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Australian Dollar Short-term Outlook: AUD/USD Coils into Support

Australian Dollar is poised for a breakout with AUD/USD coiling just above support near the yearly lows. Battle lines drawn on the Aussie short-term technical charts.

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AUD/JPY, AUD/USD drop like a tonne of BRICS

I thought we might make it a bit closer to 2025 before the selloff an anticipated selloff on AUD/JPY unfolded. But we're reminded that Trump can make or break sentiment on a whim with his eye now on BRICS countries, which saw AUD/USD fall alongside the FX barometer of risk on Monday.

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AUD/USD Approaches November Low with Australia GDP on Tap

AUD/USD approaches the November low (0.6434) as it gives back a three-day rally.

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Forex Seasonality – December 2024: Can EUR/USD and AUD/USD Rally?

EUR/USD and AUD/USD are heading into their strongest month, hinting at rally potential after November drops.

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Bullish bets on the yen continue to gain traction: COT report

We may have seen an important swing low on the yen looking at the change of speculative market positioning. And that could see a much deeper pullback on USD/JPY.

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AUD/USD weekly outlook: Can seasonality save the Aussie?

AUD/USD has done a poor job of tracking its seasonality overall this year so far. And given it’s taking its directional cue from China while any pullback on the USD may be limited, I'm not hanging my hat on a particularly strong December for AUD/USD.

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AUD slammed on Trump tariffs, even though we’ve seen this movie before

True to his campaign promise, Trump is playing hardball with tariffs. But will he deliver, or is this simply a classic Trump-bargaining chip? Regardless, AUD/USD is getting caught up in the headlines.

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Trump tariff threat roils markets: USD surges, CAD, AUD, NZD sink

Trump’s tariff threats send shockwaves through markets, driving the USD higher as trade-reliant currencies plunge. USD/CAD breaks to pandemic highs, while AUD and NZD reel from fears of escalating protectionism.

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November 26, 2024 12:42 AM
Research

Yen futures gain bullish traction, bears weigh on EUR/USD: COT report

While traders pushed net-long exposure to the USD to a 20-week high, there is also been a notable pickup of long yen bets. They're also piling into EUR/USD shorts, which is why I continue to suspect USD/JPY and EUR/USD may converge and move lower.

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AUD/USD weekly outlook: With speculative vols rising, a low may have been seen

AUD/USD managed to recoup some of its post-US-election losses last week. And given it held up against the might USD strength while futures data shows volumes rising for the first week in seven, I suspect an important swing low has been seen.

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Australian Dollar Technical Forecast: AUD/USD Bulls Vulnerable

Australian Dollar snapped back to a key pivot zone and the rebound remains vulnerable into the monthly close. Battle lines drawn on the AUD/USD weekly technical chart.

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US Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Recovery Keeps Yearly Range Intact

AUD/USD may further retrace the decline from the monthly high (0.6688) to hold within the yearly range.

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By : David Song
November 20, 2024 08:15 PM

AUD, CAD, NZD lead the pack as commodity-FX bounce enters third day

Hot CPI from Canada, a rise of geopolitical tensions and increased threat of tariffs played nicely for commodity FX bulls, with AUD, CAD and NZD leading the pack among FX majors on Tuesday. And there could be some wriggle room for further gains.

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AUD/USD rebound hinges on US yield stability and China market upside

Stability in US bond yields may offer AUD/USD rare respite this week. However, with strong ties to commodity prices and Hang Seng futures, the Aussie remains closely linked to China’s economic outlook. Here’s why both factors may need to align to fuel a recovery in the pair.

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November 18, 2024 04:10 AM
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US Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Halts Bearish Price Series

AUD/USD appears to be halting the selloff from the start of the week as it no longer carves a series of lower highs and lows.

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By : David Song
November 15, 2024 06:55 PM
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AUD/USD sinks to new lows as focus shifts to Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD has hit fresh lows despite in-line US inflation data, increasing the risk of a deeper drop. Attention now turns to Australia’s jobs report, a notoriously noisy series that could produce anything. With bearish momentum growing, traders will be eyeing a potential retest of key uptrend support.

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November 13, 2024 09:44 PM
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AUD/USD Vulnerable amid Break Below November Opening Range

AUD/USD breaks below the opening range for November to register a fresh monthly low (0.6480).

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By : David Song
November 13, 2024 06:00 PM

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Australian Dollar Short-term Outlook: AUD/USD Bears Go for the Break

Australian Dollar plunged 2.5% off the post-election high with Aussie now threatening a multi-month uptrend. Battle lines drawn on the AUD/USD technical charts.

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AUD/USD, USD/CNH: Weakening yuan puts Aussie on track for reversal zone retest

The Aussie’s got its eyes on the yuan. With USD/CNH pushing higher, the Aussie’s set for a potential bounce – or a big drop.

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November 12, 2024 06:06 AM
Research

AU consumer, business sentiment improves ahead of key jobs report

With Australia’s business and consumer sentiment rising, CPI ‘too high’ for the RBA and now Trump preparing his cabinet for inflationary policies and potential trade wars, the RBA could be closer to a hike than a cut. And another bumper employment report from Australia this week could strengthen those odds.

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November 12, 2024 03:35 AM
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AUD/USD weekly outlook:

AUD/USD snapped a 5-week losing streak with a marginal 0.3% gain. But it was the most volatile week since April thanks to the US election, and volatility is expected to remain elevated.

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AUD/USD, NZD/USD surge as traders bet big on supersized China stimulus

AUD/USD and NZD/USD soared on Thursday, driven by speculation of a massive ¥12 trillion China stimulus package. Rumours of bold measures to boost consumption sent risk assets rallying, but traders are now eyeing the Politburo for confirmation. With no set announcement time, Friday's decision could make or break the recent surge in Aussie and Kiwi.

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November 7, 2024 10:05 PM
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Australian Dollar Technical Forecast: AUD/USD Bulls Emerge Ahead of Fed

Australian Dollar is poised to mark a fourth-weekly decline with AUD/USD plummeting more than 4.5% off the yearly high. Battle lines drawn on the weekly technical chart.