Interest rates
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Canadian dollar analysis: BOC surprises with a hike, USD/CAD falls to trendline support
USD/CAD is falling to test a key trend line after the BOC surprised markets with a 25bps interest rate increase
Interest rate risk: what is it and how can you mitigate its impact?
Interest rate risk tells bond traders how much their portfolio will diminish when a central bank hikes its rates. Learn how to manage interest rate risk with diversification and hedging strategies.
US dollar analysis: Fed threads the needle, still sees no cuts
Powell appears to be threading the needle between leaving the door open for additional rate hikes while remaining responsive to the current banking stresses.
Why trade with City Index?
A guide to the banking crisis: What happened and what comes next?
Markets have been rocked by the biggest banking crisis since the 2008 financial crash.
BoE lifts interest rates to highest since 2008
A 25-basis point rate hike was mostly priced in, especially in light of the latest inflation data that was released on Wednesday
Fed meeting preview: Dollar Index at 1-month lows ahead of tight decision
We agree with the market’s expectation that Jerome Powell and company are likely to deliver a 25bps interest rate hike this month, though we certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see the central bank hold fire for now.
SVB collapse explained: What happened and what comes next?
How did SVB collapse and what does it mean for financial markets?
FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY
Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a full 50bps of interest rate cuts by the end of the year!
FOMC meeting preview: 50bps hike likely, but will the 2023 dots rise above 5%?
While there seems to be a clear consensus that the central bank should slow its pace of rate hikes, the ultimate question for this week’s meeting will revolve around the so-called “terminal rate,” or how high the Fed will have to push interest rates next year before pausing the rate hike cycle.
Markets looking for higher Central Bank terminal rates
Major central banks around the world have been hiking rates at an unprecedented pace in order to try and cap inflation, which in some countries is at or near 40-year highs.
How to use the currency carry trade strategy
A carry trade is a trading strategy that involves borrowing a low-yield currency and investing in a high-yielding asset to exploit the interest rate differential. Carry trades are most common in forex trading with traders borrowing the low interest Japanese yen to buy higher interest currencies. Learn what currency pairs work best and how to execute the strategy yourself in our full guide.
CPI recap: Core inflation surges, cementing a 75bps(+?) Fed hike next month
A total of at least 150bps of rate hikes by the end of the year is now the market’s base case as the Fed continues to scramble to catch up with rising prices.
CPI recap: Core inflation surges, cementing a 75bps(+?) Fed hike next month
A total of at least 150bps of rate hikes by the end of the year is now the market’s base case as the Fed continues to scramble to catch up with rising prices.
JPMorgan Q3 preview: Where next for JPM stock?
It is expected to be another tough quarter for JPMorgan, which has underperformed its banking rivals in 2022.
JPMorgan Q3 preview: Where next for JPM stock?
It is expected to be another tough quarter for JPMorgan, which has underperformed its banking rivals in 2022.
Morgan Stanley Q3 preview: Where next for MS stock?
Morgan Stanley has outperformed the wider banking industry this year and has more excess capital than its rivals.
Morgan Stanley Q3 preview: Where next for MS stock?
Morgan Stanley has outperformed the wider banking industry this year and has more excess capital than its rivals.
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Polish Central Bank keeps rates unchanged; Will more Central Banks pivot?
After pivots by the RBA and the National Bank of Poland, questions are swirling over which central bank will be the next to pivot?
Polish Central Bank keeps rates unchanged; Will more Central Banks pivot?
After pivots by the RBA and the National Bank of Poland, questions are swirling over which central bank will be the next to pivot?
FOMC meeting preview: 100bps unlikely, but longer rate hike path in play
In our view, the possibility of a 100bps rate hike is overblown...but that doesn't mean the Fed won't come off as hawkish.
ECB hawks out in force ahead of Eurozone CPI; EUR/GBP
Hawkish ECB speakers over the last few days, combined with the lack of BOE speakers, have sent EUR/GBP to its highest level since July 6th.
Pending Home Sales rounds out weaker housing data in US
If markets see the Fed cutting back the pace of rate hikes, we may see 10-year yields lower, and as a result, housing data may pick up again.
FOMC recap: Fed delivers 75bps, but Powell throws cold water on hawks
On balance, the Fed chief is coming off as relatively dovish...