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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Tech Rally Pauses for Breather as Index Hits Resistance

Today, the Nasdaq 100 reached a new milestone, climbing above 20K for the first time ever before retreating.

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June 20, 2024 06:39 PM
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USD/CHF traders are nervous of being ‘caught short’ ahead of SNB

Futures traders may be heavily net-short Swiss Francs, but the rapid rise of the currency this week ahead of the SNB meeting suggests some are wary of being caught short a less-dovish central bank.


Hang Seng leads the way, ASX and China A50 set to follow?

The Hang Seng enjoyed its best day in three months. And with key support levels for the China A50 and ASX 200 holding, perhaps they can try to close the gap this week.

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FTSE 100 Forecast Boosted by CPI and Crude Rally Ahead of Elections

The FTSE moved moderately higher after the UK’s inflation rate fell to the Bank of England’s 2% target ahead of for the central bank’s rate section on Thursday.

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June 19, 2024 01:00 PM
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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Papa Dow Diverges from SPX and NDX

The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 look tired as bad economic news is no longer good news for the stock market as traders worry the Fed is falling behind the curve.

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China A50 could be teeing up for a rebound, Nikkei 225 remains trapped

The China A50 has shown early signs of stabilising around support levels after a 4-week decline. The bear case for the Nikkei is not dead, but it may be sleeping whilst it remains rangebound on the weekly chart.

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June 18, 2024 03:12 AM
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AUD/USD looks set to pop higher, Nikkei and Nasdaq diverge

Forex markets mostly retraced against Wednesday's CPI and FOMC moves. And that may have set AUD/USD up nicely for a cheeky long into the weekend. The Nikkei however is down for a third day after failing below key resistance levels.


S&P 500 forecast: Tech stocks continue to defy gravity

Supporting stocks today was news of another weaker-than-expected inflation report. Treasury yields fell as a slowdown in producer prices measure of inflation bolstered the case for the Federal Reserve to cut rates this year.

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June 13, 2024 03:00 PM

USD/JPY, Nikkei pause at resistance as US CPI, FOMC looms: Asian Open

The next 24 hours will be the eight time in 10 years that a US CPI report lands on the same day as an FOMC meeting, and it has traders on tenterhooks. Today we look at USD/JPY, Nikkei 225 and the ASX 200.

DAX forecast dims amid fallout from EU elections

We have seen further widening of the bond yield spreads between German and French debt today. Investors are clearly worried about a sustained period of political uncertainty and are therefore seeking haven assets and reducing their risk exposure.

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June 11, 2024 02:30 PM

USD, GBP/USD, Gold, Crude Oil Analysis: COT report

Traders may have reduced net-long exposure to USD futures in aggregate, but they remain net-long and a bullish reversal week formed on the USD index. We also take a look at GBP/USD, gold, WTI crude oil and US indices positioning (S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100).


Nasdaq 100 forecast: Will AI optimism fuel breakout in Apple?

US technology stocks extended their gains shortly after the open on Wall Street, helping the Nasdaq 100 to add to Wednesday's surge to new record highs, before pulling back slightly on profit-taking ahead of Friday’s key US jobs report.


ASX 200 looks set to benefit from Wall Street’s record highs: Asian Open

Soft employment data saw Wall Street march to a record high on bets of a soft NFP report, and that should filter through to gains for the ASX 200 today.

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June 6, 2024 12:02 AM

USD/HKD holds the clues for the Hang Seng’s next move

The inverted relationship between USD/HKD and the Hang Seng remains strong. And with the latter retracing -92% over the past month and risk of the US dollar falling further, perhaps the Hang Seng is due a bounce.


VIX logs wild swings in open interest (again), S&P 500 seeks direction

It is the second week in a row that open interest on VIX futures notched up a volatile swing, according to the latest COT report. If the VIX can remain low, perhaps we'll see the S&P 500 reach new highs, unless US economic data deteriorates too quickly and rings recessionary bells.

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June 4, 2024 03:33 AM

Nikkei 225 tracks Wall Street higher, gold bears eye another drop

Asian indices were quick to rally out of the gate on Monday after a strong lead from Wall Street, sending Nikkei futures 1% higher. Gold looks worse for wear and we eye a potential move down to $2300.

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June 3, 2024 03:33 AM
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Nasdaq 100 forecast: Stocks drop ahead of busy week

Friday’s Core PCE data failed to reduce fears over "higher for longer" narrative on interest rates, ahead of a busy week for economic events. Risk appetite is also waning amid a lack of major fresh bullish catalysts.

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ASX 200, Nikkei 225 futures diverge from Wall Street: Asian Open

Downwardly revised GDP for the US in Q1 weighed on Wall Street indices ahead of a key inflation report, yet the ASX and Nikkei managed to bounce form their lows. We look at where we think they might head next.

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S&P 500 outlook starting to turn a little bearish

Concerns over prolonged high interest rates have started to undermine stocks a little, with risk appetite waning amid a lack of major fresh bullish catalysts ahead of Friday’s publication of core PCE price index. A potential close below 5250 today could turn the S&P 500 outlook bearish in the short-term perspective.

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May 30, 2024 05:00 PM
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USD, Wall Street, gold: Risk seems to be falling apart at the seams

I suspect we're seeing the early moves of a pullback of appetite for risk in general, which saw traders push Wall Street indices and gold lower on Wednesday thanks to weak treasury demand. And it seems to be paving the way for the next leg higher for the USD.

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S&P 500 outlook is starting to turn slightly negative

With a lack of any fresh bullish stimulus and following months of solid gains, we could see a bit of a correction. So, in my opinion, the S&P 500 outlook is not looking too great at current levels and without a sizeable correction.

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May 29, 2024 05:25 PM

The Nikkei 225 has been added to my watch (out below) list

The Nikkei has been grinding higher in recent weeks, but with momentum turning lower at resistance and asset managers are increasing longs, perhaps it's ready for a leg or two lower.

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May 29, 2024 07:30 AM

These S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones ‘rallies’ look made to fade

We have four full trading days left in the month, and odds favour another bullish month for US indices. However, price action on the daily timeframe has alerted me to a potential pullback, while VIX futures and market positioning are also sending smoke signals to be aware of.

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May 28, 2024 04:01 AM