News hero gradient

Inflation

Stay in step with market opportunities and get insights, actionable trade ideas and dedicated support.

Sort by:

  • Newest
  • Popular

GBP/USD Analysis: Rally Extends Toward Sterling’s 1-Year High at 1.30

GBP/USD could pull back off 1-year highs at 1.3000 given the 17-year high in speculative long positioning, per the CFTC’s COT report.

indices_screen

A busy week awaits, despite US data taking a back seat: The Week Ahead

US data steps away from the limelight to make way for inflation reports from the UK, Canada, New Zealand, and Japan. And throw in an ECB meeting, Australian employment report and the CCP's Third Plenum for good measure.

default avatar
July 12, 2024 02:32 AM
Chart showing uptrend

US CPI Preview: Another Low-3% Reading Likely, Traders Looking to Buy S&P 500 Dips?

Traders and economists expect the US CPI report to fall to 3.1% y/y on a headline basis, with the “Core” (ex-food and -energy) reading expected to hold steady at 3.4% y/y.

default avatar
July 9, 2024 05:52 PM

Open an account today

Tight spreads from 0.5 pts on FX and 1 pt on indices.

Award-winning platforms with fast and secure execution.

Bank notes of different currencies

EUR/USD in the crossfire of election polls, US inflation: The Week Ahead

Inflation reports are the main theme for next week, with figures set to be released from the US, Canada, Australia and Japan. EUR/USD traders might want to be on guard for headline risk surrounding French elections, as it is the last full week before votes are cast and that means polls could easily sway sentient for European markets.

default avatar
June 21, 2024 06:42 AM
gpbusd_06

GBP/USD forecast: Cable stands firm despite hopes of soft UK CPI

GBP/USD has rallied 3.5% since April's low despite favourable yield differentials with the US. Yet price action on the daily and H4 charts suggests a minor pullback may be due.

default avatar
May 22, 2024 03:34 AM
inflation_05

US CPI Preview: USD/JPY Vulnerable as Leading Indicator Points to a Decline in Inflation

USD/JPY could be vulnerable as cooling ISM Prices Paid and disinflationary base effects point to a potential decline in CPI inflation this month

default avatar
May 14, 2024 04:21 PM
inflation_05

US Core PCE Preview: USD/JPY Flirts with 155 Ahead of Key US Inflation Report

Diverging interest rate expectations between the Federal Reserve and the rest of the developed world have been THE biggest story of the year for FX traders (USD/JPY in particular), and Friday’s Core PCE report will be the next major test to determine if that trend will carry over into Q2

Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

USD/JPY 155 in focus around US inflation, BOJ meeting: The Week Ahead

155 has become the latest 'glass ceiling' for the rapid rise of USD/JPY. And with a key US inflation report, BOJ meeting and potential for risk-off sentiment next week, this key level could be tested and prompt a response from Japan's central authorities.

default avatar
April 19, 2024 07:01 AM
inflation_05

UK, CA, NZ inflation at the helm: The Week Ahead

With traders keen to see who will be the first among the BOE, BOC or RBNZ to cut rates, their attention will be surely on next week's inflation reports for their respective regions.

default avatar
April 12, 2024 04:39 AM
inflation_04

GBP/USD Analysis: Hot US CPI Drives Cable Back Below 1.2600 – Where Next?

The biggest economic data release of this week, and arguably the whole month – US CPI – didn’t disappoint in terms of its market impact.

default avatar
April 10, 2024 02:40 PM
united_states_03

USD/JPY, AUD/USD: Bonds just delivered a message to traders about the US inflation report

Bond markets make the financial markets go round, so when they provide a strong signal on how Wednesday’s US consumer price inflation report may be interpreted, every trader should sit up and take notice.

default avatar
April 10, 2024 02:09 AM
Federal reserve name plaque on building

Bad news for long bond bulls following bearish break

Long bond bulls will not like the message coming from the recent price action in the TLT ETF, warning of the potential for higher yields and increased capital losses. With little technical support below where it currently sits, it places even more importance on the Fed chooses to signal this week.

US CPI Preview: GBP/USD Pulls Back to 1.2800 – Has US Inflation Bottomed?

GBP/USD remains in a bullish technical position ahead of the US CPI report - see what we're watching!

default avatar
March 11, 2024 03:15 PM
Federal reserve USD $100 note

Interest Rate Shock: What Happens If the Fed Hikes Instead of Cuts?

Traders are pricing in a small, but non-zero, chance of a Fed rate hike in 2024. Those odds could grow with a couple more hotter-than-expected inflation reports.

default avatar
March 4, 2024 07:53 PM
Gold bars article image for an article on Precious metals and Gold

Gold Weekly Forecast: XAU/USD Nears February Highs, Inflation in Focus

Gold is carrying short-term bullish momentum into the coming week, with potential for a move up toward the 2024 highs in the $2060 area.

Forex trading

U.S. Dollar Post-CPI: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, XAU/USD (Gold)

The U.S. Dollar broke out and set another fresh 2024 high this morning as the currency continues to claw back Q4 losses.

inflation_03

US CPI Preview: USD/JPY Tests 2024 Highs, Tame Inflation Expected

US CPI may be quiet this month, but the recent surge in the “Prices” component of the ISM PMI surveys hints that inflation could reaccelerate this Spring.

90 days risk-free trading with £10,000 in virtual funds

aus_04

AUD/USD weekly outlook: US inflation, AU jobs figures to drive AUD

AUD/USD traders will keep a close eye on US inflation data to decipher Fed policy, Australia's employment report to see if another month of strong job losses ensues.

An office of traders with multiple trading screens

Can US inflation data make or break the US dollar? The Week Ahead

Whist the daily charts still appear favourable for another leg higher on the US dollar, the weekly charts and market positioning suggest some dark clouds may lurking above. And incoming CPI or inflation expectations data could make or break the dollar, if they lean enough in either direction.

default avatar
February 9, 2024 04:26 AM
Gold nuggets

Gold Forecast: Commodity Deflation and Wall Street’s Short Positions

Read on to see how inflation and Fed policy could impact the price of commodities like gold this year!

default avatar
February 6, 2024 04:00 PM
aus_02

Growing risk RBA may cut rates before the Federal Reserve

There’s a growing risk the RBA may end up cutting interest rates sooner than US Federal Reserve with a slowdown in underlying inflationary pressures in the December quarter seeing markets shift forward expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut to early May.

default avatar
January 31, 2024 02:30 AM
Gold nuggets

Gold Forecast: Why “Inflation Hedge” Gold is Falling, Despite Hot US CPI

The dollar’s strength and opportunity cost of holding gold are outweighing its inflation hedge credentials

default avatar
January 11, 2024 06:53 PM
inflation_01

US CPI Forecast: USD/JPY Consolidates Just Below 145.00 Resistance Ahead of Inflation

Interestingly, the year-over-year reading on US CPI is expected to rise for only the third time since mid-2022, but the increase is expected primarily due to so-called “base effects"...