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20231218 - 001 - 01

Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises despite stronger than expected retail sales

U.S. stocks are set to rise modestly on the open as the Trump trade continues, and investors digest comments from Fed Powell, including the latest US retail sales and earnings. Retail sales ex-autos rose 0.4%, reversing a trend of falling sales. Earnings continue to roll in with BAC and MS beating forecasts.

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July 16, 2024 02:45 PM
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Nasdaq100 Forecast: QQQ rises as cooling inflation lifts Fed rate cut expectations

U.S. stocks are pointing to a higher start after US inflation data showed consumer prices cooled further in June, easing to 3% YoY from 3.3%. Core inflation also eased by more than expected to 3.3%. The market has ramped up rate cut expectations and is pricing in an 87% chance of a September rate cut. The Nasdaq100 and S&P500 rose to record highs.

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July 11, 2024 02:05 PM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls in cautious trade ahead of Powell

U.S. stocks are pointing to a lower open on Tuesday amid elevated treasury yields and in cautious trade ahead of a speech by Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell later today. The market will be watching for clues over when the Fed may start to cut interest rates, particularly after recent data that has pointed to a softening in the economy and inflation.

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July 2, 2024 02:19 PM

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20231218 - 001 - 01

Nasdaq100 Forecast: QQQ rises ahead of PMI data

U.S. stocks are heading for a quiet open as Nvidia loses ground, and investors look cautiously ahead to PMI data. Nvidia is falling after reaching another ATH this week, pushing the S&P500 and Nasdaq to ATHs. US economic data has shown signs of softening, and the PMI data today is expected to continue this theme.

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June 21, 2024 02:30 PM
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USD/CHF traders are nervous of being ‘caught short’ ahead of SNB

Futures traders may be heavily net-short Swiss Francs, but the rapid rise of the currency this week ahead of the SNB meeting suggests some are wary of being caught short a less-dovish central bank.

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Nasdaq Outlook: All Time Highs Proceed

Nasdaq Outlook: The latest monetary policies reversed the euphoric market trends, but not for Nasdaq

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June 13, 2024 02:12 PM
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NASDAQ 100 Forecast :QQQ rises as inflation cools by more than forecast

US stocks point to a higher open after the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation cooled more than expected. Core-PCE eased to 0.2% MoM in April, its weakest reading in six months, which will comfort the Fed. Inflation appears to be moving in the right direction, albeit at a slow pace. Attention will turn to next week's busy economic calendar for more clues on te health on the economy and when the Fed could start to cut rates.

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May 31, 2024 02:17 PM
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USD, Wall Street, gold: Risk seems to be falling apart at the seams

I suspect we're seeing the early moves of a pullback of appetite for risk in general, which saw traders push Wall Street indices and gold lower on Wednesday thanks to weak treasury demand. And it seems to be paving the way for the next leg higher for the USD.

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NASDAQ 100 Forecast QQQ steadies below the ATH ahead of inflation data

US stocks edge lower as traders return from the long weekend break and look ahead to inflation data later in the week. The data comes as the market remains fixed on when the Fed could start to cut interest rates. Expectations have been pushed back after a strong of Fed officials warned that they need to see more evidence of inflation cooling before cutting rates.

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May 28, 2024 03:00 PM
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These S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones ‘rallies’ look made to fade

We have four full trading days left in the month, and odds favour another bullish month for US indices. However, price action on the daily timeframe has alerted me to a potential pullback, while VIX futures and market positioning are also sending smoke signals to be aware of.

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May 28, 2024 04:01 AM
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NASDAQ 100 Forecast: QQQ rises but the recovery could be short -lived

US stocks are opening higher after losses yesterday when fears over high interest rates for longer overshadowed Nvidia's impressive results. Fears that a strong US economy and sticky inflation could prevent the Fed from loosening monetary policy, combined with lower volumes ahead of the long weekend, could see gains limited.

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May 24, 2024 02:54 PM
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Gold, Wall Street slammed as PMI data stifles hopes of Fed rate cuts

The record highs created for gold and Wall Street this week appear to have been bad omens, with sharp bearish reversals forming and rate-cut bets being slashed.

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Nasdaq 100 analysis: Markets pull back despite Nvidia rally

It has been a rather mixed day for risk assets. Things started brightly for US markets, but at the time of writing the major indices were sharply either lower or in the case of the Nasdaq well off its earlier highs. Our Nasdaq 100 analysis could turn bearish in the short-term outlook, if the index closes today’s session lower.

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USD/CHF looks set to lead the USD index higher, EUR/USD and AUD/USD lower

My bias for the US dollar index to rise to 105 remains in place, even if prices are grinding higher at a frustrating pace. But with USD/CHF hinting at a breakout, it could point to near-term weakness for EUR/USD and AUD/USD.

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May 22, 2024 05:59 AM
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Bitcoin traders should track Wall Street, Nvidia for directional cue

With bitcoin effectively taking its general trend from the stock market these days, traders should take note that US indices are mixed around all-time highs and Nvidia (a key driver of the Nasdaq) trades below resistance ahead of a key earnings report.

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ steadies after jobless claims, Fed speak

US stocks pause for breath after yesterday's rally following cooler CPI data. While the data boosted rate cut optimism, NY Fed President Williams warned that more evidence of inflation cooling was needed in order to cut rates. Separately, Walmart is set to open sharply higher after beating earnings and revenue forecasts.

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May 16, 2024 02:19 PM

Bitcoin bounces in style as Wall Street hits new highs

On Tuesday I outlined a bullish case for bitcoin futures whilst prices remained above $60k. One soft US CPI and retail sales report later, bullish range expansion has most certainly kicked in.

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast :QQQ rises towards record highs after CPI cools

US stocks are rising, heading back towards record higher after US CPI data cooled for the first time in six months in April. US CPI rose 0.3% MoM in April, below the 0.4% rise forecast. US retail sales were also weaker than expected at 0%. The data sent treasury yields and the USD lower while boosting stocks. The meme-stock euphoria was also showing signs of cooling.

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May 15, 2024 02:40 PM
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Nasdaq 100 analysis: Stocks rise as cooling US labour market boosts rate cut bets

Jobless claims rose more than expected, providing fresh evidence of a cooling US labour market and helping to support the view that the Federal Reserve is going to cut rates by around September. Nasdaq 100 technical analysis remains positive for now.

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May 9, 2024 05:00 PM
20231218 - 001 - 01

Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ rises post-Fed, Apple reports after the close

US stocks are set to open higher as the market digests the latest Federal Reserve meeting and looks ahead to tomorrow's non-far payroll report. The Fed left rates on hold and calmed worries of a rate hike. However, Fed chair Powell also warned that rates would stay high for longer. Apple is due to report after the close amid concerns over iPhone sales and China.

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May 2, 2024 02:29 PM
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Gold forecast: Upside potential in focus as USD mulls a pullback

The break above $2300 for gold was accompanied by strong volumes, and with the US dollar mulling a pullback it could benefit gold further over the near term.

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May 2, 2024 05:23 AM
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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ falls despite AMZN earnings & ahead of the Fed

US stocks are pointing to a lower start in cautious trade ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged as inflation rose across the first quarter and as the jobs market remains resilient. ADP payrolls were stronger than expected. Fed jitters are overshadowing results from Amazon, which beat forecasts.

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May 1, 2024 02:18 PM
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Nasdaq 100 forecast: The ‘downside’ to selling in May and going away

The Nasdaq 100 is poised to snap a 5-month winning streak by Tuesday's close, which begs the question as to if the old adage 'sell in May and go away' arrived a month early.

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April 30, 2024 05:04 AM