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Dr Copper chimes in on the recession debate

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States and operates under a dual mandate to effectively promote the goals of maximum employment while maintaining price stability.

June 23, 2022 05:44 AM

The Fed’s mention of a recession weighs on oil prices

With global growth downwardly revised and the Fed being more open of a recession, lower oil prices and its impact on inflation expectations is a key theme to watch.

Central banks current monetary policy - Where to next?

Major central banks around the world, except for the BOJ, are in tightening mode on the back of increasing inflation.

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Two trades to watch: EUR/GBP, S&P500

EUR/GBP rises ahead of BoE rate decision. S&P500 tests 2022 low post-Fed.

When a 75-bps hike is still a baby step – US Housing data in focus

The Fed delivered their well-telegraphed 75-bps hike and left the door open for another one in July. Whether it can tame the inflationary beast remains debatable.

EUR/USD in focus as ECB holds ad-hoc meeting ahead of FOMC

Euro rebounds as ECB tries to address fragmentation risks, ahead of a likely 75 basis point hike from the Fed

June 15, 2022 12:43 PM

Two trades to watch: USD/JPY, Oil

USD/JPY pulls back ahead of Fed rate decision. Oil steady ahead of Fed rate decision, EIA inventory data.

June 15, 2022 08:18 AM

Could a 50-bps Fed hike (inadvertently) weigh on sentiment? AUD/JPY

As daunting as a 75-bps hike may seem, it could be argued that if they didn’t hike so aggressively today then they’re still not doing enough to fight inflation.

June 15, 2022 04:06 AM

NFP preview: Leading indicators slow while Fed poised to charge ahead

The leading indicators point to a slightly below-expectations reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 225K-325K range

US Dollar rips higher on economic data, Fed speakers

Today’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI and hawkish Fed speakers were bullish for the US Dollar. Will the DXY continue to move higher?

June 1, 2022 08:04 PM

When cracks appear in the rendering, the house doesn’t always win

The housing market has been a bedrock of the US economy during a period of historically low rates. Now those days are over, large cracks are appearing in the rendering.

May 25, 2022 04:52 AM

Markets pricing in central bank rate increases over the next year

Traders should watch the change in expectations of interest rates vs current rates.

US CPI recap: Food prices surge by their most in over 40 years

Inflation is becoming more widespread across a broad swathe of consumer spending categories, raising the risk that it could become entrenched.

May 11, 2022 02:05 PM

NFP preview: Ugly leading indicators have traders on edge

The leading indicators point to slightly below-expectation reading in this month’s NFP report...see what they're saying and possible ways to trade it!

FOMC meeting recap: Was that “Peak Hawkishness” for the Fed?

Traders may look at today’s press conference as marking “peak hawkishness” for the Fed, at least in the short term...

US open: Stocks creep higher ahead of the Fed

US stocks edge cautiously higher ahead of the Fed's rate announcement. Aa 50 basis point hike is priced in, but what comes next?

FOMC meeting preview: 50bps a “done deal” but balance sheet update will be key

Of course, with a 50bps move already fully discounted, the Fed’s interest rate decision is unlikely to be a market mover by itself...see what traders will be focused on instead!

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Forex Friday: Dollar Bulls, Pound Bears Exhausted

In this week’s edition, we discuss the dollar and its impressive rally, and ponder over the pounded pound

April 29, 2022 02:30 PM

Nasdaq reeling after big reversal ahead of US tech earnings

Sentiment is quite downbeat following Thursday’s reversal in risk appetite ahead of earnings from Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Apple and Amazon

Asian Open: Wall Street stumbles as Powel confirms 50bps Fed hike in May

The Fed Chair himself, Jerome Powell, has finally confirmed what markets were supposedly expecting anyway with a 50-bps hike.

April 22, 2022 12:42 AM

NFP preview: Will the jobs report tip the scales on the Fed’s decision next month?

This will be the final NFP report before the next Fed meeting in early May, where traders are currently split between expecting a 25bps and a 50bps rate hike.

March 31, 2022 02:13 PM

US open: Wall Street pares Fed rally, peace talk progress questioned

US stocks are set to move lower after strong gains yesterday. Concerns over progress in peace talks and rising oil prices hurt sentiment. Jobless claims beat.

Two trades to watch: EUR/GBP, USD/JPY

GBP/EUR falls ahead of BoE rate decision. USD/JPY rises post-Fed, ahead of BoJ.

March 17, 2022 08:59 AM