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AUD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Weaker Japanese yen adds to near-term upside risk
Whether it’s any major FX pair against the yen or the Nikkei 225, the last of least resistance right now seems to be higher with the BOJ maintaining its ultra-dovish stance.
AUD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Weaker Japanese yen adds to near-term upside risk
Whether it’s any major FX pair against the yen or the Nikkei 225, the last of least resistance right now seems to be higher.
The top 10 most volatile currency pairs in 2023
These are the most volatile FX pairs in 2023. Learn how to trade them and use volatility to your advantage.
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AUD/USD lower as the mood darkens with appetite for risk on the ropes
Whilst the Asian session started off quietly enough, slowly but surely dark clouds have begun to form to provide an ominous feeling that something could crack. US futures are pointing lower, AUD/USD and the ASX 200 tapped fresh YTD lows and AUD/JPY – a classic barometer of risk - extended its losses for a second day to a 7-day low.
AUD/JPY, WTI crude oil: Israel-Hamas conflict, inflation reports to set the tone
Geopolitics, inflation reports and sentiment towards Chinese markets will likely dominate proceedings for AUD/JPY and crude oil this week, putting their respective uptrends to the test during a time when investor risk appetite is particularly weak.
ASX 200, AUD/JPY: Tentative rebound subject to substantial headline risk
For ASX 200 and AUD/JPY, until the geopolitical situation in the Middle East improves, adopting a sell-on-rallies approach remains the most appropriate strategy for those and other cyclical asset classes.
ASX 200, AUD/JPY: Fed policy pivot hopes drive rapid rebound
Money markets are betting the Fed rate hike cycle is over with up to 100 basis points of cuts expected in 2024, boosting cyclical assets classes such as the ASX 200 and AUD/JPY.
Gold and AUD/JPY hint at reversals: Asian Open – 06/10/2023
It has been another volatile week for markets overall. But based on the principle that markets (rarely) move in a straight long for extended periods, perhaps we're due some mean reversion. Gold might tick that box above 1800, and if risk-off returns then AUD/JPY around resistance has caught our eye.
AUD/USD, AUD/JPY: Softening macro backdrop, BOJ threat amplify downside risks
The combination of a deteriorating macroeconomic backdrop, the first monetary policy decision from a new RBA governor and threat of market intervention from the Bank of Japan has created an interesting mix for the AUD/JPY.
AUD/JPY: A proxy trade on China’s outlook that does not involve USD
Having been driven by rate differentials for much of the past three years, AUD/JPY is evolving into an effective way to express a view towards China’s outlook that does not involve the US dollar.
USD/CNH, AUD/JPY: China ‘data dump’ relieves pressure on yuan, Australian dollar
China’s August “data dump” has come in ahead of expectations, solidifying the view activity in the world’s second-largest economy is beginning to stabilise.
AUD/JPY prints swing high ahead of BOJ: Asian Open Date – 27th July 2023
With the Fed meeting behind us, the focus now shifts to ECB and BOJ meetings ahead of the weekend. Soft AU inflation helped send AUD lower, but can an upwardly revised inflation forecast from the BOJ tomorrow help topple AUD/JPY? As we see in today’s chart, an important swing high appears to have formed.
AUD/USD, AUD/JPY Analysis: Jobs data keeps hawkish pressure on the RBA
The Australian dollar has spiked higher across the board after the economy delivered another rate-hike defying report. And that has seen AUD/JPY and AUD/JPY break out of their recent consolidations to the upside.
AUD pairs in focus for AU employment: Asian Open - 20th July 2023
The RBA will be keeping a close eye on today's employment figures from Australia. If they continue to outperform then it keeps some pressure on the RBA to at least strike a hawkish tone at their next meeting, or potentially hike if next week's inflation figures are too hot. And that places AUD pairs in focus, and today we're looking at a potential long setup on AUD/JPY at the lower end of its trading range.
WTI, ASX 200, AUDJPY analysis: Oil prices gap higher on Saudi cuts
Oil prices gapped higher at the Asian open following the weekend's news that Saudi Arabia are to cut oil production by 10% from July, whilst improved appetite for risk helped the ASX 200 and AUD/JPY rally on Friday.
AUD/USD, AUD/JPY analysis: Employment report cools RBA-hike bets
With wage growth slightly above expectations yesterday, a strong employment report could have seen further calls for RBA to hike in June. Only, employment was softer.
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AUD outlook: RBA on track to hold (again) on softer inflation?
Quarterly inflation figures for Australia back up hopes that peak inflation has indeed arrived, which could keep the RBA on track for another pause next week.
The Yen repatriation trade appears to be back in play
The Japanese yen has surged higher during today’s Asian session, suggesting the end of fiscal year repatriation trade is in play.
Sentiment improves as China data boosts hopes of 5% growth
The government’s recent 2023 growth target of ‘around’ 5% seems to be on track according to the NBS, which helped commodity FX and indices rise during the Asian session.
AU employment miss adds to the Aussie's woes
A weak lead form Wall Street weighed on the Aussie overnight, with today’s employment miss adding to its downside pressure.
Not for the first time, the BOJ spite the hype (presser pending…)
There were high expectations from the BOJ at today’s meeting, yet what they delivered was a nothing burger. That is classic BOJ!
The yen continues to rise as traders bet on BOJ policy shift
The yen was the strongest currency overnight as traders reacted to weak manufacturing PMI data over the weekend, and the potential for the BOJ to adjust their policy.