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Canadian dollar analysis: BOC surprises with a hike, USD/CAD falls to trendline support
USD/CAD is falling to test a key trend line after the BOC surprised markets with a 25bps interest rate increase
EUR/USD analysis: Cooler inflation fails to shift ECB hike bets
Investors’ focus now turns back to US data as speculation over whether the Fed will hike in June continues. Watch out for fresh EUR/USD analysis from the team as the data could shift Fed bets again.
Interest rate risk: what is it and how can you mitigate its impact?
Interest rate risk tells bond traders how much their portfolio will diminish when a central bank hikes its rates. Learn how to manage interest rate risk with diversification and hedging strategies.
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Japanese yen analysis: USD/JPY testing key support at 134.00
Despite today’s weakness in the greenback, USD/JPY is still holding above a short-term bullish trend line, as well as its 50- and 200-day EMAs in the 134.00 area
US dollar analysis: How sticky will core CPI be?
The Cleveland Fed’s widely-watched Inflation Nowcast suggests potential upside risk to the release...
US dollar analysis: Fed threads the needle, still sees no cuts
Powell appears to be threading the needle between leaving the door open for additional rate hikes while remaining responsive to the current banking stresses.
NZD/USD, AUD/NZD outlook: NZD pairs track headline inflation lower
New Zealander’s can breathe a sigh of relief that their rate of inflation is finally slowing, with both annual and quarterly CPI coming in much less than expected.
EUR/USD forecast: Traders eye 1.10 on softer US inflation data
The weaker US inflation data supports our bullish EURUSD forecast: We think that the single currency is likely heading above $1.10 soon.
Gold outlook: US inflation in focus
Today’s US inflation report could be the difference between a 25bp Fed hike or pause at their May meeting, making it a key data point to watch.
The Hang Seng rises on soft inflation data from China
China’s consumer and producer prices continued to deflate in March, which helped further boost sentiment in today’s Asian session.
European Open: Swiss inflation, flash PMI and ISM manufacturing reports in focus
Oil prices have stabilised following OPEC’s surprise oil production cut, which now allows traders to switch their focus over to Swiss inflation, flash PMI and ISM reports.
Australia's softer inflation could see the RBA hold rates next week
AUD pairs are broadly lower as inflation falls to 6.8% y/y (7.1% expected), bolstering expectations that the RBA will hold rates at their April meeting.
A guide to the banking crisis: What happened and what comes next?
Markets have been rocked by the biggest banking crisis since the 2008 financial crash.
BoE lifts interest rates to highest since 2008
A 25-basis point rate hike was mostly priced in, especially in light of the latest inflation data that was released on Wednesday
GBP/JPY extends recovery as hot CPI boosts BoE hike odds
The GBP/JPY has been supported by a double dose of bullish factors this week.
European Open: UK inflation up next, then focus shifts to the FOMC meeting
Today’s UK inflation print could be the difference between a final 25bp hike from the BOE tomorrow, or a pause. Then our attention turns to the FOMC meeting.
Fed meeting preview: Dollar Index at 1-month lows ahead of tight decision
We agree with the market’s expectation that Jerome Powell and company are likely to deliver a 25bps interest rate hike this month, though we certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see the central bank hold fire for now.
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US CPI recap: GBP/USD holds above 200-day EMA as inflation meets expectations
The report printed in line with expectations at 6.0% y/y, the smallest annualized gain since September 2021
SVB collapse explained: What happened and what comes next?
How did SVB collapse and what does it mean for financial markets?
European Open: USD drifts higher ahead of US CPI, DAX implied volatility spikes
The US dollar was higher overnight as it recouped some of the week’s losses, with the US 2 and 5-year yields mean reverted higher.
US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37
In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...
EU stocks remain lower after hot Eurozone CPI
Core inflation rose to a fresh record high of 5.6%...
Canada Q4 GDP worse than expected, but January starting on the right foot
The Canadian GDP was much worse than expected, however the GDP Price Deflator was also weak.