be a clear consensus that the central bank should slow its pace of rate hikes, the ultimate question for this week’s meeting will revolve around the so-called “terminal rate,” or how high the Fed will have to push interest rates next year before pausing the rate hike cycle.
European Open: Flash PMIs and US inflation on tap
The US dollar has continued lower overnight following Powell’s dovish comments, with US inflation data having the potential to extend or reverse some of its move.