Yields

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US Mortgage Rates fall for the first time in 11 weeks!

When will the housing market turn up again? This will most likely be after mortgage rates move lower.

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November 2, 2022 04:17 PM
Federal reserve name plaque on building

Is the Fed about to slow the pace of tightening?

Will today’s “leak” to the WSJ be the straw that breaks the camels back regarding the US Dollar and US rates?

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October 21, 2022 04:23 PM
Federal reserve name plaque on building

Is the Fed about to slow the pace of tightening?

Will today’s “leak” to the WSJ be the straw that breaks the camels back regarding the US Dollar and US rates?

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October 21, 2022 04:23 PM

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Gold trading

Gold eyes fresh breakdown as China fears add fuel to fire

It was always going to be an uphill struggle for the metal...

Gold trading

Gold eyes fresh breakdown as China fears add fuel to fire

It was always going to be an uphill struggle for the metal...

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NAHB Housing Market Index is bad and could get even worse.

In the mid-2000’s, the NAHB Housing Market Index dropped dramatically, similar to what is happening today. Could this be a foreshadowing of a recession?

October 18, 2022 08:21 PM
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NAHB Housing Market Index is bad and could get even worse.

In the mid-2000’s, the NAHB Housing Market Index dropped dramatically, similar to what is happening today. Could this be a foreshadowing of a recession?

October 18, 2022 08:21 PM

S&P 500 reaches new lows for 2022

On January 4th the S&P 500 reached a record high of 4820.2. Today, the large cap index made a new low for the year, reaching an intra-day low of 3620.2, a fall of nearly 25% so far this year!

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September 27, 2022 09:06 PM
Research

Nothing changes for gold, stocks as yields resume higher

Bearish trend persist for indices and metals as investors watch yields continue to rise following a flurry of central bank action this week.

Rocket taking off on a bright day

Could tomorrow's Michigan Consumer Sentiment be the key for the FOMC’s decision next week?

If the inflation components are higher than expected, watch for a possible tape-bomb from the Wall Street Journal that the Fed is “more likely” to hike 100bps.

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September 15, 2022 08:01 PM
Research

Higher oil and bond yields could benefit CAD/JPY

A combination of favourable yield differentials, higher oil prices and a bullish consolidation on CAD/JPY suggest it could break to new highs in due course.

multiple currencies

July housing data concludes on a mixed note; waiting on Jackson Hole

July housing data finished up this week with worse than expected New Home Sales and better than expected Pending Home Sales.

Research

Gold attempts breakout as yields dip

Investors appear convinced the Fed will slow down rate hikes despite officials indicating otherwise.

Federal reserve Eagle

Fed speakers out in force with more hawkish tone; USD/JPY

The correlation between USD/JPY and 10-year yields has come back in line and is almost in “strong” territory on the daily timeframe.

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August 3, 2022 03:48 PM
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Gold, dollar steady ahead of ISM services PMI as yields push higher

Let’s see if today’s US data or Fed speeches will cause more volatility in bond – and, in turn, gold – prices.

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August 3, 2022 12:54 PM
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All eyes on bond yields ahead of FOMC

In the eyes of bond markets, the front-loading of interest rate hikes will potentially lead to a recession.

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Stocks slump, yields surge as recession worries add to inflation woes

Risk was completely off the menu at the start of a busy week for central bank action

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Yen, Euros and dollar currency bills and notes

US Yields on the move again. What does it mean for USD/JPY?

US 10-year yields and USD/JPY have a strong, positive correlation with a correlation coefficient of +0.92.

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June 6, 2022 07:37 PM
Gold nuggets

Gold: Now or Never

With everything going on in equities space, gold may finally rise from the ashes and shine

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Nasdaq limping as yields press higher

Sentiment remains fragile following the big sell-off on Thursday

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May 6, 2022 01:04 PM
Graph showing a slow uptrend

After a strong March, US 10-year yields and USD/JPY may be ready for a pullback

As a result of the high correlation with USD/JPY, yields have been pulling USD/JPY higher with them.

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March 31, 2022 07:21 PM
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European Open: A (technical) case for a pullback in yields

As bond yields move inversely to bond prices, it should be taken note of that the US 10-year note has just tested a key level of support.

Research

Will the bond market meltdown be the undoing of the S&P500?

U.S. yields have surged higher again this week to their highest level since May 2019, after Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp rate hike at the next FOMC meeting, causing fresh pain for global bond markets.