Matt Simpson

Matt Simpson financial analyst

Matt Simpson

Market Analyst

Expertise: FX Macro, Technical Analysis, Sentiment

Trading Style: Mean reversion/inflection points, the occasional trend


Experience:

• Over 10 years analysis and trading forex, indices, gold and oil, and worked for several brokers across the APAC region including Australia and Singapore

• Experienced in system design and testing, professional trade signals, trade coaching and education

• Regularly quoted in the financial media such as Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC

• A certified financial technician (CFTe) and hold a diploma of the Society of Technical Analysts (MSTA)


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S&P 500 forecast: A closer look at ‘Santa’s rally’

Santa’s rally refers to the tendency for equity markets to rally into the end of the year. Today we take a closer look at this phenomenon on the S&P 500.

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Today 04:09 AM
Research

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, gold, crude oil analysis: COT report

The commitment of traders (COT) report shows how large speculators are positioned across futures markets on the CME exchange.

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Gold eyes record high, ASX probes resistance: Asian Open

Gold took full advantage of lower yields on Friday to accelerate into its record high, leaving the question as to whether it can break above this key milestone or present us with a desirable pullback first. The ASX 200 is also considering a break above its 200-day MA.

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December 3, 2023 10:25 PM
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Nonfarm payroll, ISM, BOC and RBA on tap: The Week Ahead – Dec 1, 2023

With traders more than happy to price in Fed cuts for 2024 where possible, they will be looking for further signs that the US economy is slowing but at a rate that does not scream recession. And this places US ISM services and the nonfarm payroll report into the limelight next week. China’s trade data and inflation figures may reveal whether Beijing need to step up support for the economy yet again. And whilst the RBA and BOC are expected to hold the cash rate steady at their monetary policy meetings, their statements may indicate how much of an appetite there is for further hikes in Q1.

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December 1, 2023 06:08 AM
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AUD monthly wrap: December 2023

AUD/USD was the strongest performer among the Aussie pairs we track in November. A combination of hawkish RBA alongside bets of Fed cuts in 2024 played nicely with our long bias. What will December bring?

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December 1, 2023 03:59 AM
Gold bars article image for an article on Precious metals and Gold

Gold on a sec… gold just posted its highest monthly close on record

Gold just posted its highest monthly close on record, and now trades less than $40 from its record high set in May. With seasonality on its side, I suspect another crack at the record high could be in order. Although it does run the risk of a shakeout around the milestone level.

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December 1, 2023 01:16 AM

EUR/USD hits major resistance ahead of US inflation: European open

With inflation data for Europe and the US in today's European session, we take a look at EUR/USD to identify key levels and a directional bias.

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November 30, 2023 04:52 AM
Downward trend

AUD/USD, gold stall around key levels ahead of US inflation: Asian Open

The US PCE inflation report is arguably the event of the week, and with traders having vigorously sold the US dollar ahead of it I am left wondering if it is a case of ‘sell the rumour, buy the fact’ – especially if it comes on hot. And with AUD/USD and gold stalling around key levels on Wednesday, the potential for mean reversion seems apparent.

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November 29, 2023 10:40 PM
Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

EUR/USD, USD/JPY implied vols rise ahead CPI and GDP data: European Open

With a host of inflation data from Europe and GDP data for the US, implied volatility has picked up to wake markets up from their post-Thanksgiving lull. Today we take a look at USD/JPY and EUR/USD for a potential setup.

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November 29, 2023 04:52 AM
Multiple Euro bank notes in 20€, 50€ and 100€

NZ dollar takes flight as RBNZ strike a hawkish tone (NZD/USD, AUD/NZD)

Whilst the RBNZ were expected to hold, their statement struck a hawkish tone by stating that “inflation remains too high”. And with traders front-loading a weak CPI print for the US later this week it has catapulted the New Zealand dollar higher.

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November 29, 2023 02:12 AM
Currency exchange rate board of multiple currencies

AUD/USD hits resistance pre-CPI as USD/JPY, USD/CNH probe support: Asian Open

With USD/CNH and USD/JPY probing key support levels, we may require a break of them for AUD/USD to stand a chance of continuing its strong rally (which met strong resistance on Tuesday). Unless of course Australia is treated to an uncomfortably hot inflation report today, which could fan fears of another RBA hike.

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November 28, 2023 09:46 PM