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USD, yields rise into next week’s PCE inflation: The Week Ahead

It was a more eventful week than anticipated, thanks to hotter PMI data across Europe and the US, serving as a reminder that inflationary pressures persist. And puts traders on high alert for flash CPI and PCE inflation reports for Europe and the US.

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May 24, 2024 04:46 AM
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USD/JPY 155 in focus around US inflation, BOJ meeting: The Week Ahead

155 has become the latest 'glass ceiling' for the rapid rise of USD/JPY. And with a key US inflation report, BOJ meeting and potential for risk-off sentiment next week, this key level could be tested and prompt a response from Japan's central authorities.

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April 19, 2024 07:01 AM
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S&P 500 rally threatened as geopolitics enters the ring: The Week Ahead

Tensions surrounding the Middle East has unsettled markets. US indices such as the S&P 500 are on track for their worst week of the year, crude oil reached a fresh YTD high and the risk-off sentiment was even enough to knock gold from its record. Traders therefore need to be on guard for headline risks surrounding the Middle East next week, alongside the usual bouts of economic data and central bank meetings.

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AUD/USD outlook: RBNZ, US and AU CPI to drive the Australian dollar

It could be an interesting week for the Australian dollar if caught between the crossfire of the RBNZ meeting, Fed talk and US inflation data. We also have an Australian inflation report to throw into the mix for good measure.

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February 25, 2024 08:00 AM
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US dollar weakness might be short lived: The Week Ahead

The US dollar shows the potential to retrace some of the week's losses in light of hawkish Fed comments. Although attention now shifts to the US PCE inflation report, Australian CPI and RBNZ interest rate decision and press conference.

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February 23, 2024 05:43 AM
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Bonds could trump data next week if yields keep surging: The Week Ahead

The most notable reaction following the latest FOMC meeting was the reaction of bond markets, which continued to plunge and send yields higher. Not even the US dollar could extend its rally meaningfully despite the rise of yields. But global stock markets certainly took notice and fell in tandem as investors finally took the Fed seriously that interest rates are likely to remain higher for longer. So whilst we have US PCE inflation, consumer sentiment, GDP, retail sales and the likes of China PMIs and Australian CPI, it is likely to be how bond yields behave next week as to how important these economic data points become.

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September 22, 2023 10:50 PM
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PCE inflation, NFP and ISM manufacturing in focus: The Week Ahead – 25/08/2023

It's the last trading week of August, and it's fair to say that market conditions were more volatile and eventful than this time of year tends to provide. At the time of writing, we're yet to hear what Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say, but it could certainly set the tone for next week's trade. And there is no shortage of data to kick off September, including US PCE inflation, GDP, and the ISM manufacturing survey. Final PMIs are also published for the US, UK, Europe, Japan, and Australia. And incoming RBA Governor Bullock speaks, and a host of Australian data includes CPI, retail sales, home loans, and capex.

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August 27, 2023 12:13 AM
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European Open: Traders to get another inflation fix ahead of the weekend

Markets cannot get enough of US inflation data at present and what it means for the Fed. And that means today’s PCE figures are now likely the more important.

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February 24, 2023 05:48 AM
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ECI and PCE are hot for June. What does it mean for the Fed?

Today’s inflation data was higher than expected and the Fed is walking a thin line between lowering inflation and pushing growth lower.

July 29, 2022 04:43 PM
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US Core PCE: Will it cause US Fed members to change their views?

US Core PCE is said to be the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation

June 25, 2021 11:49 AM
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European Open: Mild Optimism Ahead of Core PCE, GBP/CHF Back Within Range

US inflation data is the main data point in today’s calendar, but there was a mild risk-on tone across equity and FX markets thanks to US infrastructure bill.

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Core PCE jumps to highest level in 25 years: DXY, EUR/USD

The Core PCE Price Index is said to be one of the Fed’s favorite inflation indicators

May 28, 2021 11:19 AM
Forex trading

[VIDEO] More inflation data pushing USD/JPY higher

If yields rise, USD/JPY is likely to follow given the current positive correlation.

February 26, 2021 11:05 AM

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