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China A50 could be teeing up for a rebound, Nikkei 225 remains trapped

The China A50 has shown early signs of stabilising around support levels after a 4-week decline. The bear case for the Nikkei is not dead, but it may be sleeping whilst it remains rangebound on the weekly chart.

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June 18, 2024 03:12 AM
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AUD/USD looks set to pop higher, Nikkei and Nasdaq diverge

Forex markets mostly retraced against Wednesday's CPI and FOMC moves. And that may have set AUD/USD up nicely for a cheeky long into the weekend. The Nikkei however is down for a third day after failing below key resistance levels.


USD/JPY, Nikkei pause at resistance as US CPI, FOMC looms: Asian Open

The next 24 hours will be the eight time in 10 years that a US CPI report lands on the same day as an FOMC meeting, and it has traders on tenterhooks. Today we look at USD/JPY, Nikkei 225 and the ASX 200.

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GBP/JPY eying bullish break to fresh multi-decade highs

GBP/JPY is coiling up and primed to fire, sitting in a strong uptrend while bumping up against horizontal resistance dating back to when the Bank of Japan initiated a record FX market intervention to support the Japanese yen in April.

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June 3, 2024 06:56 AM

Nikkei 225 tracks Wall Street higher, gold bears eye another drop

Asian indices were quick to rally out of the gate on Monday after a strong lead from Wall Street, sending Nikkei futures 1% higher. Gold looks worse for wear and we eye a potential move down to $2300.

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June 3, 2024 03:33 AM

ASX 200, Nikkei 225 futures diverge from Wall Street: Asian Open

Downwardly revised GDP for the US in Q1 weighed on Wall Street indices ahead of a key inflation report, yet the ASX and Nikkei managed to bounce form their lows. We look at where we think they might head next.


The Nikkei 225 has been added to my watch (out below) list

The Nikkei has been grinding higher in recent weeks, but with momentum turning lower at resistance and asset managers are increasing longs, perhaps it's ready for a leg or two lower.

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May 29, 2024 07:30 AM

Nikkei 225 faces crucial technical test as USD/JPY correlations go AWOL

Japan’s Nikkei 225 faces an important technical test today, pushing back to towards a resistance zone it’s been unable to break for weeks. With risk appetite rampant and softer yen helping to juice the earnings outlook for exporters, if bulls can’t reclaim the ascendancy today, when will they ever?

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May 15, 2024 12:08 AM

Nikkei 225, Hang Seng forecast: Tables are turning for Asia’s stock market giants

Japan’s Nikki 225 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng have been like chalk and cheese coming out of the pandemic. As one surged, the other floundered. But the tide looks to be turning, and fast.

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May 12, 2024 09:00 AM

Nasdaq’s bullish signal may deliver upside for the Nikkei 225

While the Nasdaq 100 has broken its 2024 uptrend, traders continue to buy the dip, generating a bullish signal on Thursday. That points to possible upside not only for US tech but also Japan’s Nikkei 225.

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April 12, 2024 03:28 AM

USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: BOJ scraps negative rates but not bond buys, pressuring yen

A historic day for Japanese markets with the Bank of Japan (BOJ) hiking interest rates for the first time since 2007, doing away with negative interest rates in the process. It’s now over to the Fed to drive the price action over the remainder of the week.

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March 19, 2024 04:21 AM

Nikkei 225 longs favoured into BOJ and Fed rate decisions, Nvidia GPU conference

Recent price action in Nikkei 225 futures points to upside risks this week, indicating confidence among traders that even with major events such as rate decisions from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve, along with Nvidia’s GPU Technology Conference, the bull market that helped propel the underlying index to record highs is anything but finished.

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March 17, 2024 11:23 PM

Soft US CPI amplifies downside risk for US yields, USD/JPY and Nikkei

USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 futures have been heavily influenced by US bond yields recently, meaning Tuesday’s US consumer price inflation report looms as critical for how Japanese markets may fare over the short to medium term. The bias for all remains lower in the absence of another hot inflation number.

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March 12, 2024 02:34 AM

DAX futures, Nikkei 225 hit record highs: European open

It was a lively session for equity traders in Asia on Thursday, with the Nikkei 225 and DAX futures hitting record highs. The Nikkei made its inevitable run to 39k and touched a record high, by a cat's whisker.

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February 22, 2024 05:12 AM

Ducks have lined up for Nikkei 225 to test its 1989 high

If there was ever a day for Japan’s Nikkei 225 to overcome its demons and take out the record high set in December 1989, few screen better than today. The ducks look to have lined up for bulls. If we can’t set a new peak, it may provide a subtle warning that the market has run too hard, too fast.

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February 21, 2024 10:54 PM

AUD/USD suffers its worst 3-day run, Ominous day for the Nikkei: Asian Open

Appetite remained sour on Wednesday, and that has been a clear drag on AUD/USD ahead of today’s employment report.

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January 17, 2024 10:26 PM

Recent Nikkei bulls face their first real test

Recent adoptees of a bullish Nikkei stance are facing their first real test with a distinct risk-off tone settling in across the Asian region, seeing the index reverse slightly after hitting fresh 34-year highs on Monday.

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January 16, 2024 01:21 AM

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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Difficult to ignore the noise surrounding a BOJ early exit

Speculation surrounding the future of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) yield curve control program continues to thwart attempts to push USD/JPY higher, combining with the threat of intervention from the BOJ to cap on rallies in the pair.

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October 24, 2023 12:22 AM

USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Implications should the BOJ never reach escape velocity on rates

Should the BOJ fail to reach escape velocity from ultra-easy monetary policy settings, it will have implications for the Nikkei 225 and USD/JPY as we move towards 2024.

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October 12, 2023 04:09 AM

S&P 500, Nikkei 225 analysis: Can someone let the dead cat bounce out?

US bond yields pulled back to give risk assets a reprieve from their selloff on Wednesday. But with bond market implied volatility also pulling back, perhaps there's a little more room for a bounce for the Nikkei and S&P 500.

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October 5, 2023 02:48 AM

Nikkei 225: Important day for Japanese stocks as slide stalls at key support

Nikkei 225 sits on a major support, making near-term price action potentially important for its longer-term trajectory.

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October 4, 2023 01:04 AM
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Nasdaq, Nikkei, ASX: Breaking down as the ‘bondcano’ erupts

After threatening for weeks to generate a sizeable volatility event, the combination of higher bond yields and US dollar looks to have delivered.

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September 22, 2023 03:10 AM
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Nikkei 225 breaks higher on tech gains. Nasdaq 100 next?

Given the driver of the Nikkei’s performance, keep an eye on the Nasdaq’s performance given it continues to bump up against downtrend resistance on an almost daily basis.

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September 14, 2023 06:11 AM