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A guide to the banking crisis: What happened and what comes next?

Markets have been rocked by the biggest banking crisis since the 2008 financial crash.

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Today 09:26 AM
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GBP/JPY extends recovery as hot CPI boosts BoE hike odds

The GBP/JPY has been supported by a double dose of bullish factors this week.

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European Open: UK inflation up next, then focus shifts to the FOMC meeting

Today’s UK inflation print could be the difference between a final 25bp hike from the BOE tomorrow, or a pause. Then our attention turns to the FOMC meeting.

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Fed meeting preview: Dollar Index at 1-month lows ahead of tight decision

We agree with the market’s expectation that Jerome Powell and company are likely to deliver a 25bps interest rate hike this month, though we certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see the central bank hold fire for now.

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US CPI recap: GBP/USD holds above 200-day EMA as inflation meets expectations

The report printed in line with expectations at 6.0% y/y, the smallest annualized gain since September 2021

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March 14, 2023 02:05 PM
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European Open: USD drifts higher ahead of US CPI, DAX implied volatility spikes

The US dollar was higher overnight as it recouped some of the week’s losses, with the US 2 and 5-year yields mean reverted higher.

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March 14, 2023 05:10 AM
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US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37

In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...

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March 13, 2023 02:54 PM
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EU stocks remain lower after hot Eurozone CPI

Core inflation rose to a fresh record high of 5.6%...

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Canada Q4 GDP worse than expected, but January starting on the right foot

The Canadian GDP was much worse than expected, however the GDP Price Deflator was also weak.

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February 28, 2023 03:05 PM
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EUR/USD: Rally potential after hot Spanish and French CPI readings

The ECB had already planned a half-point rate move in March, and these stronger readings are likely to bolster officials who say that more big moves are needed beyond that to get inflation under control.

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February 28, 2023 01:46 PM
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European Open: Traders to get another inflation fix ahead of the weekend

Markets cannot get enough of US inflation data at present and what it means for the Fed. And that means today’s PCE figures are now likely the more important.

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February 24, 2023 05:48 AM
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European Open: EUR/USD and EUR/GBP in focus for eurozone CPI

Both EUR/GBP and EUR/GBP are hugging various pivot points ahead of the open, but whichever way they break initially our bias is for a break to new lows.

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February 23, 2023 05:03 AM
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European Open: Flash PMI’s and Canada inflation report in focus

CAD/JPY has piqued our interest ahead of today's economic data, which includes PMI's for Europe and the US and Canada's inflation and retail reports.

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February 21, 2023 05:09 AM

European Open: EUR/GBP falls for seventh day ahead of UK inflation report

A strong UK employment increased the odds of another BOE hike and sent the pound higher against the euro for a seventh day. Can it notch up an eight with today’s inflation report?

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February 15, 2023 05:42 AM

European Open: EUR/GBP falls for seventh day ahead of UK inflation report

A strong UK employment increased the odds of another BOE hike and sent the pound higher against the euro for a seventh day. Can it notch up an eight with today’s inflation report?

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February 15, 2023 05:42 AM
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Alphabet vs Microsoft: AI kicks off a new battle over search

Microsoft has declared war on Google’s monopoly over search as the race for AI supremacy kicks off.

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FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY

Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a full 50bps of interest rate cuts by the end of the year!

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February 1, 2023 08:07 PM
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AU inflation – a report to match Australia’s (hot) weather

There’s no escaping the fact that Australian inflation continues to point the wrong way for the RBA and consumers alike. And today’s report should quickly eradicate hopes of an RBA pause in February.

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European Open: GBP implied volatility spikes ahead of UK CPI and FOMC

Implied volatility for FX majors has risen ahead of today’s FOMC meeting - and most notably GBP as it also has UK CPI to contend with within the hour.

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December 14, 2022 05:47 AM

US CPI surprises for the second month in a row. What does it mean for the Fed?

Regardless of any new questions that may be raised, the one thing we know is that although inflation is still relatively high, it is moving in the right direction (lower)!

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December 13, 2022 04:01 PM
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FOMC meeting preview: 50bps hike likely, but will the 2023 dots rise above 5%?

While there seems to be a clear consensus that the central bank should slow its pace of rate hikes, the ultimate question for this week’s meeting will revolve around the so-called “terminal rate,” or how high the Fed will have to push interest rates next year before pausing the rate hike cycle.

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December 12, 2022 08:21 PM
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European Open: Flash PMIs and US inflation on tap

The US dollar has continued lower overnight following Powell’s dovish comments, with US inflation data having the potential to extend or reverse some of its move.

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December 1, 2022 06:59 AM