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ECB members turning more hawkish. But do markets believe them?

The ECB is providing more hawkish comments while the BOE is less sanguine due to slow expected growth.

Yesterday 07:49 PM
    • Trade Ideas
    • Forex
    • ECB
    • EUR GBP

    US Consumer still spending despite high inflation; EUR/USD

    Anyone who is worried about the effects that inflation will have on household spending can take a deep breath for another month as April’s Retail Sales data continued to be strong.

    Yesterday 03:24 PM
      • Trade Ideas
      • Forex
      • Retail Sales
      • DXY
      • EUR USD

      European Open: EUR/USD grinds higher ahead of EU GDP and US retail sales

      EUR/USD is a pair to watch today, given the line-up of GDP and employment for Europe, retail sales for the US and Jerome Powell speaking.

      Yesterday 05:52 AM
        • Forex
        • Commodities
        • Indices
        • Equities
        • FTSE
        • Trade Ideas
        • EUR USD

        Why trade with City Index?

        Tight spreads from 0.5 pts on FX and 0.3 pts on indices.


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        AUDUSD bounces back on RBA minutes and China headlines

        This morning saw the release of the RBA’s May meeting minutes. The market was hoping for clues on the likely size of next month’s rate hike, particularly after the bank caught all commentators on the wrong foot last month by raising rates by 25bp to 0.35%.

        Yesterday 03:53 AM
          • AUD/USD
          • trading. FOREX
          • Forex
          • RBA

          USD/JPY: Bullish momentum has stalled, but uptrend intact until Fed blinks

          Looking ahead, expectations for FOMC policy will be a major driver for USD/JPY...

          May 16, 2022 06:15 PM
            • USD
            • JPY
            • Forex
            • BoJ
            • Central Bank

            Currency Pair of the Week: GBP/USD

            With economic data releases from both the UK and the US this week, GBP/USD has the potential to be volatile.

            May 16, 2022 04:49 PM
              • Forex
              • Trade Ideas
              • GBP/USD
              • Powell
              • economic data

              European Open: Reality check for risk as China data misses

              Data from China clearly pointed the wrong way and knocked sentiment, but news that Shanghai is aiming to reopen threw in a degree of support.

              May 16, 2022 05:51 AM
                • Forex
                • Commodities
                • Indices
                • Equities
                • FTSE
                • Trade Ideas

                Where are the tail risks for this weekend's Australian Federal Election?

                The Australian Federal Election is just five days away. Both polling and betting markets have the ALP well ahead. As illustrated by Brexit, Donald Trump’s election in 2016 and the Australian Federal Election in 2019, polls are not fool proof.

                May 16, 2022 04:28 AM
                  • Election
                  • AUD USD
                  • Australia 200
                  • trading. FOREX
                  • Forex
                  • Equities

                  Weekly COT Report: Metals continue to get hammered

                  The strong dollar and lockdowns in China have continued to see traders take a bearish stance on metals over the past four weeks.

                  May 16, 2022 03:18 AM
                    • Risk Sentiment
                    • USD
                    • Forex
                    • Commodities

                    Week Ahead: Focus shifts to the consumer as volatility continues

                    Can the consumer hold up the economy despite rising inflation?

                    May 13, 2022 08:33 PM
                      • Forex
                      • Week ahead
                      • Trade Ideas
                      • Retail Sales
                      • USD/CHF
                      • economic data

                      Forex Friday: Will EUR/USD join CHF/USD par(i)ty?

                      In this week’s edition, we discuss the potential for the EUR/USD to drop to parity, following the footsteps of CHF/USD.

                      May 13, 2022 05:49 PM
                        • Trade Ideas
                        • Forex

                        Markets pricing in central bank rate increases over the next year

                        Traders should watch the change in expectations of interest rates vs current rates.

                        May 13, 2022 05:06 PM
                          • Trade Ideas
                          • Forex
                          • Interest rates
                          • Fed
                          • ECB
                          • BOE

                          European Open: Eyes on the euro and a potential 19-year low

                          EUR/USD came very close to breaking the 2017 yesterday, which would have taken it to its lowest level since December 2019.

                          May 13, 2022 06:07 AM
                            • Forex
                            • Commodities
                            • Indices
                            • FTSE
                            • Trade Ideas
                            • EUR USD

                            Asian Open: Jerome Powell reconfirmed, Russia threatens Finland

                            More of the same with the Fed as Jerome Powell is confirmed for a second term. The yen rallied on geopolitical concerns as Russia threatened Finland over joining NATO.

                            May 13, 2022 12:05 AM
                              • Forex
                              • Indices
                              • FTSE
                              • Trade Ideas
                              • GBP/JPY
                              • ASX

                              US PPI follows suit after CPI print

                              Although PPI was lower than March's reading, it did little to soothe investor fears of rising interest rates.

                              May 12, 2022 04:45 PM
                                • PPI
                                • Trade Ideas
                                • Forex
                                • EUR USD
                                • DXY

                                European Open: WTI rebounds above $100, UK GDP up next

                                Energy markets were supported by the rise in geopolitical tensions between Russia and Europe, which helped WTI print a firm close above $100.

                                May 12, 2022 06:07 AM
                                  • Forex
                                  • Commodities
                                  • Indices
                                  • FTSE
                                  • Trade Ideas
                                  • WTI

                                  Asian Open: US CPI didn’t provide the clear outcome traders hoped for

                                  There was a lot of expectation that CPI would soften enough to provide confidence that inflation had peaked. Those expectations were not fulfilled.

                                  May 11, 2022 11:59 PM
                                    • Forex
                                    • Commodities
                                    • Indices
                                    • ASX
                                    • Gold

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                                    Can Silver hang on?

                                    Silver (XAG/USD) has tumbled over 19% since April 18th.

                                    May 11, 2022 07:30 PM
                                      • Trade Ideas
                                      • Forex
                                      • Commodities
                                      • Silver
                                      • XAG USD

                                      ECB officials starting to think about rate hikes

                                      Hints of rate hikes in Europe could give EUR/USD a lift.

                                      May 11, 2022 03:57 PM
                                        • Trade Ideas
                                        • Forex
                                        • EUR USD
                                        • Inflation

                                        How will the market react to CPI?

                                        There’s a lot been said about the US potentially hitting “peak inflation,” but it not all about today’s CPI print...

                                        May 11, 2022 11:26 AM
                                          • Trade Ideas
                                          • CPI
                                          • Inflation
                                          • Forex
                                          • EUR USD

                                          European Open: Bruised equity bulls look to US CPI for a reprieve

                                          Given US indices are holding support levels after the latest selloff, a soft inflation print could be the catalyst to lift equities from their lows.

                                          May 11, 2022 06:06 AM
                                            • Forex
                                            • Indices
                                            • Trade Ideas
                                            • FTSE
                                            • CPI
                                            • AUD JPY

                                            Asian Open: USD holds firm ahead of CPI, ASX set to mean revert?

                                            There comes a point where bears overplay their hand. And yesterday’s rebound above 7,000 following a strong move lower on the ASX suggests they may be losing their grip.

                                            May 10, 2022 11:29 PM
                                              • Trade Ideas
                                              • Forex
                                              • ASX
                                              • Australia 200
                                              • USD

                                              Aluminum at support. What does that mean for AUD/USD?

                                              Aluminum has been moving lower since fears of a slowdown began to sweep through the markets, and it is bringing AUD/USD lower with it.

                                              May 10, 2022 07:05 PM
                                                • Forex
                                                • Commodities
                                                • Trade Ideas
                                                • AUD USD