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DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 Forecast: US Indices Falter on War Fears

US indices are seeing diverging performance, with the DJIA looking relatively weak and the Nasdaq 100 uptrend remaining healthy.

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DJIA analysis: Risk off as stocks plunges and even gold reverses

DJIA analysis: Stocks tumble on Middle East jitters, as VIX spikes. US dollar has also extended its rally on reduced rate cut expectations and risk off sentiment. Meanwhile, gold looks like it may have topped out.

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DJIA Forecast: DJIA recovers some losses after PPI data

US stocks have steadied after yesterday's deep selloff. Mixed PPI data appears to have taken the edge off yesterday's hotter-than-forecast inflation data. US PPI eased by more than expected on a monthly basis but rose by more than expected on an annual basis. Meanwhile, US jobless claims were relatively unmoved, highlighting the ongoing resilience in the labour market. Elsewhere, the ECB left interest rates on hold at 4%.

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April 11, 2024 02:11 PM

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA stocks fall as treasury yields rise

US stocks are pointing to a weaker open, extending losses from the previous session as Treasury yields rise and ahead of several Fed speakers. US treasury yields have ticked higher after stronger-than-expected manufacturing PMIs from the US and China and as oil prices have risen to a 5-month high, suggesting that inflation could remain sticky. Federal Reserve speakers could provide more insight into when the Fed could start to cut rates.

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April 2, 2024 02:15 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA stocks drift higher amid a light calendar

US stocks are set to rise on the open, helped higher by rises in AI stocks and amid a quiet economic calendar. Attention will be on Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller, who is due to speak later. Otherwise, the main focus is Friday's core PCE data, which comes when the market is closed for the Good Friday holiday. Today oil prices are falling 1% after oil inventories rose sharply.

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March 27, 2024 01:14 PM
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S&P 500, DJIA Analysis: The Definitive Guide to the Stock Market’s Performance on “Leap Day”

Since 1950, the S&P 500 and DJIA have seen relatively weak performance on Leap Day, with an average decline of -0.1%. Read on for more details!

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February 27, 2024 01:52 PM
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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA hovers around record highs in a quiet start to a busy week

US stocks are trading quietly on Monday, hovering around the record highs reached last week after blowout Nvidia earnings boosted AI optimism & stocks higher. This week, attention is back on the economic calendar with US core PCE, the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, due on Thursday. The market is pricing in the first Fed rate cut in June.

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February 26, 2024 01:53 PM
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S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA Forecast: Cracks in the Index Uptrends?

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 remain in healthy uptrends for now but the DJIA is showing some cracks and is the key index to watch for signs of weakness from here.

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S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA Forecast: MSFT, NVDA, and TSLA Power Indices to Record Highs

The DJIA is the index to watch for a possible breakdown if stocks stall out this week... but bears shouldn't be holding their breath. See why!

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Dow Jones Forecast: DJIA muted ahead of tomorrow's CPI report

The Dow Jones points to a muted start as investors wait cautiously for tomorrow's inflation data and the start of earnings season on Friday. The CPI report could provide further guidance on the possible path for further Federal Reserve rate cuts. Hotter than forecast CPI could see the market rein in Fed rate cut bets, which could hurt demand for stocks. The CME Fed watch report sees a 65% chance of a March rate cut, down from 85% in mid December.

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January 10, 2024 02:24 PM
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The January Effect: A Comprehensive Historical Review

The dawn of the new millennium has witnessed a more subdued January Effect, hinting at a possible shift in the effectiveness of this historically-reliable pattern...

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December 27, 2023 05:21 PM
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US Index Analysis: DJIA, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Enter Historically Bullish Santa Claus Rally Period

Yesterday’s big bearish reversals in the DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 complicate the otherwise strongly bullish outlook.

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Dow Jones Analysis: Studying the DJIA’s 8-Day Winning Streak to Record Highs

Historical returns following past 8-day winning streaks to record highs have been above average over the next 1-3 months, but more mixed over the next year.

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Dow analysis: US stocks surge on CPI miss but will rally hold?

Following the weaker inflation report, the major US indices all crossed above their respective highs made in June. Will the rally hold?

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July 12, 2023 06:38 PM
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Dow outlook: Banks lead rally as techs struggle

Our Dow outlook is somewhat positive as the breakout on the chart is complemented with stronger-than-expected data, suggesting the economy is continuing to defy expectations.

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June 29, 2023 05:22 PM
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Dow forecast: Debt limit impasse and bear trend continue

As a debt deal still remains elusive and macro concerns are on the rise, the Dow forecast doesn’t look great, with the index breaking the 200-day average today.

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US open: Stocks rise and USD drops as core PCE cools

US stocks are rising, building on yesterday's strong gains after core PCE eased to 5% YoY, down from 5.2%.

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December 1, 2022 01:55 PM

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US open: Stocks fall as investors re-assess the Fed's outlook for hikes

Stronger than expected earnings from retailers and hawkish Fed comments force investors to re-assess the Fed's ability to slow rate hikes quickly.

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November 17, 2022 02:00 PM
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US open: Stocks mixed in cautious trade ahead of the Fed

US stocks are mixed as investors weigh up the chances of a less hawkish signal from the Fed. Is this likely after recent strong data?

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November 2, 2022 01:26 PM
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Stocks, bonds, cryptos and gold struggle as yields press higher

All the attention is on Wednesday’s FOMC interest rate decision.

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September 20, 2022 04:24 PM
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Technical Tuesday: DJIA, USD/CHF and Copper

Technical analysis on some of the most interesting markets right now

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April 26, 2022 11:46 AM
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US open: Stocks rebound, tech leads the way

US stocks are set to rebound on the open as dip buyers jump in. Treasury yields have eased slightly. However inflation concerns are likely to linger. US debt ceiling discussions could be in focus amid a quiet economic calendar.

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US open: Stocks drop as treasury yields rise, Powell in focus

US futures trade sharply lower as treasury yields rise to a 3 month high. The tech heavy Nasdaq is set to under-perform. Concerns over China are adding into the hit on stocks. Energy stocks are a rare bright spot as oil prices extend gains.