News and analysis
US dollar weakness might be short lived: The Week Ahead
The US dollar shows the potential to retrace some of the week's losses in light of hawkish Fed comments. Although attention now shifts to the US PCE inflation report, Australian CPI and RBNZ interest rate decision and press conference.
AUD/USD falters at the 200-day MA, ASX 200 eyes record high
AUD/USD rose for a seventh day yet left a prominent reversal candle at the 200-day EMA. Positive sentiment for the stock market could see the ASX 200 retest or even break to a new record high.
Gold analysis: Rising yields could send metal below $2,000 again
The opportunity cost of holding gold rises with bond yields on the rise on stronger and amid a racier US equity market. Gold technical analysis suggests a potential break below $2015 could initiate renewed selling pressure
S&P500 Forecast: SPX hits a record high after Nvidia earnings
S&P 500 rises to a fresh all time high after blowout Nvidia results. Nvidia posed a 265% rise in revenue and a 769% rise in net earnings sending the share price 13% higher. Note that profits are rising by more than the share price! The market is overlooking US jobless claims which fell to 201k, supporting the Fed's view that it is too early to cut rates.
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EUR/USD analysis: Dollar weakness could be temporary
Eurozone PMIs mixed as focus turns to US data. The dollar weakness is not fundamentally justified, though, which means the EUR/USD may weaken again. EUR/USD technical analysis: 1.0890-1.0900 is key resistance
DAX, USD/JPY Forecast: Two trades to watch
DAX rises to a record all-time high after Nvidia results & despite mixed PMIs, USD/JPY consolidates around 150.00 ahead of US PMIs & post FOMC minutes.
DAX futures, Nikkei 225 hit record highs: European open
It was a lively session for equity traders in Asia on Thursday, with the Nikkei 225 and DAX futures hitting record highs. The Nikkei made its inevitable run to 39k and touched a record high, by a cat's whisker.
Hang Seng, China A50 seeking fresh bullish catalysts to power market recovery
China’s state-endorsed equity market recovery continues to go from strength to strength, building upon a lengthy and growing list of measures being rolled out by policymakers designed to coerce traders into buying. Perhaps the broader bear market trend may be coming to an end?
Ducks have lined up for Nikkei 225 to test its 1989 high
If there was ever a day for Japan’s Nikkei 225 to overcome its demons and take out the record high set in December 1989, few screen better than today. The ducks look to have lined up for bulls. If we can’t set a new peak, it may provide a subtle warning that the market has run too hard, too fast.
AUD/JPY nears 17-month high, ASX 200 looks set to bounce: Asian Open
AUD/JPY has fast approached a pivotal level to hint that an eventual breakout could be on the cards, even if not immediately. The ASX 200 looks sets to bounce after positive earning from Nvidia lifted Wall Street futures after market hours.
Japanese Yen Intervention Watch: USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Technical Analysis
USD/JPY is consolidating while EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY remain in healthy uptrends.
Crude oil analysis – February 21, 2024
Technical levels and factors on Brent discussed in this article, ahead of the publication of global PMIs and crude inventories data, which could provide catalyst for a potential breakout.
Nasdaq 100 Forecast: QQQ slips ahead of FOMC minutes, Nvidia earnings
US stocks are heading for a weaker open as investors look cautiously ahead to the release of the minutes to the January FOMC meeting and to Nvidia earnings after the close. Investors will be looking to see whether the minutes push back on rate be expectations and whether Nvidia, the AI chipmaking giant can live up to the hype surrounding its stock and a future with AI.
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