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S&P 500, DJIA, Gold: How 40+ Years of Fed Rate Cuts Have Impacted Stock Markets and Gold

The start of a new Fed rate cut cycle doesn’t necessarily lead to the “obvious” bullish reaction in the S&P 500 and DJIA that the “don’t fight the Fed” mantra would have you believe... read on to see the actual data!

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FOMC Meeting Recap: Fed Chair Powell Deems March Rate Cut "Unlikely," Boosting Buck Toward YTD Highs

Powell pushes back against market pricing for a March rate hike - what's next for the Fed?

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January 31, 2024 08:05 PM
Gold nuggets

Gold Analysis: Will US CPI Crush Hopes of a November Fed Hike?

A soft inflation report this week may put the proverbial “nail in the coffin” for any immediate interest rate changes...

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British Pound Analysis: GBP/USD Bulls Boosted by Bets on BOE Bazooka

GBP/USD is approaching near-term resistance around 1.2800 ahead of tomorrow’s retail sales report...

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Fed Meeting Instant Analysis: USD/JPY Slips as Fed Flips Fully Data Dependent

USD/JPY edges lower after Fed Chair Powell emphasizes patience...

Research

GBP/USD rallies to the mid-1.21s, despite big bets on a 6% Fed rate

One trader amassed a large position in options that would make $135 million if the central bank keeps tightening until September!

Research

European Open: Implied volatility spikes, BOJ gets active ahead of FOMC

Rising yields ahead of the FOMC meeting has seen the BOJ announce bond purchases, and implied volatility has risen notably for the next 24-hours.

Research

The SNB could surprise (again) with a larger than expected hike

The SNB (Swiss National Bank) are expected to hike interest rates tomorrow, which would send their rate above zero for the first time since 2011.

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Central banks current monetary policy - Where to next?

Major central banks around the world, except for the BOJ, are in tightening mode on the back of increasing inflation.

June 22, 2022 06:46 PM
Forex trading

Fixed vs floating exchange rates – what’s the difference?

A fixed exchange rate describes when a currency’s value is pegged to a stronger, more influential currency. By contrast, a floating exchange rate allows a currency value to fluctuate with supply and demand. Both systems have pros and cons depending on a country’s economy.

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February 15, 2022 03:24 PM
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Forecasting 2022 inflation: Transitory no more?

The ongoing global inflationary pressure stems from two primary causes: Economic stimulus and supply chain disruptions - how will they evolve in 2022?

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Three key questions every trader should be asking about inflation…and how to trade it

Both the current supply chain disruptions and the highly-accommodative economic policies are poised to ease, though perhaps not until closer to the middle of 2022...

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November 16, 2021 08:20 PM
Research

ECB recap: Lagarde drives EUR/USD to new October highs

Ms. Lagarde's strongest statement was around the PEPP purchases ending in March, making the statement more hawkish than anticipated

ECB Preview: Lagarde to be dovish as she drives home strategic review

“The formulation removes any possible ambiguity and resolutely conveys that 2% is not a ceiling”

July 20, 2021 01:29 PM
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What is a repo? Repurchasing agreements explained

The repo market has gathered significant attention recently after the Fed’s purchases hit a record of half a trillion dollars. But is a repo? And why does central bank action impact the market so much? Find out below.

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June 17, 2021 05:35 AM

FOMC Preview: More wait and see

Expectations are for the FOMC to continue to sing their same tune.

April 23, 2021 12:41 PM

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