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Gold outlook remains positive as traders eye key US data
Gold outlook remains fundamentally supported in the long term as discussed in this article. In the short-term, traders are awaiting the release of US GDP and Core PCE data this week, ahead of NFP next week. Meanwhile, technical analysis shows the metal is finding some renewed support around its 21-day exponential average.
Gold analysis: Can metal start rising again now?
Has gold selling already or nearly done? Gold remains fundamentally supported in the long term, although there is room for further correction. Gold technical analysis shows prices are no longer as overbought as a couple of weeks ago.
Gold, silver: Buying the dip needs a health warning given heavy price action
The bigger the rally the harder the fall? Traders dabbling in the precious metals space may be asking that exact question with gold and silver extending their losses on Tuesday after a brutal start to the week.
Gold’s worst day in two years, Crude oil eyes bounce above $80: Asian Open
There has been a shakeup at the top for gold, which opened the week at the high and closed the day at the low during its worst day in two years. We also look at a potential swing trade long on WTI crude oil.
EUR/USD, Gold, Crude Oil, 2-year note analysis: COT report
EUR/USD futures traders are on the cusp of flipping to net-short exposure, and managed funds are increasing their short exposure to gold and crude oil.
Gold price forecast: Sustainable bull markets need to breathe occasionally
The inverse relationship between bond yields and US dollar with the gold price has broken down in 2024, meaning technicals and inflation expectations are arguably a more important driver right now.
Gold outlook: Metal continues to defy gravity, but how long?
Gold outlook remains steady, for now, even as Iran has downplayed the impact of Israel strikes. The focus turns to sticky inflation and elevated interest rates narrative, as overbought gold hardly shows any signs of a bearish reversal yet.
Crude oil spikes on reports of Israeli airstrike, gold threatens new high
WTI crude oil was up over 4% during the Asian session on reports that Israel’s middles had struck a site in Iran, further fans fears of a broader-scaled war in the middle East.
US dollar taps 106 as US 2yr eyes break of 5%, gold rangebound: Asian Open
The US dollar index recouped some of Wednesday's losses and is now tapping 106, whilst the US 2-year yields considers a break above 5%.
AUD/USD, ASX 200 dragged lower during risk-off trade: Asian Open
A risk-off tone ensued across global markets to send the US dollar higher, to the detriment of AUD/USD and the ASX 200.
Gold analysis: Balancing geopolitical risks and rising dollar, yields
Gold investors face key dilemma as rising geopolitical risks could keep gold supported on dips, but even higher yields continue to increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. Gold technical analysis point to overbought conditions, so a bit of short-term weakness should not come as surprise.
US dollar, yen, VIX, gold, crude oil analysis: COT report – April 15, 2024
Net-short exposure to yen futures rose to a 16-year high last week, and now within reach of its record. Asset managers appear to be on the right side of the US dollar trade, with large speculators remaining net-short despite the dollar's rally. Net-long exposure for oil and gold futures continued to trend higher, but neither are at levels which screams sentiment extreme. And asset managers are on the cusp of flipping to net-long exposure to the VIX.
Gold price reversal resembles blow-off top into escalating geopolitical tensions
Big, ugly and unusual given the escalation in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. You can see why traders are questioning whether the big reversal in gold last Friday may signal we’ve seen a near-term top after a rollicking start to 2024.
DJIA analysis: Risk off as stocks plunges and even gold reverses
DJIA analysis: Stocks tumble on Middle East jitters, as VIX spikes. US dollar has also extended its rally on reduced rate cut expectations and risk off sentiment. Meanwhile, gold looks like it may have topped out.
Gold and silver are doing exactly what you’d expect after breaking key resistance
Gold and silver are doing exactly what you’d expect after breaking long-running resistance. And that's before you consider fundamentals such as geopolitics, central bank purchases, limited mine development, rising inflation expectations and troubling fiscal outlooks from some of the world’s largest economies.
Gold analysis: Charts point to extreme overbought levels – Technical Tuesday
Gold analysis: Technical levels and factors to watch on gold as the metal hits a fresh record high. But at these extremely overbought levels, do watch out for a possible correction. Gold's resistance against rising yields may be short-lived.
AUD/USD perks up, gold continues to defy gravity: Asian Open
Momentum is turning higher for AUD/USD during a month that tends to promote positive returns, and gold bulls continue to dominate price action as it reaches yet another record high.
Gold technical analysis: Overbought conditions need addressing
Gold's weekly RSI above 75 is too high for bulls to be comfortable with following its big rally. Additionally, gold may be unable to defy rising yields for too long, as it increases the opportunity cost of holding gold. US CPI coming up later in the week could trigger the next big move in gold.
US dollar, EUR/USD, gold, crude oil analysis: COT report
The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.
Crude oil, gold pullbacks unlikely to last long with inflation expectations so elevated
It’s not just fundamentals and technicals driving the rally across large parts of the commodity complex right now, but also a collective rethink from traders about what more than 250 basis points worth of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this cycle will mean for the long-term global inflation trajectory.
Gold analysis: Overbought metal could be hit by profit-taking as silver breaks out
Precious metals again disregard rising yields, as silver stages big breakout and gold rallies to a new record high. Gold technical analysis suggests yellow metal is at extreme overbought levels.
USD/JPY, Gold outlook: The payrolls figure in the NFP report is not as important as you think
Forget focusing on the payrolls figure in the US jobs report. It’s not as important as it’s made out to be. Traders would be better off looking at unemployment and average hourly earnings data if they want to know how markets are likely to react.
US dollar, USD/JPY, gold performance around Nonfarm payrolls (NFP)
Data since the Pandemic shows that NFP job growth has generally outperformed estimates and seen the prior figure upwards revised, which has played out well for US dollar bulls.