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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Fresh 4-Year High on Trump Tariffs

USD/CAD set a fresh four-year-high late in the week and bulls retain control as President-elect Trump is set to be inaugurated on Monday.

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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Breakout Looms as Trump Takes Office

USD/CAD is poised for a breakout with the January opening-range intact ahead of President Trump’s inauguration. Battle lines drawn on the USD/CAD weekly technical chart.

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EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF Struggling for Direction as Rate Links Fray

A string of failed breakouts in USD/CAD, USD/CHF and EUR/USD despite soft US inflation and big declines in Treasury yields should have traders questioning whether dollar dominance is over.

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US Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Susceptible to Test of Monthly Low

USD/CAD may threaten the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (1.4175) if it fails to defend the monthly low (1.4280).

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By : David Song
January 15, 2025 05:30 PM

Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Breakout Imminent

The USD/CAD rally extended into uptrend resistance with the January opening-range set just below. Battle lines drawn on the USD/CAD short-term technical charts.

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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD - Trump, Trudeau, Tiff and Tariffs

USD/CAD hasn’t yet set a fresh high in 2025 even as U.S. Dollar strength has continued. The pair matched its largest down-day in a year after news of Justin Trudeau’s resignation.

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EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD levels heading into NFP

I doubt we’ll be seeing too much weakness in December’s NFP figures later today, and that could prompt another bid for the USD. But with Trump likely to revive his disdain for a strong dollar, perhaps a pullback is not too far away.

US Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Stages Three-Day Rally

USD/CAD attempts to retraces the decline from the start of the week as it stages a three-day rally.

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By : David Song
January 9, 2025 06:00 PM

USD/CAD Update: The Canadian Dollar Remains Weak Amid Political Uncertainty

Despite the recovery shown by the Canadian dollar two sessions ago, the balance has now shifted 0.5% higher in favor of the U.S. dollar, keeping USD/CAD near levels not seen in the past four years.

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U.S. Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, SPX

The U.S. Dollar just finished its strongest quarter in nine years, and stock prices remain elevated, as well. This sets the stage for a volatile 2025 as explained in this webinar.

Canadian Dollar Forecast: PM Trudeau Resigns, USD/CAD Uptrend Intact

USD/CAD is bouncing off its lows after Canadian PM Trudeau resigned, triggering a leadership race and likely early federal election.

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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Strength on Trump Tariff Threat

USD/CAD finished the year above 1.4000 for the first time since 2002. Threats of tariffs from President-elect Trump have had a big impact in USD/CAD, but this can also bring risk to the U.S. side of the equation.

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USD/CAD Rebound Pushes RSI Back Towards Overbought Zone

USD/CAD extends the rebound from the weekly low (1.4338) to push the Relative strength Index (RSI) back towards overbought territory.

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By : David Song
January 2, 2025 08:32 PM
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Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD into 2025, Trump Tariff Threat Looms

USD/CAD is closing out its strongest year since 2015. But that prior episode led to a mean-reverting market that held for the next nine years.

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USD/CAD Breakout: Insights on Extremes in Sentiment & Momentum

While the Trump bump may have been the catalyst, the USD/CAD rally was largely driven by extremes in both sentiment and momentum. A breakdown of the Loonie breakout.

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Canadian Dollar Technical Forecast: USD/CAD Breakout Unfolds

USD/CAD surged to fresh yearly highs - bulls vulnerable into major resistance. Battle lines drawn on the weekly technical chart.

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AUD/USD, USD/CAD, NZD/USD: Commodity Currencies Hitch a Ride on China’s Yield Curve Rollercoaster

Commodity currencies are dancing to the tune of Chinese bond yields, with AUD/USD, USD/CAD, and NZD/USD locked in striking correlations. The Fed’s dot plot may stir the pot later today, but China’s yield curve rollercoaster isn’t slowing down anytime soon.

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December 18, 2024 01:40 AM

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USD/CAD Pullback Keeps RSI Below Overbought Territory

USD/CAD pulls back from a fresh yearly high (1.4271) to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below overbought territory

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By : David Song
December 16, 2024 04:00 PM
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Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Highs, Trump Tariff Threat Drives

Tariff threats have weakened the CAD and strengthened the US Dollar, but it seems that Trump is joking while Canadian Premiers have started to propose pre-emptive threats.

Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Climbs to Fresh Yearly High

USD/CAD trades to a fresh yearly high (1.4200) as it retraces the decline following the Bank of Canada (BoC) meeting.

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By : David Song
December 12, 2024 05:10 PM
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Canadian Dollar: CAD Rate Cut Rally, but Trump Tariff Threat Looms

USD/CAD has found resistance just inside of the 1.4200 handle but the looming threat of tariffs from the U.S. has produced ‘major new uncertainty’ for Canada and investors have responded by continued selling of CAD.

BOC Recap: USD/CAD Drops as Macklem Hints at Gradual Cuts in 2025

USD/CAD fell back toward key horizontal support near 141.00 as BOC Governor Macklem hinted at a 2025 pause in the interest rate cutting cycle

Canadian Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD/CAD Bulls Brace for BoC

The USD/CAD rally extended into uptrend resistance ahead of tomorrow’s Bank of Canada rate decision. Battle lines drawn on the USD/CAD short-term charts.