Inflation

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Japanese yen analysis: USD/JPY testing key support at 134.00

Despite today’s weakness in the greenback, USD/JPY is still holding above a short-term bullish trend line, as well as its 50- and 200-day EMAs in the 134.00 area

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May 10, 2023 05:43 PM

US dollar analysis: How sticky will core CPI be?

The Cleveland Fed’s widely-watched Inflation Nowcast suggests potential upside risk to the release...

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May 9, 2023 05:58 PM
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NZD/USD, AUD/NZD outlook: NZD pairs track headline inflation lower

New Zealander’s can breathe a sigh of relief that their rate of inflation is finally slowing, with both annual and quarterly CPI coming in much less than expected.

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April 20, 2023 01:30 AM

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EUR/USD forecast: Traders eye 1.10 on softer US inflation data

The weaker US inflation data supports our bullish EURUSD forecast: We think that the single currency is likely heading above $1.10 soon.

April 12, 2023 02:39 PM
Gold nuggets

Gold outlook: US inflation in focus

Today’s US inflation report could be the difference between a 25bp Fed hike or pause at their May meeting, making it a key data point to watch.

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The Hang Seng rises on soft inflation data from China

China’s consumer and producer prices continued to deflate in March, which helped further boost sentiment in today’s Asian session.

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European Open: Swiss inflation, flash PMI and ISM manufacturing reports in focus

Oil prices have stabilised following OPEC’s surprise oil production cut, which now allows traders to switch their focus over to Swiss inflation, flash PMI and ISM reports.

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April 3, 2023 05:37 AM
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Australia's softer inflation could see the RBA hold rates next week

AUD pairs are broadly lower as inflation falls to 6.8% y/y (7.1% expected), bolstering expectations that the RBA will hold rates at their April meeting.

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GBP/JPY extends recovery as hot CPI boosts BoE hike odds

The GBP/JPY has been supported by a double dose of bullish factors this week.

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European Open: UK inflation up next, then focus shifts to the FOMC meeting

Today’s UK inflation print could be the difference between a final 25bp hike from the BOE tomorrow, or a pause. Then our attention turns to the FOMC meeting.

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March 22, 2023 05:47 AM
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US CPI recap: GBP/USD holds above 200-day EMA as inflation meets expectations

The report printed in line with expectations at 6.0% y/y, the smallest annualized gain since September 2021

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March 14, 2023 02:05 PM
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European Open: USD drifts higher ahead of US CPI, DAX implied volatility spikes

The US dollar was higher overnight as it recouped some of the week’s losses, with the US 2 and 5-year yields mean reverted higher.

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March 14, 2023 05:10 AM
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US CPI preview: Fed rate expectations dive, USD/CAD tests 1.37

In the wake of the implosion of SVB, traders are dialing down their expectations for Fed hawkishness next week...

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March 13, 2023 02:54 PM
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EU stocks remain lower after hot Eurozone CPI

Core inflation rose to a fresh record high of 5.6%...

Currency prices

Canada Q4 GDP worse than expected, but January starting on the right foot

The Canadian GDP was much worse than expected, however the GDP Price Deflator was also weak.

February 28, 2023 03:05 PM
Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

EUR/USD: Rally potential after hot Spanish and French CPI readings

The ECB had already planned a half-point rate move in March, and these stronger readings are likely to bolster officials who say that more big moves are needed beyond that to get inflation under control.

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February 28, 2023 01:46 PM
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European Open: Traders to get another inflation fix ahead of the weekend

Markets cannot get enough of US inflation data at present and what it means for the Fed. And that means today’s PCE figures are now likely the more important.

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February 24, 2023 05:48 AM

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European Open: EUR/USD and EUR/GBP in focus for eurozone CPI

Both EUR/GBP and EUR/GBP are hugging various pivot points ahead of the open, but whichever way they break initially our bias is for a break to new lows.

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February 23, 2023 05:03 AM
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European Open: Flash PMI’s and Canada inflation report in focus

CAD/JPY has piqued our interest ahead of today's economic data, which includes PMI's for Europe and the US and Canada's inflation and retail reports.

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February 21, 2023 05:09 AM

European Open: EUR/GBP falls for seventh day ahead of UK inflation report

A strong UK employment increased the odds of another BOE hike and sent the pound higher against the euro for a seventh day. Can it notch up an eight with today’s inflation report?

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February 15, 2023 05:42 AM

European Open: EUR/GBP falls for seventh day ahead of UK inflation report

A strong UK employment increased the odds of another BOE hike and sent the pound higher against the euro for a seventh day. Can it notch up an eight with today’s inflation report?

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February 15, 2023 05:42 AM
Research

AU inflation – a report to match Australia’s (hot) weather

There’s no escaping the fact that Australian inflation continues to point the wrong way for the RBA and consumers alike. And today’s report should quickly eradicate hopes of an RBA pause in February.

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European Open: GBP implied volatility spikes ahead of UK CPI and FOMC

Implied volatility for FX majors has risen ahead of today’s FOMC meeting - and most notably GBP as it also has UK CPI to contend with within the hour.

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December 14, 2022 05:47 AM