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NFP Preview: Could a Strong Jobs Report Put a December Fed Pause in Play?
The Fed is likely, but not certain, to cut interest rates by 25bps later this month, and a strong NFP report could reopen the door for close decision.
US Dollar: A Contrarian Perspective on How Trump’s Second Term Could Weaken the USD
How a shift in trade policy, the extension of tax cuts, the appointment of Scott Bessent as Treasury Secretary, and potential threats to Federal Reserve independence could pave the way for a weaker greenback under Trump.
The Fed, ECB, and More Explained: Central Bank FAQs for Forex Traders
Learn how the Fed, ECB, and BOJ impact forex markets. Get answers to FAQs on interest rates, currency trends, and trading strategies in this must-read guide.
Relentless USD rally extends after Powell hints at slower pace of cuts
The USD bullish rally continued to rage after Powell bluntly said that the Fed may not be in a hurry to cut rates, citing a strong labour market and a "remarkably strong" economy.
Gold Forecast: What Would it Take for the Fed to Pause in December?
Gold’s now testing its 100-day MA and the 14-day RSI is at its lowest level in a year, hinting at a near-term bounce.
USDJPY Forecast: Will the CPI Reverse the Dollar Rally?
USDJPY Forecast: The bull run of the US Dollar Index has pushed the USDJPY back in the borders of its primary uptrend, and further volatility risks are on the horizon with the US CPI results.
Kashkari drops the 'p' word ahead of US CPI, USD/CHF stands firm
With Kashkari throwing the word ‘pause’ into the mix ahead of a US CPI report, traders should brace themselves for further USD gains should it come in hotter than expected.
GBP/USD in the crossfire of BOE, FOMC
We finally get a bit of a breather from the US election and can shift out attention to today’s BOE and FOMC meetings, making it an ideal time to catch up on GBP/USD.
GBPUSD Outlook: BOE, Fed, and a Trump Victory
GBPUSD Outlook: Following Trump’s victory, the US Dollar surged, pressuring the British pound toward October lows. The pound’s long-term uptrend above its 15-year consolidation faces a key test on Thursday with BOE and Fed policy decisions.
How the US election could impact the Fed
The US dollar and yields have enjoyed a strong rally over the past five weeks, thanks to hotter US data, Fed members pushing back on rate cuts, and Trump leading in many polls. But with the US election on our doorstep and the potential for a delayed result, could this tie the Fed’s hands at this week’s meeting?
NFP Preview: How Could the Jobs Report Impact the US Election and the Fed?
Coming in the lead up to a tightly-contested Presidential election, this month’s NFP report could have an outsized impact on sentiment and the US dollar.
No Fed Rate Cut in November: Is it on the Table After Strong US Data?
Traders are pricing in roughly a 1-in-10 chance that the Fed leaves interest rates unchanged at its November, but it may take 4 more better-than-expected US economic reports in a row.
NFP Preview: Why Any Halfway Decent Jobs Report Could Be Dollar Bullish
The leading indicators point to a potentially better-than-expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 130K-200K range
EURUSD Forecast: Is This a Double Top?
EURUSD Forecast: With the US dollar stabilizing above the 100-mark for about a month, a double top on the EURUSD at the 1.120 resistance is in question. This comes alongside declining inflation and dovish sentiment in the Eurozone.
GBPUSD Forecast: Hawkish Fed Strengthens Resistance Levels
GBPUSD Forecast: The GBPUSD is currently hovering below the key 1.3430 resistance level, with Fed Chair Powell's recent speech introducing a hawkish tone to the rate cut expectations, reinforcing the strength of the DXY and limiting further weakness.
AUD/USD, ASX futures rattled after Fed cut by 50bp, AU jobs up next
Well, that settles that. The Federal Reserve cut their cash rate for 50bp, which is their largest sized cut since the pandemic. And it made for a volatile ride for AUD/USD and ASX 200 futures ahead of today's Australian jobs report.
EURUSD, DXY Analysis: Fed Rate Decision vs December 2023 Support
EURUSD, DXY Analysis: With the 25bps rate cut already priced into the market, the DXY is hovering at its December 2023 support. The next move depends on a confirming signal: either a wider rate cut to push it below that support or a rebound that could reverse the market's positive trends.
USD/JPY rebounds as traders derisk ahead of FOMC, ASX 200 to gap lower
Traders appeared to be derisking ahead of the FOMC meeting, where money markets are backing a 50bp cut whereas economists still favour a 25bp cut. This saw ASX 200 futures track the Dow Jones lower, and USD/JPY post its best day in 23.
FOMC Meeting Preview: How the 25/50 Debate Means the Fed Has Already Failed
In the post-Bernanke “Fed Communication as a Policy Tool” era, this is the most uncertain that traders have ever been heading into a Fed meeting - what does that mean for markets?
EURUSD Outlook: Headwinds Ahead with Stable Dollar and ECB Decision
EURUSD Outlook: As the market leans toward a 25bp rate cut in the upcoming Fed decision, the US Dollar remains stable against the EURUSD, which is expected to face additional headwinds as the ECB approaches its own rate decision, also signaling a potential 25bp rate cut.
US CPI Preview: Fed on the Fence Leaves Volatility Potential
As the last major economic release ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve Monetary Policy meeting, the US CPI report may well decide which path Jerome Powell and Company choose.
EURUSD, DXY Analysis: Post Non-Farm Payroll Outlook
EURUSD, DXY Analysis: Both the EURUSD and the US Dollar Index (DXY) are hovering around critical levels that could determine whether we see a trend reversal or confirmation. These levels are closely tied to the extremes of December and July 2023, with market participants eagerly awaiting policy decisions to solidify the trends.
NFP Preview: How Unemployment Could Decide if the Fed Goes 25 or 50
The leading indicators point to an as expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 130K-200K range