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Nothing changes for gold, stocks as yields resume higher
Bearish trend persist for indices and metals as investors watch yields continue to rise following a flurry of central bank action this week.
FOMC meeting instant reaction: Not even a whisper of a pivot yet
Even looking out just until the end of this year, Fed members are projecting another 125bps of rate hikes...
US open: Stocks rise cautiously ahead of the Fed
Futures are edging higher, shrugging off Putin's call for mobilisation and looking ahead to the Fed's rate announcement.
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FOMC meeting preview: 100bps unlikely, but longer rate hike path in play
In our view, the possibility of a 100bps rate hike is overblown...but that doesn't mean the Fed won't come off as hawkish.
US retail sales preview: Will falling gas prices help or hurt retail sales?
The most salient change for US consumers in August was a steep, double-digit decline in gasoline prices...
Instant insight: Powell “forceful” in fighting inflation at Jackson Hole
Mr. Powell clearly hit a hawkish note, emphasizing the importance of leaving policy tight until inflation was thoroughly licked.
Jackson Hole preview: Will Powell pull the plug on pivot predictions?
Jerome Powell is likely to lay out a relatively hawkish outlook for monetary policy in our view, prompting traders to start pricing in a 75bps interest rate hike next month as the odds-on scenario...
Fed speakers out in force with more hawkish tone; USD/JPY
The correlation between USD/JPY and 10-year yields has come back in line and is almost in “strong” territory on the daily timeframe.
FOMC recap: Fed delivers 75bps, but Powell throws cold water on hawks
On balance, the Fed chief is coming off as relatively dovish...
Two trades to watch: Gold, DAX
Gold rises ahead of Fed rate decision. DAX rises despite consumer confidence dropping to a record low.
FOMC meeting preview: Traders looking for 75bps, Powell’s presser key
If the FOMC does, in fact, opt for a 75bps interest rate hike, Fed Chairman Powell’s accompanying press conference will likely have a bigger market impact than the decision itself...
US yield curve sees its deepest inversion since 2000: What does it mean for major markets?
If traders don’t have this scenario in their minds, they’re ignoring one of the biggest risk in markets right now...
Dr Copper chimes in on the recession debate
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States and operates under a dual mandate to effectively promote the goals of maximum employment while maintaining price stability.
The Fed’s mention of a recession weighs on oil prices
With global growth downwardly revised and the Fed being more open of a recession, lower oil prices and its impact on inflation expectations is a key theme to watch.
Central banks current monetary policy - Where to next?
Major central banks around the world, except for the BOJ, are in tightening mode on the back of increasing inflation.
Two trades to watch: EUR/GBP, S&P500
EUR/GBP rises ahead of BoE rate decision. S&P500 tests 2022 low post-Fed.
When a 75-bps hike is still a baby step – US Housing data in focus
The Fed delivered their well-telegraphed 75-bps hike and left the door open for another one in July. Whether it can tame the inflationary beast remains debatable.
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EUR/USD in focus as ECB holds ad-hoc meeting ahead of FOMC
Euro rebounds as ECB tries to address fragmentation risks, ahead of a likely 75 basis point hike from the Fed
Two trades to watch: USD/JPY, Oil
USD/JPY pulls back ahead of Fed rate decision. Oil steady ahead of Fed rate decision, EIA inventory data.
Could a 50-bps Fed hike (inadvertently) weigh on sentiment? AUD/JPY
As daunting as a 75-bps hike may seem, it could be argued that if they didn’t hike so aggressively today then they’re still not doing enough to fight inflation.
NFP preview: Leading indicators slow while Fed poised to charge ahead
The leading indicators point to a slightly below-expectations reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially coming in somewhere in the 225K-325K range
US Dollar rips higher on economic data, Fed speakers
Today’s US ISM Manufacturing PMI and hawkish Fed speakers were bullish for the US Dollar. Will the DXY continue to move higher?
When cracks appear in the rendering, the house doesn’t always win
The housing market has been a bedrock of the US economy during a period of historically low rates. Now those days are over, large cracks are appearing in the rendering.