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USD/JPY

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USDJPY Forecast: Key Levels for BOJ and FOMC Week

USDJPY Forecast: the anticipation of a tighter monetary policy at the next BOJ meeting has dominated oversold pressures on the USDJPY. Is there a reversal on the horizon?

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Yesterday 08:23 AM
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USD/JPY selling recedes ahead of PCE inflation, crude oil slips in a gain

USD/JPY formed a potential bullish reversal day at key support ahead of today's US inflation report. With decent GDP figures also helping crude oil prices post a decent day's gain.

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July 25, 2024 11:39 PM
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DAX, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

DAX falls amid global tech rout, weaker German business confidence.USD/JPY drops to a 12-week low as the carry trade unwinds & on safe-haven flows.

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July 25, 2024 09:50 AM

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Japanese yen reverts to safe haven asset, USD/JPY nears key support zone

USD/JPY is on a collision course with key support, plunging for a fourth consecutive day as carry trades involving the Japanese yen are unwound. It’s the kind of move you’d normally expect to see in a crisis, although we’re not in a crisis. Yet.

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July 25, 2024 05:37 AM
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USD/JPY, EURUSD Forecast: Two trades to watch

USD/JPY falls to a monthly low. EUR/USD falls after PMI data missed forecasts.

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July 24, 2024 10:11 AM
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USD/JPY eyes 154 amid yen strength resurgence, PMIs on tap

Hawkish comments from Japan's government officials and a general unwind of carry trades sent the yen higher across the board on Tuesday, with USD/JPY hinting at a fresh cycle low as we head towards US GDP and inflation data this week.

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July 24, 2024 12:29 AM
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USDJPY Forecast: Japanese Inflation vs US Inflation

USDJPY Forecast: The US Dollar index steadies above 104 given an uncertain political atmosphere, but the USDJPY dips back near monthly lows amid monetary tightening expectations.

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USD/CNH eyes fresh highs as PBOC cuts rates, USD/JPY bullish reversal incoming?

USD/CNH is threatening to break higher after the PBOC cut key policy rates, putting a potential retest of the 2024 highs on the cards. Given its historical close correlation with USD/JPY, renewed yuan weakness could drag other Asian currencies lower against the dollar.

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July 22, 2024 07:34 AM
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GBP/USD, USD/JPY, VIX, gold analysis from the weekly COT report

Large speculators surged into GBP/USD long bets last week, pushing net-long exposure to a record high and at the fastest weekly pace since records began. They also continued to trim net-short exposure to yen futures for a second week, after it nearly reached a record high of its own.

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USD/JPY extends losses on suspected intervention, DXY breaks 200-day MA

Japan’s Ministry of Finance (MOF) appears to be taking full advantage of the path of least resistance by intervening when the US dollar and yields are under pressure. And their latest suspected intervention alongside dovish Fed comments saw USD/JPY break trend support and send DXY below its 200-day MA.

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July 18, 2024 12:18 AM
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How Could the US Presidential Election Impact Markets? A 40-Year Study Looking at 5 Key Markets

At a high level, the US dollar has not shown a consistent trend of strengthening or weakening in one month before, one week after, one month after, or one quarter after US Presidential Election days over the last 10 elections.

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USDJPY Forecast: Anticipations for a Fed Rate Cut vs a BOJ Rate Hike

USDJPY Forecast: With the market fully pricing in a Fed rate cut starting in September, along with increasing speculations over a BOJ rate hike at the end of July, the USD/JPY is experiencing a sharp decline.

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July 17, 2024 10:15 AM
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USD index, USD/JPY show signs of stability, ASX breaks 8000

The post-CPI selloff of the USD has wound down, and price action suggests a bounce cold be due. The ASX has surpassed 8k for the first time on record, and bulls may be keen to seek dips.

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EUR/USD, AUD/USD traders flipped to net-long exposure: COT report

Large speculators flipped to net-long exposure to EUR/USD futures after a 2-week hiatus, whilst AUD/USD breached the bullish threshold for the first time in three years according to the commitment of traders report (COT).

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AUD/USD pinbar shouldn’t deter bulls, USD/JPY gets whacked

It will likely take more than one bearish reversal candle to spoil the bullish trend structure of AUD/USD, and there's plenty of support nearby to excite dip buyers. USD/JPY has likely returned to a shell-socked state after a surge of volatility toppled the pair for a clear break below 160.

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July 11, 2024 11:40 PM
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FTSE, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch

FFTSE inches higher after stronger GDP data. USD/JPY look to US CPI figures.

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July 11, 2024 09:49 AM
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USD/JPY considers 162 ahead of US CPI, ASX 200 breaks out of compression

The ever-weaker yen allowed USD/JPY to drift higher for a third day, and now trades less than a typical day's range from the 162 handle - a level not tested since 1986. Wall Street indices reached record highs on dovish comments from Jerome Powell's testimony, and that bodes well for the ASX 200 today.

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July 11, 2024 12:01 AM

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USDJPY Forecast: Bracing for US CPI Volatility

Despite rising expectations for a BOJ rate hike, the faster pace of Fed policies is set to drive greater volatility in the USDJPY chart.

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July 10, 2024 12:20 PM
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Yen, AUD/USD, Gold, Dow Jones Analysis: COT report

Large speculators were on the cusp of reaching a record level of net-short exposure to yen futures last week, whilst they're also getting close to reaching net-long exposure to AUD/USD futures.

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USD/JPY forecast: What a hawkish Fed giveth, a dovish Fed can taketh away

After a rare reversal in USD/JPY to start July, traders should be on the lookout for any follow through selling as expectations for Fed rate cuts this year swell. Considering higher US yields helped to propel the dollar higher, if you take that away, can the prevailing trend realty be maintained?

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July 6, 2024 03:00 PM
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USD/JPY, USD/CNH: US economic exceptionalism narrative faces major test

You get the feeling it’s only the US jobs market standing in the way between the Fed and the next easing cycle. That makes this Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report even more important, especially for markets that have been heavily impacted by rate differentials such as USD/JPY and USD/CNH.

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July 4, 2024 04:43 AM
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Japanese Yen Forecast: Does USD/JPY Have a Date with 165?

Some traders view Kanda’s “lame duck” status as a sign that Japanese policymakers may not intervene until USD/JPY reaches closer to 165.

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July 2, 2024 07:04 PM
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EUR/USD, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trade to watch

EUR/USD looks to eurozone inflation and Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell. USD/JPY rises to fresh 38-year highs as the USD tracks yields higher.