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Canadian dollar analysis: BOC surprises with a hike, USD/CAD falls to trendline support

USD/CAD is falling to test a key trend line after the BOC surprised markets with a 25bps interest rate increase

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June 7, 2023 03:24 PM
Research

EUR/USD analysis: Cooler inflation fails to shift ECB hike bets

Investors’ focus now turns back to US data as speculation over whether the Fed will hike in June continues. Watch out for fresh EUR/USD analysis from the team as the data could shift Fed bets again.

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Interest rate risk: what is it and how can you mitigate its impact?

Interest rate risk tells bond traders how much their portfolio will diminish when a central bank hikes its rates. Learn how to manage interest rate risk with diversification and hedging strategies.

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May 25, 2023 12:30 PM

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Japanese yen analysis: USD/JPY testing key support at 134.00

Despite today’s weakness in the greenback, USD/JPY is still holding above a short-term bullish trend line, as well as its 50- and 200-day EMAs in the 134.00 area

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May 10, 2023 05:43 PM

US dollar analysis: How sticky will core CPI be?

The Cleveland Fed’s widely-watched Inflation Nowcast suggests potential upside risk to the release...

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May 9, 2023 05:58 PM
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US dollar analysis: Fed threads the needle, still sees no cuts

Powell appears to be threading the needle between leaving the door open for additional rate hikes while remaining responsive to the current banking stresses.

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May 3, 2023 08:31 PM
Research

NZD/USD, AUD/NZD outlook: NZD pairs track headline inflation lower

New Zealander’s can breathe a sigh of relief that their rate of inflation is finally slowing, with both annual and quarterly CPI coming in much less than expected.

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April 20, 2023 01:30 AM
Forex trading

EUR/USD forecast: Traders eye 1.10 on softer US inflation data

The weaker US inflation data supports our bullish EURUSD forecast: We think that the single currency is likely heading above $1.10 soon.

April 12, 2023 02:39 PM
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Gold outlook: US inflation in focus

Today’s US inflation report could be the difference between a 25bp Fed hike or pause at their May meeting, making it a key data point to watch.

Research

The Hang Seng rises on soft inflation data from China

China’s consumer and producer prices continued to deflate in March, which helped further boost sentiment in today’s Asian session.

Research

European Open: Swiss inflation, flash PMI and ISM manufacturing reports in focus

Oil prices have stabilised following OPEC’s surprise oil production cut, which now allows traders to switch their focus over to Swiss inflation, flash PMI and ISM reports.

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April 3, 2023 05:37 AM
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Australia's softer inflation could see the RBA hold rates next week

AUD pairs are broadly lower as inflation falls to 6.8% y/y (7.1% expected), bolstering expectations that the RBA will hold rates at their April meeting.

BoE lifts interest rates to highest since 2008

A 25-basis point rate hike was mostly priced in, especially in light of the latest inflation data that was released on Wednesday

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GBP/JPY extends recovery as hot CPI boosts BoE hike odds

The GBP/JPY has been supported by a double dose of bullish factors this week.

Research

European Open: UK inflation up next, then focus shifts to the FOMC meeting

Today’s UK inflation print could be the difference between a final 25bp hike from the BOE tomorrow, or a pause. Then our attention turns to the FOMC meeting.

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March 22, 2023 05:47 AM
Research

Fed meeting preview: Dollar Index at 1-month lows ahead of tight decision

We agree with the market’s expectation that Jerome Powell and company are likely to deliver a 25bps interest rate hike this month, though we certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see the central bank hold fire for now.

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US CPI recap: GBP/USD holds above 200-day EMA as inflation meets expectations

The report printed in line with expectations at 6.0% y/y, the smallest annualized gain since September 2021

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March 14, 2023 02:05 PM
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European Open: USD drifts higher ahead of US CPI, DAX implied volatility spikes

The US dollar was higher overnight as it recouped some of the week’s losses, with the US 2 and 5-year yields mean reverted higher.

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March 14, 2023 05:10 AM
Research

US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37

In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...

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March 13, 2023 02:54 PM
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EU stocks remain lower after hot Eurozone CPI

Core inflation rose to a fresh record high of 5.6%...

Currency prices

Canada Q4 GDP worse than expected, but January starting on the right foot

The Canadian GDP was much worse than expected, however the GDP Price Deflator was also weak.

February 28, 2023 03:05 PM