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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA Hits 40K – Will We See a Bounce?

The DJIA has fallen back to retest the psychologically-significant $40K level, which could now provide support for the index moving forward.

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July 24, 2024 08:26 PM
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Dow Forecast: DJIA hits record as energy, financials extend breakout

Dow Forecast Update: The Dow has reached its 4th record high in as many days, on a day when the Nasdaq was plunging. Sector rotation is the name of the game.

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July 17, 2024 05:24 PM
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Dow Forecast: Weaker US CPI Keeps Stock Bulls Happy

The Dow has risen along with the Russell 200 index after the Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 3.0% instead of the expected 3.1%. Small caps are set for a big rally, with Russell 2000 index breaking out a good 3% at the time of writing.

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July 11, 2024 05:30 PM

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Dow Jones forecast: Bulls eye DJIA 40K as tech takes a breather

The US stock markets were trading mixed today. The Dow was up more than 1% at the time of writing, boosted by IBM and JPMorgan shares. On the flipside, this year’s best performing index, the Nasdaq 100, had an off day, down about 0.9% as shares in Nvidia fell by 6%, down for the third consecutive day.

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June 24, 2024 05:00 PM
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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Analysis: Papa Dow Diverges from SPX and NDX

The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 look tired as bad economic news is no longer good news for the stock market as traders worry the Fed is falling behind the curve.

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA steady, jobless claims & Fed speakers in focus

US stocks are set for a quiet open as the market weighs up more Fed officials supporting high rates for longer, with signs of a cooling jobs market. US jobless claims rose by more than expected, which, after Friday's softer non-farm payroll, could indicate that the labour market is starting to ease. Earnings continue to roll in with Arm falling after FY 2025 revenue guidance disappointed.

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May 9, 2024 01:34 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA inches lower as treasury yields rise

US stocks are pointing to a modestly weaker start as the market continues to assess when the Federal Reserve may start to cut interest rates and by how much. Comments from Fed speakers yesterday raised questions over whether the Fed would cut at all in 2024. In the absence of economic data, Fed speakers remain under the spotlight today. Attention is also on earnings, with Uber set to open lower after posting a loss.

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May 8, 2024 02:03 PM
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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Recapture Key Levels on Dovish Fed, Solid Earnings

The Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all recaptured key technical levels, carrying a bullish bias to the coming week.

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DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Vulnerable Through Earnings Season

The DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 all look vulnerable to more downside as long as this week’s highs hold.

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DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Falter on War Fears

US indices are seeing diverging performance, with the DJIA looking relatively weak and the Nasdaq 100 uptrend remaining healthy.

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DJIA analysis: Risk off as stocks plunges and even gold reverses

DJIA analysis: Stocks tumble on Middle East jitters, as VIX spikes. US dollar has also extended its rally on reduced rate cut expectations and risk off sentiment. Meanwhile, gold looks like it may have topped out.

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DJIA Forecast: DJIA recovers some losses after PPI data

US stocks have steadied after yesterday's deep selloff. Mixed PPI data appears to have taken the edge off yesterday's hotter-than-forecast inflation data. US PPI eased by more than expected on a monthly basis but rose by more than expected on an annual basis. Meanwhile, US jobless claims were relatively unmoved, highlighting the ongoing resilience in the labour market. Elsewhere, the ECB left interest rates on hold at 4%.

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April 11, 2024 02:11 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA stocks fall as treasury yields rise

US stocks are pointing to a weaker open, extending losses from the previous session as Treasury yields rise and ahead of several Fed speakers. US treasury yields have ticked higher after stronger-than-expected manufacturing PMIs from the US and China and as oil prices have risen to a 5-month high, suggesting that inflation could remain sticky. Federal Reserve speakers could provide more insight into when the Fed could start to cut rates.

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April 2, 2024 02:15 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA stocks drift higher amid a light calendar

US stocks are set to rise on the open, helped higher by rises in AI stocks and amid a quiet economic calendar. Attention will be on Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who is due to speak later. Otherwise, the main focus is Friday's core PCE data, which comes when the market is closed for the Good Friday holiday. Today oil prices are falling 1% after oil inventories rose sharply.

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March 27, 2024 01:14 PM
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S&P 500, DJIA Analysis: The Definitive Guide to the Stock Market’s Performance on “Leap Day”

Since 1950, the S&P 500 and DJIA have seen relatively weak performance on Leap Day, with an average decline of -0.1%. Read on for more details!

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February 27, 2024 01:52 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA hovers around record highs in a quiet start to a busy week

US stocks are trading quietly on Monday, hovering around the record highs reached last week after blowout Nvidia earnings boosted AI optimism & stocks higher. This week, attention is back on the economic calendar with US core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, due on Thursday. The market is pricing in the first Fed rate cut in June.

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February 26, 2024 01:53 PM
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S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA Forecast: Cracks in the Index Uptrends?

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 remain in healthy uptrends for now but the DJIA is showing some cracks and is the key index to watch for signs of weakness from here.

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S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA Forecast: MSFT, NVDA, and TSLA Power Indices to Record Highs

The DJIA is the index to watch for a possible breakdown if stocks stall out this week... but bears shouldn't be holding their breath. See why!

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA muted ahead of tomorrow's CPI report

The Dow Jones points to a muted start as investors wait cautiously for tomorrow's inflation data and the start of earnings season on Friday. The CPI report could provide further guidance on the possible path for further Federal Reserve rate cuts. Hotter than forecast CPI could see the market rein in Fed rate cut bets, which could hurt demand for stocks. The CME Fed watch report sees a 65% chance of a March rate cut, down from 85% in mid December.

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January 10, 2024 02:24 PM
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The January Effect: A Comprehensive Historical Review

The dawn of the new millennium has witnessed a more subdued January Effect, hinting at a possible shift in the effectiveness of this historically-reliable pattern...

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December 27, 2023 05:21 PM
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US Index Analysis: DJIA, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Enter Historically Bullish Santa Claus Rally Period

Yesterday’s big bearish reversals in the DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 complicate the otherwise strongly bullish outlook.

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Dow Jones Analysis: Studying the DJIA’s 8-Day Winning Streak to Record Highs

Historical returns following past 8-day winning streaks to record highs have been above average over the next 1-3 months, but more mixed over the next year.

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Dow analysis: US stocks surge on CPI miss but will rally hold?

Following the weaker inflation report, the major US indices all crossed above their respective highs made in June. Will the rally hold?

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July 12, 2023 06:38 PM