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Nothing changes for gold, stocks as yields resume higher

Bearish trend persist for indices and metals as investors watch yields continue to rise following a flurry of central bank action this week.

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FOMC meeting instant reaction: Not even a whisper of a pivot yet

Even looking out just until the end of this year, Fed members are projecting another 125bps of rate hikes...

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September 21, 2022 08:25 PM
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US open: Stocks rise cautiously ahead of the Fed

Futures are edging higher, shrugging off Putin's call for mobilisation and looking ahead to the Fed's rate announcement.

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September 21, 2022 01:58 PM

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FOMC meeting preview: 100bps unlikely, but longer rate hike path in play

In our view, the possibility of a 100bps rate hike is overblown...but that doesn't mean the Fed won't come off as hawkish.

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September 19, 2022 08:25 PM

US retail sales preview: Will falling gas prices help or hurt retail sales?

The most salient change for US consumers in August was a steep, double-digit decline in gasoline prices...

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September 14, 2022 04:26 PM

Instant insight: Powell “forceful” in fighting inflation at Jackson Hole

Mr. Powell clearly hit a hawkish note, emphasizing the importance of leaving policy tight until inflation was thoroughly licked.

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August 26, 2022 03:53 PM
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Jackson Hole preview: Will Powell pull the plug on pivot predictions?

Jerome Powell is likely to lay out a relatively hawkish outlook for monetary policy in our view, prompting traders to start pricing in a 75bps interest rate hike next month as the odds-on scenario...

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August 23, 2022 03:46 PM
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Fed speakers out in force with more hawkish tone; USD/JPY

The correlation between USD/JPY and 10-year yields has come back in line and is almost in “strong” territory on the daily timeframe.

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August 3, 2022 03:48 PM
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FOMC recap: Fed delivers 75bps, but Powell throws cold water on hawks

On balance, the Fed chief is coming off as relatively dovish...

Two trades to watch: Gold, DAX

Gold rises ahead of Fed rate decision. DAX rises despite consumer confidence dropping to a record low.

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July 27, 2022 08:21 AM

FOMC meeting preview: Traders looking for 75bps, Powell’s presser key

If the FOMC does, in fact, opt for a 75bps interest rate hike, Fed Chairman Powell’s accompanying press conference will likely have a bigger market impact than the decision itself...

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July 25, 2022 03:46 PM
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US yield curve sees its deepest inversion since 2000: What does it mean for major markets?

If traders don’t have this scenario in their minds, they’re ignoring one of the biggest risk in markets right now...

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July 14, 2022 06:15 PM
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Dr Copper chimes in on the recession debate

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States and operates under a dual mandate to effectively promote the goals of maximum employment while maintaining price stability.

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June 23, 2022 05:44 AM
Research

The Fed’s mention of a recession weighs on oil prices

With global growth downwardly revised and the Fed being more open of a recession, lower oil prices and its impact on inflation expectations is a key theme to watch.

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June 23, 2022 03:13 AM
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Central banks current monetary policy - Where to next?

Major central banks around the world, except for the BOJ, are in tightening mode on the back of increasing inflation.

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June 22, 2022 06:46 PM

Two trades to watch: EUR/GBP, S&P500

EUR/GBP rises ahead of BoE rate decision. S&P500 tests 2022 low post-Fed.

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June 16, 2022 08:46 AM
Research

When a 75-bps hike is still a baby step – US Housing data in focus

The Fed delivered their well-telegraphed 75-bps hike and left the door open for another one in July. Whether it can tame the inflationary beast remains debatable.

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EUR/USD in focus as ECB holds ad-hoc meeting ahead of FOMC

Euro rebounds as ECB tries to address fragmentation risks, ahead of a likely 75 basis point hike from the Fed

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June 15, 2022 12:43 PM
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Two trades to watch: USD/JPY, Oil

USD/JPY pulls back ahead of Fed rate decision. Oil steady ahead of Fed rate decision, EIA inventory data.

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June 15, 2022 08:18 AM
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Could a 50-bps Fed hike (inadvertently) weigh on sentiment? AUD/JPY

As daunting as a 75-bps hike may seem, it could be argued that if they didn’t hike so aggressively today then they’re still not doing enough to fight inflation.

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June 15, 2022 04:06 AM
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NFP preview: Leading indicators slow while Fed poised to charge ahead

The leading indicators point to a slightly below-expectations reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 225K-325K range

US Dollar rips higher on economic data, Fed speakers

Today’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI and hawkish Fed speakers were bullish for the US Dollar. Will the DXY continue to move higher?

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June 1, 2022 08:04 PM
Research

When cracks appear in the rendering, the house doesn’t always win

The housing market has been a bedrock of the US economy during a period of historically low rates. Now those days are over, large cracks are appearing in the rendering.

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May 25, 2022 04:52 AM