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USD/JPY forecast: Attention turns to US CPI as yen drops across the board

The focus for is now turning to data with the release of US CPI today, PPI tomorrow and retail sales on Friday. The USD/JPY will get a boost should inflation data surprise to the upside.

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February 12, 2025 11:24 AM

EURUSD Holds Rebound, Nasdaq Holds Rally Amid Inflation Risks

Markets stay on edge as inflation fears grow, fueled by Fed Chair Powell’s stance on delaying rate cuts, upcoming U.S. CPI data, and tariff impacts. Nasdaq holds below record highs, while EUR/USD maintains its bullish rebound.

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February 12, 2025 08:13 AM
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US CPI Preview: Will Trade War Fears Push Headline Inflation Back Above 3%?

Ahead of US CPI, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is rallying off range support, opening the door for extended gains toward 109.00 if the CPI reading comes in hotter-than-expected.

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February 10, 2025 07:55 PM

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EURUSD, Dow Forecast: NFP, CPI, and Trump Policies

EURUSD, Dow Forecast: Markets remain steady ahead of the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, another uncertain weekend, and the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, as tariff and trade war risks dominate 2025 headlines.

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February 7, 2025 08:01 AM
Forex trading

EUR/JPY forecast: Japanese yen roars as global yields dip

Japan’s yields, which hit fresh multi-year high overnight, remained in the positive despite other global yields falling in reaction to US CPI. That made the Japanese yen the strongest currency. With the gap between yields in Japan and the rest of the world narrowing, all major JPY pairs fell, including the EUR/JPY as the yen rallied. The EUR/JPY forecast remains bearish.

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January 15, 2025 03:30 PM
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Gold outlook: CPI in focus as investors keep eye on yields

Bond yields are unlikely to fall back significantly in the near-term, even if we see a small miss in US inflation data today. This should keep the upside limited for gold. Therefore, we are still quite cautious when it comes to near-term gold outlook, even if we ultimately expect to see gold rising to $3,000 later this year.

US CPI Preview: How a Pickup in Inflation Could Complicate the Fed’s Job

A hot CPI report could lead traders to start asking whether the Fed’s interest rate cutting cycle may be completed already, complicating the path forward for a central bank that has clearly been hinting that the easing cycle isn’t done yet.

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January 13, 2025 05:58 PM
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GBPUSD Forecast: 2025 Inflation Concerns Dampen Dovish Drive

GBP/USD Forecast: This week brings notable UK economic indicators, including GDP, inflation, and retail sales, alongside the key catalyst: U.S. CPI data. These events are set to shed light on the pound’s struggles with pressured lows against the dollar.

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January 13, 2025 08:37 AM
Oil refinery

Crude Oil Week Ahead: China, OPEC, and US Inflation

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Crude oil remains on a bullish track this year, reaching 4-month highs. Next week, key inputs such as Chinese economic data, shifts in Fed rate expectations, and OPEC and IEA monthly reports are expected to shape the still range-bound direction of oil prices.

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AUD/USD holds ground despite softer CPI, EUR/AUD looks set to tap out

Bond yields and AUD/USD had a different take on today's inflation figures. And on this occasion, I believe forex traders are in the right. And if the Aussie can withstand the strength of the US dollar, it could bode well for bears seeking a cheeky EUR/AUD short.

EURUSD Forecast: Is 2025 a Bullish Reversal Year?

EURUSD Forecast: The EUR/USD enters 2025 on a bearish note following a sharp downturn at the end of 2024. However, extreme oversold levels hint at potential bullish reversals. Key market-moving factors, including Eurozone inflation data and U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls, are in focus this week, adding volatility risks.

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January 6, 2025 12:18 PM
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GBP/USD forecast: US CPI in focus as cable hits resistance

Showcasing the GBP strength is the struggling EUR/GBP. With the latter testing the 0.82 support area, sterling is therefore trading at its best levels since March 2022 against the euro. But against the dollar, it has been held back. In fact, I reckon there is a good chance we may see the GBP/USD start to head lower again and may even go on to break 1.2500 support, once UK’s services inflation eases more significantly - possibly in early next year. If seen, that would allow the BoE to turn more dovish. So, the GBP/USD outlook remains bearish heading into 2025.

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December 11, 2024 12:13 PM

EURUSD, DXY Forecast: US CPI and 2025 Trends

EURUSD, DXY Forecast: the final reports for the economic calendar’s major events, including the US CPI and FOMC meeting, are due between today and next Wednesday, setting 2024’s final volatility wave ahead of the holidays and 2025’s narrative.

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December 11, 2024 08:43 AM
Forex trading

US Dollar Forecast: USD/JPY Rallies Ahead of US CPI Report

USD/JPY rallies to a fresh monthly high (152.18) ahead of the update to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

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By : David Song
December 10, 2024 08:00 PM
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US CPI Preview: Could a HOT Inflation Report Revive a Fed Pause?

The Fed is likely to cut interest rates by 25bps regardless of the CPI reading, though a hotter-than-expected print could certainly raise some questions for USD/CAD

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December 10, 2024 02:17 PM
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USDJPY, Dow, Nasdaq Analysis: Heated Highs Ahead of US CPI

USDJPY, Dow, Nasdaq Analysis: With forecasts pointing to an uptick in US inflation rates and overbought conditions in US indices, a critical wave of volatility is anticipated ahead of the holidays.

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EUR/USD forecast: Currency Pair of the Week – December 9, 2024

Ahead of key macro events, the EUR/USD forecast remains modestly bearish, although the currency pair has found some love today thanks to optimism about more stimulus measures being introduced in China, one of the Eurozone’s major exports destinations.

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GBPUSD, Gold Analysis: US Inflation and Middle East Reforms

GBPUSD, Gold Analysis: As we approach the final central bank decisions for 2024 from the Fed, BOJ, and BOE, major reforms in the Middle East are adding layers of volatility to the US Dollar and haven assets ahead of the holidays.

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December 9, 2024 09:02 AM
Oil refinery

Crude Oil Week Ahead: Middle East Reforms, Chinese Data, and US Inflation

Crude Oil Week Ahead: The bearish outlook on oil prices for 2025 is colliding with significant Middle Eastern reforms. OPEC’s decision to extend its output cuts into 2025 has stabilized oil prices near their 4-year support zone, which will be tested this week by Chinese economic data, US inflation reports, and Middle East developments.

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GBPUSD, EURJPY Outlook: Inflation Reports and Key Levels

GBPUSD, EURJPY: Inflation indicators between the eurozone and the Japanese economy are due this week, following the jump in UK’s inflation rates next week, adding reversal potential to the dollar’s rally ahead of Trump’s presidency.

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November 25, 2024 08:36 AM
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USDJPY Forecast: Will the CPI Reverse the Dollar Rally?

USDJPY Forecast: The bull run of the US Dollar Index has pushed the USDJPY back in the borders of its primary uptrend, and further volatility risks are on the horizon with the US CPI results.

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November 13, 2024 08:48 AM
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Kashkari drops the 'p' word ahead of US CPI, USD/CHF stands firm

With Kashkari throwing the word ‘pause’ into the mix ahead of a US CPI report, traders should brace themselves for further USD gains should it come in hotter than expected.

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US CPI Preview: Inflation Uptick Potential after Trump Election, Red Wave

The Fed is seen as nearly 50/50 to cut interest rates again in December after Donald Trump and the Republicans secured a “Red Wave” last week - see what to expect from US CPI!