Interest rates
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2024 Market Outlook: US Dollar in Focus as Central Banks Pivot
Why the US dollar could benefit from fewer rate cuts than expected following a relatively quiet 2023...
US Dollar Analysis: USD/JPY Dips Ahead of BOJ, Fed
USD/JPY is showing signs of rolling over, but remains in a longer-term uptrend ahead of the BOJ and Fed
US Dollar Analysis: Fed's Hawkish Hike Boosts Buck
The US dollar rises as the Fed still expects another rate hike and only two rate cuts next year
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Japanese Yen Analysis: Will USD/JPY Break its Short-Term Range?
USD/JPY is holding steady near its highest levels of the year, with traders watching the well-defined short-term range from 145.00-146.60...
Gold Price Analysis: Gold to See 6th Down Day as Real Yields Hit 14-Year Highs?
Gold is threatening to close lower for its 6th straight day, with potential to extend its drop toward $1865 before finding support...
British Pound Analysis: GBP/USD Bulls Boosted by Bets on BOE Bazooka
GBP/USD is approaching near-term resistance around 1.2800 ahead of tomorrow’s retail sales report...
Fed Meeting Instant Analysis: USD/JPY Slips as Fed Flips Fully Data Dependent
USD/JPY edges lower after Fed Chair Powell emphasizes patience...
US Dollar Analysis: GBP/USD Has a Look Below 1.2850 Support Ahead of the Fed
GBP/USD is trading at a two-week low under previous-resistance-turned-support at 1.2850, potentially opening the door for a deeper retracement if the Fed is hawkish
S&P 500 Analysis: Fed delivers a more “Hawkish Hold,” Stocks Slip
The S&P 500 is still holding this week’s breakout above key previous resistance in the 4325 area, keeping bullish hopes alive
Gold Analysis: Fed “Hawkish Hold” Likely, H2 Outlook Key
Gold is poised for a potential breakout around the Fed meeting after spending the last 4 weeks consolidating in a tight $50 range.
Canadian dollar analysis: BOC surprises with a hike, USD/CAD falls to trendline support
USD/CAD is falling to test a key trend line after the BOC surprised markets with a 25bps interest rate increase
Interest rate risk: what is it and how can you mitigate its impact?
Interest rate risk tells bond traders how much their portfolio will diminish when a central bank hikes its rates. Learn how to manage interest rate risk with diversification and hedging strategies.
US dollar analysis: Fed threads the needle, still sees no cuts
Powell appears to be threading the needle between leaving the door open for additional rate hikes while remaining responsive to the current banking stresses.
A guide to the banking crisis: What happened and what comes next?
Markets have been rocked by the biggest banking crisis since the 2008 financial crash.
BoE lifts interest rates to highest since 2008
A 25-basis point rate hike was mostly priced in, especially in light of the latest inflation data that was released on Wednesday
Fed meeting preview: Dollar Index at 1-month lows ahead of tight decision
We agree with the market’s expectation that Jerome Powell and company are likely to deliver a 25bps interest rate hike this month, though we certainly wouldn’t be shocked to see the central bank hold fire for now.
SVB collapse explained: What happened and what comes next?
How did SVB collapse and what does it mean for financial markets?
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FOMC meeting recap: Powell not hawkish enough, traders price in 50bps of cuts by EOY
Fed Funds futures traders are pricing in a full 50bps of interest rate cuts by the end of the year!
FOMC meeting preview: 50bps hike likely, but will the 2023 dots rise above 5%?
While there seems to be a clear consensus that the central bank should slow its pace of rate hikes, the ultimate question for this week’s meeting will revolve around the so-called “terminal rate,” or how high the Fed will have to push interest rates next year before pausing the rate hike cycle.
Markets looking for higher Central Bank terminal rates
Major central banks around the world have been hiking rates at an unprecedented pace in order to try and cap inflation, which in some countries is at or near 40-year highs.
How to use the currency carry trade strategy
A carry trade is a trading strategy that involves borrowing a low-yield currency and investing in a high-yielding asset to exploit the interest rate differential. Carry trades are most common in forex trading with traders borrowing the low interest Japanese yen to buy higher interest currencies. Learn what currency pairs work best and how to execute the strategy yourself in our full guide.
CPI recap: Core inflation surges, cementing a 75bps(+?) Fed hike next month
A total of at least 150bps of rate hikes by the end of the year is now the market’s base case as the Fed continues to scramble to catch up with rising prices.
CPI recap: Core inflation surges, cementing a 75bps(+?) Fed hike next month
A total of at least 150bps of rate hikes by the end of the year is now the market’s base case as the Fed continues to scramble to catch up with rising prices.