Precious metals

Key events this week, including US CPI data, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, and corporate earnings, could inject further volatility into the markets and impact the gold forecast.

USDJPY, Gold Outlook: New Trump tariffs this week, including a 25% levy on steel and aluminum imports, are escalating trade war risks, pushing gold to record highs above $2,890 and keeping the U.S. dollar supported above the 108-mark.

Silver remains resilient despite US dollar strength and higher yields. With key producers China and Mexico facing trade tensions, silver's bullish potential is on the rise.

Gold prices are edging higher again, up 0.3% on the session, and on track for a sixth consecutive weekly gain – barring a negative reaction to the upcoming US jobs report. But what’s fuelling this rally, and can it continue? In this gold forecast, we’ll break down the key drivers and potential risks ahead.

GBPUSD, Silver Outlook: GBPUSD remains resilient in its bullish rebound against the US Dollar, despite market expectations of a 25-bps rate cut by the BOE later today. Meanwhile, Silver's haven-driven momentum appears exhausted, similar to Gold.

EURUSD, Gold Forecast: As Trump tariff risks involving Canada, Mexico, China, and the EU return to the headlines, the US Dollar Index (DXY) surged on inflation momentum, while global markets plunged. However, safe-haven assets may remain resilient.

Silver bulls have finally cracked stubborn resistance, but can they maintain momentum? With gold hitting record highs, is this the beginning of a broader breakout for the precious metals complex?

USDJPY, Gold Forecast: The USDJPY pair braces for heightened volatility between Wednesday’s FOMC meeting and Friday’s Tokyo CPI release, while gold maintains its haven drive near record highs amid persistent inflation and trade war risks.

Gold’s relentless 2024 rally has defied strong dollar headwinds and rising yields, smashing records and flipping traditional relationships on their head. Is it still a safe haven, or has the game changed for good?

Crude Oil, Gold Forecast: Following China’s commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy in 2025, demand sentiment for Chinese oil and gold has surged, pushing crude oil above $70 and gold above $2,700. Middle East tensions continue to reinforce support levels for these commodities as drastic regional developments unfold.

A shift in Beijing’s monetary strategy provided a boost to Chinese stocks and rippled through global markets, lifting commodity prices, including gold. Add geopolitical tensions from the Middle East to Europe, and it’s clear why safe-haven assets like gold saw a recovery. The week ahead, however, brings high-stakes events like interest rate decisions from major central banks and key US inflation data, all set to influence the gold forecast.

Gold prices (XAU/USD) have been range-bound recently, following a pullback from record highs in late October. This decline ended a nine-month winning streak, with November closing in the red. Some investors anticipate a more significant correction before re-entering the market, leading to a cautious short-term gold outlook.

After falling a big 3% last Monday, gold has been trading in tight ranges since, holding mostly within that day’s range. In other words, it hasn’t fallen any further, although it has also made little upside progress.

Gold has found some relief from a weaker US dollar and lower yields in the last couple of days, but it could come under renewed pressure as the greenback’s weakness could be temporary, while easing Middle East tension owing to the ceasefire agreement point to lower haven demand.

Bitcoin, Gold Analysis: Ceasefire agreements are transitioning from speculation to reality ahead of the holiday season and Trump’s upcoming term. Gold’s rally has stalled below the $2,700 mark as haven demand wanes, while Bitcoin has retreated slightly below the psychological $100,000 level.

Gold analysis: After the big sell-off on Monday, I will try to examine what this means for gold in terms of direction in the near-term outlook, purely from a technical point of view.

Already lower on the day thanks to the risk on rally as traders reacted positively to Donald Trump’s choice of Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary, gold took another dive lower in the last hour.