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Hang Seng, China A50 looking to turn the tide

With support in place and momentum trying to turn higher, we’re now looking for additional gains on the China A50 and Hang Seng.

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A busy week awaits, despite US data taking a back seat: The Week Ahead

US data steps away from the limelight to make way for inflation reports from the UK, Canada, New Zealand, and Japan. And throw in an ECB meeting, Australian employment report and the CCP's Third Plenum for good measure.

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July 12, 2024 02:32 AM
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The China A50 might hold 12k if these two key stocks can stabilise

China’s major stock market indices have been falling since the middle of May. With little in the way of a decent bounce higher, I continue to suspect one could be due.

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July 2, 2024 03:00 AM

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USD/HKD holds the clues for the Hang Seng’s next move

The inverted relationship between USD/HKD and the Hang Seng remains strong. And with the latter retracing -92% over the past month and risk of the US dollar falling further, perhaps the Hang Seng is due a bounce.

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USD/CNH, USD/JPY, AUD/USD: China’s spluttering economy weighs on Asian currencies

China’s fledgling economic recovery suffered another setback in April with activity indicators mostly disappointing, especially regarding the beleaguered property sector. The news weighed on the Chinese yuan and other Asian currencies, such as the Japanese yen and Australian dollar.

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May 17, 2024 05:48 AM
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Nikkei 225, Hang Seng forecast: Tables are turning for Asia’s stock market giants

Japan’s Nikki 225 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng have been like chalk and cheese coming out of the pandemic. As one surged, the other floundered. But the tide looks to be turning, and fast.

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May 12, 2024 09:00 AM
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Explainer: the PBOC USD/CNY fix and how it impacts FX markets

With the influence of the Chinese yuan stet to increase further, this primer looks at the PBOC's USD/CNY daily ‘fix’, an event every trader should become familiar with given its importance to currency markets.

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March 26, 2024 04:11 AM
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The seeds for iron ore’s latest lurch lower were sown last week

Iron ore futures are in an increasingly ugly bear market, spiraling lower since the beginning of the year after defying bears for what seemed to be an eternity in 2023. With the price catching up to what fundamentals had been warning for months, traders are wondering how far the move can extend?

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March 13, 2024 04:47 AM
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Lows may be in for Chinese stocks as bear market downtrends give way

The bear market in Chinese equities may be coming a state-endorsed end with A50 futures breaking the downtrend dating back to early 2021 earlier this week. The 200-day moving average may be the next bearish indicator to give way, bolstering the view that the lows may have already been seen.

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March 6, 2024 05:47 AM
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Hang Seng, China A50 seeking fresh bullish catalysts to power market recovery

China’s state-endorsed equity market recovery continues to go from strength to strength, building upon a lengthy and growing list of measures being rolled out by policymakers designed to coerce traders into buying. Perhaps the broader bear market trend may be coming to an end?

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February 22, 2024 01:21 AM
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If USD/CNH is the canary in the coalmine, USD/JPY might be in trouble

A bearish reversal pattern has formed on USD/CNH which implies a move down to 7.10. And if the yuan continues to strengthen, it could see the yen follow and scupper USD/JPY attempt at breaking 152.

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February 21, 2024 06:12 AM
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Hang Seng’s suspect price action at odds with bullish narratives

Hang Seng futures don’t look like they’re about to embark on a face-ripping rally, no matter how cheap valuations are and no matter how much government encouragement is doled out.

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February 8, 2024 01:01 AM
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China’s stock market rescue brings in reinforcements

China’s “National Team”, the nickname given to state-backed entities tasked with rescuing markets, are doubling their efforts, upping purchases of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) while restricting certain undesirable activities detrimental to stock prices. So far, indices such as the A50 are rallying.

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February 6, 2024 02:57 AM
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Hang Seng, China A50 and CNH need sustained rally to turn bearish China narrative around

There is a real confidence problem right now towards China. And while the underlying reasons are complex, the easiest way to change the prevailing bearish narrative is for the price action to turnaround. Price leads narrative.

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January 24, 2024 02:16 AM
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GBP/JPY teases 2015 high post BOJ, Crude oil eyes $77: European open

The US dollar and yen were the weakest FX majors during the Asian session, following reports of China stimulus and no change in policy from the BOJ. GBP/JPY has probed a key resistance level and crude oil shows the potential to extend yesterday's gains.

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AUD/USD, USD/CNH: PMIs suggest China’s economy is nearing stall speed

Chinese economic activity is nearing stall speed with the government’s purchasing managers indexes (PMIs) falling further in November, surprising markets to the downside for a second consecutive month.

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November 30, 2023 02:17 AM
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China A50, USD/CNH: Turning point as economic recovery gathers pace?

Activity levels in China’s economy look to be slowly picking up, providing relief for cyclical assets amidst a deteriorating macro backdrop due to events in Gaza. That's helping boost CNH and China's A50 share index.

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October 18, 2023 04:06 AM

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AUD/USD: Monthly indicators in China’s ‘data dump’ to dictate direction

The tentative rebound in the AUD/USD faces its next hurdle today with the release of China’s monthly ‘data dump’, including Q3 GDP.

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October 18, 2023 12:58 AM
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China A50: Retest of range lows looms, testing buyer demand

Chinese equities have had plenty thrown at them in 2023. Yet, despite the challenges, some mainland indices such as the FTSE A50 are holding up alright.

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September 26, 2023 06:15 AM
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AUD/JPY: A proxy trade on China’s outlook that does not involve USD

Having been driven by rate differentials for much of the past three years, AUD/JPY is evolving into an effective way to express a view towards China’s outlook that does not involve the US dollar.

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September 25, 2023 04:15 AM
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Stimulus and seasonality could power mining sector gains

A trade idea to play what what is traditionally strong period for mining stocks.

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September 12, 2023 03:41 AM
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US CPI, ECB and a slew of China data: The Week Ahead – 08/09/2023

The combination of a key US inflation report and finely-balanced ECB interest decision should keep EUR/USD on trader’s radars. Although we also have plenty of data out from China which could sway sentiment for risk assets, including CPI/PPI, loan growth, investment, retail sales and employment.

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September 9, 2023 11:56 PM
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China A50: upside risks for earnings grow as stimulus ramps up

Comprising huge financial and property firms, China's A50 may benefit from the rapid rollout of stimulus measures.

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August 30, 2023 01:57 AM